ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Was in downtown Springfield an hour ago and they had some light snow at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hot offpresses I agree 1-2" of rain looks likely here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Was in downtown Springfield an hour ago and they had some light snow at times Same thing here, but very light and fine snowflake's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 FWIW (probably not much), the 700mb 0c line at 20z is well south of where it was progged to be by both the GFS and NAM at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 5 minutes ago, DomNH said: FWIW (probably not much), the 700mb 0c line at 20z is well south of where it was progged to be by both the GFS and NAM at this time. 800mb is what matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 BCGW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 800mb is what matters. Yeah the whole 700-800mb layer. I wish SPC mesoanalysis had 750mb and 800mb temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 No update from GYX yet....still a WSWatch. Chris must be pulling his hair out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Down to 19F now at MMNV1 up here (roughly 875mb level). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 I wish we could see more layers on SPC's site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: No update from GYX yet....still a WSWatch. Chris must be pulling his hair out. Zone forecast are updated, Winter Weather Advisories are out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 15 minutes ago, Johnno said: BCGW? I was talking with another met friend about something not weather related and we talked briefly about the storm and he mentioned the "spine of the Berkshires" as well. I haven't looked at anything myself but it's interesting that two have mentioned that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Zone forecast are updated, Winter Weather Advisories are out strange....not showing up on the gray website yet. I would've expected an advisory...the heavier snow amounts seem to have backed off the last few cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: strange....not showing up on the gray website yet. I would've expected an advisory...the heavier snow amounts seem to have backed off the last few cycles. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=ME&prodtype=zone#ZFPGYX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 New BOX map. About to head out now--hopefully the precip will hold off until after 7:00. http://www.weather.gov/box/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2017 Author Share Posted January 23, 2017 19 minutes ago, MetHerb said: I was talking with another met friend about something not weather related and we talked briefly about the storm and he mentioned the "spine of the Berkshires" as well. I haven't looked at anything myself but it's interesting that two have mentioned that. East side upslope cooling is a real thing, will it be enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: New BOX map. About to head out now--hopefully the precip will hold off until after 7:00. http://www.weather.gov/box/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 What's the high end possible on sleet out of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What's the high end possible on sleet out of this? Probably like 2'' max I would think assuming somewhere between 2-3:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What's the high end possible on sleet out of this? Up there probably 4-5 inches of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 16 minutes ago, DomNH said: Probably like 2'' max I would think assuming somewhere between 2-3:1 yeah .. if its pure sleet it would be really tough to see more than 2" at most. Back in the 07 vday storm I had IIRC 4.1" of 90% sleet that melted down to just under 2" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 8 minutes ago, White Rain said: Looks like the gfs increased snowfall in northern ORH county. Who knows if it's right though. Yeah probably pounding aggregates at 06z during the heavy stuff. RAP is finally cooling significantly, but it was so warm earlier that it's still a sleet bomb. RGEM at 18z cooled a bit, but still mostly sleet...it does look like it wants to dynamically cool Ray's area up into SE NH over to heavy snow briefly for a time. I'm still leaning mostly sleet though until a little more evidence of cold aloft is presented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Yeah new GFS is still a little parachute bomb for S NH at least through probably like 8z or 9z. Warms faster through 12z but that isn't surprising to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 The RAP is def colder...it has snow for N ORH county to NE MA and S NH around 03z...still goes to sleet before 06z, but the previous run was sleet the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 So is this light snow that's falling now going to instantly turn to sleet once the main precip gets here in an hour or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: So is this light snow that's falling now going to instantly turn to sleet once the main precip gets here in an hour or so? Yes. The light stuff is just low level crud. The warmth is way above where this lift is coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Yes. The light stuff is just low level crud. The warmth is way above where this lift is coming from. That's a pretty interesting deal. Would the low level snow continue to fall as well even when the sleet is coming down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That's a pretty interesting deal. Would the low level snow continue to fall as well even when the sleet is coming down? Yeah could I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 So having run all the models for every run for days, I must conclude that I have no idea what to expect tomorrow. I am telling myself it will be snow to sleet to dryslot/drizzle/misery mist to flurries. Other than that, beats me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That's a pretty interesting deal. Would the low level snow continue to fall as well even when the sleet is coming down? That is what happened on the south shore in a prolific 1994 CJ event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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