HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:15 PM, dendrite said: Who is losing power from sleet? Expand CT's power grid is tenuous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:17 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: CT's power grid is tenuous Expand To say the least.. I lost power for nearly 2 wks from the Halloween snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:15 PM, dendrite said: Who is losing power from sleet? Expand Kevin likes shoveling sand as much as not having heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Gonna have to watch for potential light snows before the main event with the onshore flow late Sunday night and early Monday. Esp over east facing terrain in interior. Almost all guidance is hinting at this. The setup is pretty classic too. Expand We'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Gonna have to watch for potential light snows before the main event with the onshore flow late Sunday night and early Monday. Esp over east facing terrain in interior. Almost all guidance is hinting at this. The setup is pretty classic too. Expand On 1/21/2017 at 3:15 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah I mentioned that earlier, it looks like a CF type enhancement too from near the Maine coast all the way into NE MA or SNH. It makes sense. Expand Our local WRF is hitting that hard with its PoP. With that high squeezing down Sunday night, 850 temps should get cold enough to produce some ocean effect convective showers too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:17 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: CT's power grid is tenuous Expand The state isn't equipped to handle man snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:24 PM, OceanStWx said: Our local WRF is hitting that hard with its PoP. With that high squeezing down Sunday night, 850 temps should get cold enough to produce some ocean effect convective showers too. Expand What's it showing down in bath? I'll be doing a predawn commute to boston Monday morning. Tia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:24 PM, moneypitmike said: The state isn't equipped to handle man snow. Expand God does not exist here, only in WMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2017 Author Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:24 PM, OceanStWx said: Our local WRF is hitting that hard with its PoP. With that high squeezing down Sunday night, 850 temps should get cold enough to produce some ocean effect convective showers too. Expand I remember a certain setup similar this week a couple of years ago with your pre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:26 PM, moneypitmike said: What's it showing down in bath? I'll be doing a predawn commute to boston Monday morning. Tia. Expand Some threat for a snow shower near Bath, but I think the focus will be SW of there where winds are more onshore. So maybe your drive through NH and the York tolls will be the most likely spot to run into one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Well my mid morning long term update is finished. I tried to avoid wholesale changes, but it did tweak the overall result colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:32 PM, OceanStWx said: Well my mid morning long term update is finished. I tried to avoid wholesale changes, but it did tweak the overall result colder. Expand Now the rest of the 12z guidance will come in warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 And we will know who we can blame if it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We'll take it Expand Not for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 GFS I think will be a bit warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:41 PM, CoastalWx said: Not for you. Expand ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: ? Expand It's not for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:33 PM, ORH_wxman said: Now the rest of the 12z guidance will come in warmer. Expand Oh for sure. But that Euro is pretty cold for my area. Dendrite wouldn't really even be flirting with mixed precip until after the bulk of the QPF has moved through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Gfs def a tick warmer than 06z. Everytime we get close it swings back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Precip seems to be heaviest around 06-12z up here. CON doesn't really edge above freezing aloft until very close to 12z (between 09-12z anyway). A place like Carrabassett Valley really doesn't have any mid level temp issues until closer to 18z Tue. Well after the heaviest precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:49 PM, ORH_wxman said: Gfs def a tick warmer than 06z. Everytime we get close it swings back. Expand 06z was actually colder than the Euro up this way, so I can't say I'm all that surprised it has edged warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Man that's still really close to snow though even at ORH at 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:51 PM, OceanStWx said: 06z was actually colder than the Euro up this way, so I can't say I'm all that surprised it has edged warmer. Expand How was the euro between 850-700? I cant see around 800. GFS is still alot colder than the NAM in those levels. More snow vs sleet in NNE until they dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 I wonder if we can tuck after the low moves east and flip to ZR or ice up in NEMA on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 So close to a snow bomb here...lots to iron out over the next couple of days though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:53 PM, wx2fish said: How was the euro between 850-700? GFS is still alot colder than the NAM in those levels. More snow vs sleet in NNE until they dryslot Expand For like ASH it has this sliver of 0-1C air just above 800 mb. The surface is progged to be > 32F, but regardless that looks like a sleet sounding to me. Around 09z would probably flip to rain as the warm nose hits +5C centered around 850 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:56 PM, dendrite said: So close to a snow bomb here...lots to iron out over the next couple of days though. Expand It wont take a whole lot so thats a plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:44 PM, CoastalWx said: It's not for your area. Expand How far south does the backdoor cold get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:57 PM, OceanStWx said: For like ASH it has this sliver of 0-1C air just above 800 mb. The surface is progged to be > 32F, but regardless that looks like a sleet sounding to me. Around 09z would probably flip to rain as the warm nose hits +5C centered around 850 mb. Expand I'm a bit skeptical of the sfc prog...guidance seems to have the cold wedge a bit too far west in my eyes looking at the synoptics of the high. Maybe it's right but I feel like they always want to make the sfc low off to the south and southwest too symmetrical and the flow too geostrophic at sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:57 PM, dryslot said: It wont take a whole lot so thats a plus Expand The 12z GFS was the most impressive snow map for SENH this season. Excluding the coast it was 8-12". Even the coast shows 2-5". I'll take that and run with it considering the GFS BL warm bias... We're edging closer to a big winter event here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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