CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 BOX not impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Chance of Snow Accumulation Experimental - Leave feedback 01/23/2017 0100PM to 01/25/2017 0700AM What's this? County: AllSelected-- VT --Addison, VTCaledonia, VTChittenden, VTEssex, VTFranklin, VTGrand Isle, VTLamoille, VTOrange, VTOrleans, VTRutland, VTWashington, VTWindsor, VT-- NY --Clinton, NYEssex, NYFranklin, NYSt. Lawrence, NY Location At least Likely Potential for >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Barre, VT 1 4 7 95% 89% 79% 49% 22% 7% 0% 0% Burlington, VT 2 4 9 99% 96% 90% 68% 44% 24% 4% 0% Island Pond, VT <1 2 6 92% 83% 68% 37% 16% 5% 0% 0% Malone, NY 2 4 9 97% 94% 88% 67% 43% 23% 4% 0% Massena, NY 2 5 10 95% 92% 86% 67% 45% 26% 5% 0% Middlebury, VT 2 3 8 98% 95% 86% 60% 35% 17% 2% 0% Newport, VT <1 3 7 90% 83% 71% 45% 23% 10% 1% 0% Plattsburgh, NY 3 4 11 100% 99% 97% 81% 59% 39% 12% 1% Potsdam, NY 2 5 10 99% 96% 92% 74% 51% 31% 8% 0% Randolph, VT 1 4 7 92% 86% 77% 51% 24% 7% 0% 0% Rutland, VT <1 3 6 90% 81% 67% 36% 12% 3% 0% 0% Springfield, VT <1 3 7 93% 86% 75% 45% 19% 6% 0% 0% St. Albans, VT 2 4 10 99% 96% 91% 71% 47% 27% 6% 0% St. Johnsbury, VT 0 2 5 86% 76% 59% 26% 7% 1% 0% 0% Stowe, VT 1 4 9 95% 91% 84% 62% 40% 22% 4% 0% Ticonderoga, NY 2 4 9 98% 95% 88% 65% 40% 20% 3% 0% Other Snow/Ice Information Storm Track Onset of Wintry Precipitation Reported Snow/Ice Totals What's this? What's this? What's this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:30 PM, wx2fish said: Rgem seems too warm to me in the BL Expand I agree. Take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 WWA posted here for what looks like 90% rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 BOX's briefing slideshow has up to 6" snow and sleet Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:34 PM, Sugarloaf1989 said: WWA posted here for what looks like 90% rain. Expand I think you'll get a fair amount of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Holy crap the RGEM is moist... pivot zone up here. RGEM got colder in the mid-levels here with more snow. Still not all the way there but nice deform pivot at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:37 PM, powderfreak said: Holy crap the RGEM is moist... pivot zone up here. RGEM got colder in the mid-levels here with more snow. Still not all the way there but nice deform pivot at least. Expand Seems like some good 850-700 fronto there. Maybe not massive stellar dendrites, but it could come down. Mansnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Why would BOX have nothing in NW Middlesex county with ORH county in advisory and WSW to north from GYX. Expand Have WwA for HFD and none for TOL and Windham counties which are both elevated. Guessing B team Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 I've 99 problems, but QPF ain't one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Have WwA for HFD and none for TOL and Windham counties which are both elevated. Guessing B team Expand No - I think the advisory is really intended for the hills of western Hartford County. It makes sense there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Have WwA for HFD and none for TOL and Windham counties which are both elevated. Guessing B team Expand elevation isn't really a huge deal with wamrth aloft though. Maybe that's what they think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 I'm mentally preparing for another screw job, but I'm not sure I understand this forecast. All snow from Monday night through Tuesday afternoon 3 pm, and 1-2" total? We do better than that in weak upslope... is the downsloping off Crawford Notch really going to limit precipitation that much from what I thought was a very juicy system??? Monday Night Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 22. Breezy, with an east wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tuesday Snow, possibly mixed with sleet, becoming all sleet after 3pm. High near 32. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow likely, possibly mixed with sleet, becoming all snow after 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:40 PM, CT Rain said: No - I think the advisory is really intended for the hills of western Hartford County. It makes sense there. Expand I mean yeah if you read it that's what they are doing, but what about here to Union to Ashford etc. I don't care if there's one or not as I know there will be a good amount of sleet accumulation , but I really don't think most of the mets there understand CT topography Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 18z gfs colder again. That's probably snow at 06z Tuesday on the ORH sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Ahh we may finally get our fronto band and lingering deformation...keeps tickling southeast with the low on the GFS. Pretty soon Massena to Montreal will be out of it and they were progged to get crushed yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:57 PM, powderfreak said: Ahh we may finally get our fronto band and lingering deformation...keeps tickling southeast with the low on the GFS. Pretty soon Massena to Montreal will be out of it and they were progged to get crushed yesterday. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:27 PM, Damage In Tolland said: BOX no wind advisories lol. Expand Is it necessary to put anything up at this lead time, especially in winter? It's not like your lawn chair's going to get blow over. On 1/22/2017 at 9:32 PM, CT Rain said: BOX not impressed. Expand They weren't excited about Tuesday either--it worked out okay for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:37 PM, powderfreak said: Holy crap the RGEM is moist... pivot zone up here. RGEM got colder in the mid-levels here with more snow. Still not all the way there but nice deform pivot at least. Expand 3.8" roughly here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 Congrats on the 2 feet on Stowe PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 I wonder if Boston can ping and cat paw away for a time.. Although it gets warmer there, tremendous lift also occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 BOX is hitting ice pretty hard. Isn't this more of a sn vs. ip situation? It certainly seems to be moving in that direction. At least in GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:15 PM, CoastalWx said: I wonder if Boston can ping and cat paw away for a time.. Although it gets warmer there, tremendous lift also occurs. Expand It's interesting how darn close we are to like 6-8" of parachutes along 495 and NW...yet probably 99% of the population has no idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2017 Author Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:41 PM, CoastalWx said: elevation isn't really a huge deal with wamrth aloft though. Maybe that's what they think. Expand Easterly flow upslope cooling has to be factored in the Berkshires NORH County and Litchfield Hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:34 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX's briefing slideshow has up to 6" snow and sleet Weird Expand Write the headlines the forecast can come along now later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:09 PM, moneypitmike said: They weren't excited about Tuesday either--it worked out okay for them. Expand They went low Tuesday and won. They seem exceptionally bearish on anything wintery S of MA/VT border. Odd given past 24 hours trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:17 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's interesting how darn close we are to like 6-8" of parachutes along 495 and NW...yet probably 99% of the population has no idea. Expand Yeah I know. A lot of the forecasts downplayed LwM-ORH and it coukd easily be several inches of snow. As much as I'm cooked here, I find these forecasts rather fascinating. Learning experience here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:40 PM, CT Rain said: No - I think the advisory is really intended for the hills of western Hartford County. It makes sense there. Expand I think they went FZRA based? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:09 PM, moneypitmike said: Is it necessary to put anything up at this lead time, especially in winter? It's not like your lawn chair's going to get blow over. They weren't excited about Tuesday either--it worked out okay for them. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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