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Gnarly Nor'easter 1/24 to 1/25/17 our favorite week


Ginx snewx

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  On 1/21/2017 at 6:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Obviously but there had been talk of a prolonged period of sleet in CT.. and his answer was boat.

So I'm guessing that means 50 and rain wire to wire while ORH north gets crushed.

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850 temps fall below zero there at 60 hours there so there could be some sleet or mixed precip for a time. Sfc is kind of warm but I'm always skeptical of sfc temps in these setups. They are too warm about 99% of the time. 

At any rate the exact solution doesn't really matter right now. The tick colder was good and makes 00z continue to be relevant. Another tick and you'd prob get a good scalping.  

 

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  On 1/21/2017 at 6:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Obviously but there had been talk of a prolonged period of sleet in CT.. and his answer was boat.

So I'm guessing that means 50 and rain wire to wire while ORH north gets crushed.

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It could be 34F and rain wire to wire would probably be a more accurate statement.

You are one tick colder from at least some sleet and ZR.

Your temps at 925-850mb are like +1C to +3C while northern ORH County is -4C. 

At 72 hours it has IJD with +7C while Hubbdave is -2C.  Its pretty ridiculous the gradient. 

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  On 1/21/2017 at 6:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Obviously but there had been talk of a prolonged period of sleet in CT.. and his answer was boat.

So I'm guessing that means 50 and rain wire to wire while ORH north gets crushed.

Expand  

 As models currently stand, Worcester getting crushed is still pretty low odds. The cold trend would have to continue on all models at 0z.

 My guess is we are still trying to figure out final solutions at 12z tomorrow.  Big bust potential in either direction for CNE  in particular.

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  On 1/21/2017 at 7:08 PM, powderfreak said:

It could be 34F and rain wire to wire would probably be a more accurate statement.

You are one tick colder from at least some sleet and ZR.

Your temps at 925-850mb are like +1C to +3C while northern ORH County is -4C.  Quite the gradient.

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Thanks. Ginx had +8 over CT so that seemed like warm .

Good luck up there 

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