NJwx85 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Our weaker trees (trees in general) are gone now after Sandy and storms before it. There will likely be some power outages and flooding in the vulnerable areas like the Canal streets and West End. The overnight high tide might be the worst of it. Don't underestimate the damage the recent drought has done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 8 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Our weaker trees (trees in general) are gone now after Sandy and storms before it. There will likely be some power outages and flooding in the vulnerable areas like the Canal streets and West End. The overnight high tide might be the worst of it. People don't realize how few trees are left in Long Beach after the winds and salt water damage from Sandy. I can go down streets and almost not recognize which ones they are due to all the trees being gone. It was probably one of the largest tree removal operations that we have seen on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The convection right now is over Northern VA, however a secondary max is in the process of forming off the mid-atlantic, and should gradually fill in the gaps as the day progresses. As the trough goes negative and winds flip out of the Southeast, the moisture transport will be directly off the ocean and towards the greater NYC area. yea, gfs must be having feedback issues. I could hardly believe my eyes when seeing this . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Just now, Bacon Strips said: yea, gfs must be having feedback issues. I could hardly believe my eyes when seeing this . Some of the modeling the last 24 hours has trended tonights convection further East. The main difference between the GFS and most of the other guidance is that it's much further Southeast than the concensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Power is flickering in East Windsor. Trees/branches coming down all over the place per PSEG maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 37/30 with an east wind currently. Overcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgf Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 14 minutes ago, friedmators said: Power is flickering in East Windsor. Trees/branches coming down all over the place per PSEG maps. i am in darien - my power was out already for about 30min i think - i wasn't home it was back on when i got home major road (for darien) is closed around the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Saw a tweet about a station in Brigantine NJ with a gust to 72 mph right on the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 I just noticed Mt Holly upgraded the rest of central and southern NJ to a High Wind Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bikerman262 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Getting pretty gusty here in Manhattan. FDNY responding the multiple reports of debris blocking off buildings and scaffolding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 47 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Don't underestimate the damage the recent drought has done. Like bluewave said very few trees left to be stressed. There are streets that used to have a large mature London Plane tree in front of every house that now have zero. Even In my neighborhood in south Wantagh there are very few trees left. Allot of the trees that survived Sandy were removed by concerned home owners and the town/county. My backyard has one of only a few very large trees left. It's a whole other world here now. The mark of a serious storm on the island is power outages over 250k. (Occurred during all the big ones we talk about 2010, Irene and of course Sandy) i doubt we see even 100k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1000 power outages on LI now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgf Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 10 minutes ago, weathermedic said: Saw a tweet about a station in Brigantine NJ with a gust to 72 mph right on the water. South Beach, Ocean City NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 18 foot seas and gusts to about 50mph 30 miles south of LI http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44025 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Like bluewave said very few trees left to be stressed. There are streets that used to have a large mature London Plane tree in front of every house that now have zero. Even In my neighborhood in south Wantagh there are very few trees left. Allot of the trees that survived Sandy were removed by concerned home owners and the town/county. My backyard has one of only a few very large trees left. It's a whole other world here now. The mark of a serious storm on the island is power outages over 250k. (Occurred during all the big ones we talk about 2010, Irene and of course Sandy) i doubt we see even 100k. i think at the height of the storm 100k will be without power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 my temp has been steady or dropping slowly for the last 3 hours,even with mid day here my temp hasn't budged at 38f with a dp of 31..forecast high of 45. i don't see it with a intensifying storm crawling up the coast. as dusk approaches these temps might drop a bit with the heavy precip incoming. might be sleet and rain instead of plain rain now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 7 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Like bluewave said very few trees left to be stressed. There are streets that used to have a large mature London Plane tree in front of every house that now have zero. Even In my neighborhood in south Wantagh there are very few trees left. Allot of the trees that survived Sandy were removed by concerned home owners and the town/county. My backyard has one of only a few very large trees left. It's a whole other world here now. The mark of a serious storm on the island is power outages over 250k. (Occurred during all the big ones we talk about 2010, Irene and of course Sandy) i doubt we see even 100k. Here in NJ it's a much different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: 1000 power outages on LI now. PSE&G outage map for LI for anyone interested in following. https://outagemap.psegliny.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Winds are really howling now, consistent gusts to 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 7 minutes ago, tdp146 said: PSE&G outage map for LI for anyone interested in following. https://outagemap.psegliny.com/ I'll add the link to the Con Edison outage map: https://apps.coned.com/stormcenter/external/default.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 did I happen to stumble upon Goes R..? how about that plume of moisture about to affect the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Reports of wires and power poles down on the LIRR tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Definitely wouldn't be surprised to see sleet mix down for a lot of people with that intense band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, BxWeatherwatcher said: 14 minutes ago, Bacon Strips said: did I happen to stumble upon Goes R..? how about that plume of moisture about to affect the area. yeah also of note is how far south and east it is compared to all guidance. considering that temps haven't cracked 40 yet,it might be a telling sign that the cooler air is still around and maybe not going anywhere later once this ramps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Just now, BxWeatherwatcher said: yeah also of note is how far south and east it is compared to all guidance. considering that temps haven't cracked 40 yet,it might be a telling sign that the cooler air is still around and maybe not going anywhere later once this ramps up. I had thought that temps would be rising during late night/overnight though no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Reports of wires and power poles down on the LIRR tracks And the commuting nightmare begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1-3" of rain on the 12z ECMWF. Highest totals around NY Harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Reports of wires and power poles down on the LIRR tracks Seriously where!? About to take the Babylon branch to penn ok I see port Washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: I had thought that temps would be rising during late night/overnight though no? well if the southeasterly flow is raging then yeah,but if the upper levels close off that flow and the winds stay northerly then i'm not so certain. i mean it is high afternoon already one would think temps would be rising but they really arent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 275 customers without power so far in NE NJ with PSE&G service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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