BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2017 Author Share Posted February 4, 2017 7 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: 120" in 10 day's and 288 for the year according to Carol Yerdon up in Redfield. Insane amount. Some of the pics i have seen from the Tug have been amazing. Can you post some? Haven't been able to find many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Measured 10" early this morning and it was continuing to snow, 25"-30" storm total.. Pic of my front yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Sounds promising, for now.. Strong cold advection in the wake of the powerful storm will send H85 temps down to around -20c Wednesday night. This will establish moderate to extreme instability over the open waters of Lakes Erie and Ontario...with accumulating lake snows being directed into the snowbelts east and southeast of the lakes. There should be enough synoptic moisture to accompany the mesoscale induced lift to support significant accumulations. Otherwise...it will be brisk and cold with scattered snow showers. Min temps will be in the teens. The lake snows will continue southeast of both lakes Thursday and Thursday night as a very cold northwest flow will remain in place. Temperatures on Thursday will struggle to get above 20f across the lake plains while readings will not escape the teens across much of the Southern Tier and across the North Country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Nice little overnight "jp" around the Fulton area, ratios 20-25/1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Ladies and gentleman we've got ourselves a split.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2017 Author Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Ladies and gentleman we've got ourselves a split.. To late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2017 Author Share Posted February 5, 2017 That is a great split though, classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 19 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: To late 16 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That is a great split though, classic. I don't know but if that comes to fruition then i think we still got a shot come late Feb into March.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 I'll take the split...it'll be just in time for a couple of big synoptic opportunities. Lots of teleconnections look good over the next few weeks: +PNA, -AO, -NOA, neutral EPO, and zone 8 MJO. Could be exciting for the end of Feb & early Mar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Yeah but it also has to propagate down into the lower troposphere to have any errect on our sensible weather so we'll see. A split is great but they don't always propagate. Anyway, this upcoming system for Monday evening -Wed is not really a slam dunk warm just yet as there has been a pretty big trend for the LP to instead perhaps move directly over or IMO can even come further East. Its losing some of its punch so instead of wrapping up and heading towards the Central Great Lakes its heading further East, and we still have a lot of time for thing thing to trend further East. 18Z yesterday Today's 12Z It may not mean much as we're still gonna see a mix and prolly some rain but the warn sector is getting shorter and shorter time wise and then its back to pretty much normal-perhaps below! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Oh and yeah I know its the Nam and the reason I'm picking this, is because it did a lot better than any other model with the last synoptic system with the thermal profile but most of the other global models are showing the SLP decreasing in strength and its the trailing SW that may be taking some of its energy as another wave now develops on Thursday and scrapes the NE coast, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danno Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Couple tug pics ... north reddfield area. I thought my area had allot until we snowmobiled down this road yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Ggem looks much better for the potential lake effect behind the 1st synoptic system..(very little is from a 2nd synoptic event) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2017 Author Share Posted February 6, 2017 Betting on Brady to win is the easiest money you can make in life I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Except when he faces the giants Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 11 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Betting on Brady to win is the easiest money you can make in life I think. The dirty birds screwed that whole game up. Especially screwing up that Field Goal attempt and nevermind 3 consecutive holding calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 Over 60" on the ground in Oswego and Lewis counties, crazy. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF&format=ci&version=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2017 Author Share Posted February 7, 2017 The tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Meso scale starting to pick up on intense band for rochester. Thursday and Friday. 3 lake connection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 lol, a soaker to a whiff then back to mix this weekend. Man this disaster just wont end. This yr is worse than last yr so far, lol! Sick of tracking LES that never hits our area anymore. We're SE of a Great Lake and we have bare ground on February 7?? I say something is definitely going on with the atmosphere and it looks to continue as it looks like an El Nino is making a comeback this summer into next Winter, which means another warm Northeast, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 32 minutes ago, tim123 said: Meso scale starting to pick up on intense band for rochester. Thursday and Friday. 3 lake connection. Yeah so it can get decimated this weekend with temps approaching 40-45f. Its never ending, period! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Looking at pattern coming up thinking rest of Feb and and March will be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: lol, a soaker to a whiff then back to mix this weekend. Man this disaster just wont end. This yr is worse than last yr so far, lol! Sick of tracking LES that never hits our area anymore. We're SE of a Great Lake and we have bare ground on February 7?? I say something is definitely going on with the atmosphere and it looks to continue as it looks like an El Nino is making a comeback this summer into next Winter, which means another warm Northeast, lol! It's literally the worst winter weather pattern I've seen since 2012. I think I'm about ready for spring. Not enough cold air for lake effect, and the synoptic pattern favors SNE. I honestly don't think it could get worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 hour ago, tim123 said: Looking at pattern coming up thinking rest of Feb and and March will be fun. What pattern are you seeing? It's not there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2017 Author Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/5/2017 at 8:58 PM, danno said: Couple tug pics ... north reddfield area. I thought my area had allot until we snowmobiled down this road yesterday. A little late but awesome pics Danno! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Lake Effect Snow Watch...which is in effect from Thursday evening through Friday morning. * LOCATIONS...Northern Cayuga...northeastern Wayne...and southern Oswego counties. * TIMING...From late Thursday evening through late Friday morning. * ACCUMULATIONS...Snow potentially accumulating 6 to 9 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * IMPACTS...Periods of lake effect snow may produce difficult driving conditions with poor visibility and snow covered roads. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...Medium. Conditions will be favorable for the development of lake effect snows...however the time window for most favorable conditions will be narrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1st map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a Lake Effect Snow Watch...which is in effect from Thursday evening through Friday morning. * LOCATIONS...Onondaga, Madison, Oneida Counties in New York. * HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow. * ACCUMULATIONS...Potential for over 7 inches. * TIMING...Expect a band of heavy lake effect snow to set up near the Interstate 90 corridor late Thursday evening and persist through Thursday night before weakening Friday morning. * IMPACTS...The heavy snow could make travel dangerous. Roads could become snow covered and hazardous. Considerable blowing and drifting snow will also be possible along with significantly reduced visibilities. * WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * TEMPERATURES...In the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 We managed to stay below freezing here until after 7 last night then we jumped to 46 briefly now I'm back down to 37. We've managed to hold onto a snow cover although it's getting thin. I hope the NWS is right and we can get 6 inches off the lake tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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