CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:45 PM, powderfreak said: That's awfully close to wet snow...as it is it's a 33-34F scalping. Expand I'd say mainly snow... that warm layer is like 0.2C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 That would be snow if the lift is proficient. Probably the kitchen sink of ptypes verbatim. Pretty neat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:40 PM, CoastalWx said: There is also a cstl front just east of the coastline and is the reason why the rainfall may be prolific in those areas. I think the strongest winds are probably offshore..IE Cape Cod. It will be windy in cstl areas, but I think the NE flow may cause less mixing. At least that's what seems hinted on the models. Expand Fully expecting 2-3"+ with gusts in the mid 40s. May as well have this if it ain't gonna blizzard out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:46 PM, CT Rain said: I'd say mainly snow... that warm layer is like 0.2C. Expand Are those times on the bottom Zulu times? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Some downsloping in the valley probably screws us around HFD/BDL as we'll roast the boundary layer a bit. Probably melting pingers. I do think 1-2" of sleet around BDL is a possibility - especially just NW of there... with 2"-6" Litchfield Hills. Maybe 1" of slop/sleet here around Hartford? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:46 PM, CT Rain said: I'd say mainly snow... that warm layer is like 0.2C. Expand True yeah not sure what I was thinking. That is the 00z run and 12z got colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:48 PM, powderfreak said: True yeah not sure what I was thinking. That is the 00z run. Expand The 12z run wasn't any warmer, I'll tell you that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:48 PM, CT Rain said: Some downsloping in the valley probably screws us around HFD/BDL as we'll roast the boundary layer a bit. Probably melting pingers. I do think 1-2" of sleet around BDL is a possibility - especially just NW of there... with 2"-6" Litchfield Hills. Maybe 1" of slop/sleet here around Hartford? Expand 6" of sleet? That would be something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:49 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: 6" of sleet? That would be something Expand Roof collapse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:49 PM, OceanStWx said: The 12z run wasn't any warmer, I'll tell you that much. Expand 12z run looked colder. I don't have cross sections like that but at 850 and 700 it looked colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:49 PM, OceanStWx said: The 12z run wasn't any warmer, I'll tell you that much. Expand Ha yeah. Like waiting for paint to dry waiting for the 12z cross sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:47 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Are those times on the bottom Zulu times? Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:49 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: 6" of sleet? That would be something Expand Sleet and snow up there. Probably a bit of both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:50 PM, ORH_wxman said: 12z run looked colder. I don't have cross sections like that but at 850 and 700 it looked colder. Expand Got another solid 24 hours of possible cooling too. Big win for the GGEM at stake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 85-90 knot winds at 900mb on 12z 4k NAM for outer cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:51 PM, powderfreak said: Ha yeah. Like waiting for paint to dry waiting for the 12z cross sections. Expand AWIPS FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Here's 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Granted it's slower... so there's only about 0.4" of QPF at BAF by 6z. The heaviest is like 6z-12z there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:56 PM, CT Rain said: Granted it's slower... so there's only about 0.4" of QPF at BAF by 6z. The heaviest is like 6z-12z there. Expand Wintry appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan >> Ray Expand It's not about greater than, its about striving for continued growth while tempering expectations. He would likely tell you the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 7:52 PM, CT Rain said: Sleet and snow up there. Probably a bit of both. Expand It looks like the EURO is -1ish at 700, right around 0 at 850, and -1 at 925, 2m is between 33-34 during the heaviest 6 hr period in northern Fairfield...thoughts on here? Heavy sleet with some mangled flakes to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 8:00 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's not about greater than, its about striving for continued growth while tempering expectations. He would likely tell you the same. Expand Perhaps you should read his blog . Perhaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 8:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Perhaps you should read his blog . Perhaps Expand Absolutely....I will in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Much colder 18z Nam from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Brisk NE wind 36F td 31F, overcast. Looks like snow is coming out here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 8:05 PM, dryslot said: Much colder 18z Nam from 12z Expand Low looks more south too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 8:24 PM, DavisStraight said: Low looks more south too Expand It is SE of the 12z run as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 8:05 PM, dryslot said: Much colder 18z Nam from 12z Expand Definitely cut down that warm layer on the soundings here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 8:26 PM, wx2fish said: Definitely cut down that warm layer on the soundings here Expand Yeah drastically. That's almost snow on the FIT sounding for like 8-10 hours. Sleet verbatim but not far now from big snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Wow EURO cross section looks like all snow up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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