Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Too bad Mo is retired. Koji in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Both these solutions and watching the TV make me want to projectile vomit. At least you can turn the tv off (like I did) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Quite a bit of convection going on with the southern s/w as well so i don't know how much of that is a factor in the models as well with the track of the slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Both these solutions and watching the TV make me want to projectile vomit. At least the dunes of SW RI eroded a little more with the 12z suite- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: At least the dunes of SR RI eroded a little more with the 12z suite- Maybe we can get better mud cores now for the Colonial Cane of 1630. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Big yawner for 95% of the posters. James might enjoy this most for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe we can get better mud cores now for the Colonial Cane of 1630. Hold on.....as the advocate for all things winter, let me grab a sounding from Otter-ballz, ME, deep into the bosom of the Allagash. Deep winter, love it ski, just 2 more months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Ok....."whistle sounds"....lets have a time out in order to clear the trash off of the ice so we can round out the clock on the 12z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Wonder if NCEP wishes it could take this back - THE LEAD SYSTEM IN THE EAST/NORTHEAST WILL LIKELY TRANSPORT SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICS/SUBTROPICS NORTH THEN NORTHWEST INTO MILD AIR FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR FOR AN ARRAY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TYPES. INGREDIENTS ARE THERE FOR AN INTERIOR EVENT THANKS TO WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT IMPORTED BY THIS SYSTEM AND A CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH KEEPING COOLER AIR AT THE SURFACE. AN UPSTREAM KICKER WILL ENSURE THIS ONE WILL NOT LINGER BUT PRECIPITATION RATES COULD BE IMPRESSIVE. Ha ha... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Egh.. .i dunno ... maybe the Euro will come in and change moods. Not sure why the high pressure from the N edged stronger, yet we pretty dramatically warmed the NW arc of this system influence the way those two models did... hmm. I'm going to be curious what the model diagnostic folks say about the initializations - probably nothing significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Since I can't really interpret the models....there's not much about the GFS. What did it actually show? I assume all rain for much of SNE, ice to rain for MPM? What about up here and north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Since I can't really interpret the models....there's not much about the GFS. What did it actually show? I assume all rain for much of SNE, ice to rain for MPM? What about up here and north? Gave you like 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gave you like 2" Thanks....but then what? sleet frz rain plain rain? I will take solace in the stronger high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: Thats the direction we need to be with this for more frozen, The GGEM was further east, Now if we can get the Euro to move in that direction As long as it doesn't go too far. North of PWM, Dec. 1992 was "full of sound and fury, signifying nothing." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Man, this thing's just really dramatically changed in complexion aloft in the American modeling ... I'm with Will on that operational GFS.. .it's taking the 500mb west of New England? .. ya whisper 'wow', and just walk away. This was never going to be a winter enthusiast event not even close if using American modeling. We'll see what the other's say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: As long as it doesn't go too far. North of PWM, Dec. 1992 was "full of sound and fury, signifying nothing." It went basically over LI then the cape so we could stand a few more tics east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Since I can't really interpret the models....there's not much about the GFS. What did it actually show? I assume all rain for much of SNE, ice to rain for MPM? What about up here and north? GFS started frozen for a good chunk of interior SNE...but it eventually goes to rain....even up to your area. But keep in mind the GFS has the furthest west track by a good amount...so I'd put the chances at more prolonged frozen there pretty high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 It's a ton of ip and zr well inland. I certainly would not overlook this in the far interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Looks like sleet and rain, Mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Man, this thing's just really dramatically changed in complexion aloft in the American modeling ... I'm with Will on that operational GFS.. .it's taking the 500mb west of New England? .. ya whisper 'wow', and just walk away. This was never going to be a winter enthusiast event not even close if using American modeling. We'll see what the other's say lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: It went basically over LI then the cape so we could stand a few more tics east About 150 miles east would be helpful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: It went basically over LI then the cape so we could stand a few more tics east And had a pretty sharp northside cutoff - 32" in ORH, 8" (Eliot) tops for Maine, 2" for PWM, nary a flake in Gardiner tho lots of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Looking at the 12z Ukie, I think that would work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 1 minute ago, tamarack said: And had a pretty sharp northside cutoff - 32" in ORH, 8" (Eliot) tops for Maine, 2" for PWM, nary a flake in Gardiner tho lots of wind. I think he was talking about the track of the GFS...Dec '92 def didn't go over LI and the Cape...it went from about the Delmarva to well SE of benchmark as the low redeveloped and then retrograded back to about 100 mi south of MVY and stalled for a bit before sliding off ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think he was talking about the track of the GFS...Dec '92 def didn't go over LI and the Cape...it went from about the Delmarva to well SE of benchmark as the low redeveloped and then retrograded back to about 100 mi south of MVY and stalled for a bit before sliding off ESE. Yes, 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: About 150 miles east would be helpful No matter what, I envision you and I getting enough snow/sleet that clearing will be mandatory because the rain won't wash it away, just make it impossibly heavy to move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Ukie would actually keep many folks frozen precip for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Thanks all for the deets. I imagine there are a few more adjustments before game time. Is there still a waa band Sunday eve? yesterday it seemed so, then a pause then the main action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, 12z GFS Thanks to both of you for clarifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Based on what Slot posted.. the UKie either drove a ground single thru a pulled in infield, or at least worked out a walk.. 1 at bat left as drizzle turns to mist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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