cae Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1 hour ago, yoda said: 00z RGEM has 2-3 inches of rain around tomorrow In central VA, but it looks to me more like 1-2 inches near the cities. Either way, it's showing more than most other models. The GFS is still calling for 25+ MPH sustained winds across most of Maryland east of DC tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Just noticed the first little gust here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 This mornings 12K NAM was a nice little surprise this morning especially for those in the northern portion of MD. It is pretty close to the evolution we want to see with the low off the coast if we hope to see snow. And unlike previous snowfall maps, which were nothing more then fake digital snow, this snowfall map seems to be fairly realistic with the setup and temps now being shown. The Kuchera output also closely matches this snowfall map. Now whether the NAM is right is another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 The 4K NAM is also on board per weatherbell though the Kuchera method doesn't agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Where's the rain at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2017 Author Share Posted January 23, 2017 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: Where's the rain at? this is the driest 980 coastal bomb of all time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 why are people afraid to drive in drizzle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 I'm rooting hard for the Canaan area. We are off work on Friday so it would nice to get out that way for some xc skiing and some of jonjon's ipa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1 hour ago, Ji said: this is the driest 980 coastal bomb of all time I was thinking the same thing. I guess it follows the theme of this winter. Hopefully the wind verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 It's wicked here. Damp, cold, wind howling, rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Not expecting much, if any snow, but will be interesting to watch as temps fall throughout the day, if any wet paste can make an appearance later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Pretty sure the 06z NAM would be snow in D.C. as well at the end, unless there is a sneaky warm layer. 850s cooperate at the end and there is a decent amount of precip still falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Surprised there are no advisories for the Canaan area. Seems like most, if not all, models are on board with them getting 6+"....maybe even double digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Hoping for a surprise flood/power outage event here in DC but not holding my breath. This has to be the most underwhelming sub-990 low in memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 from 4am... Lastly, some wintry precipitation could develop late this afternoon through tonight across the higher terrain of W MD, WV, and VA as the column continues to cool. Some uncertainty remains as to when this occurs...and the type of wintry precipitation. Could be a period of sleet/freezing rain as low levels cool slightly faster than mid- levels. Increased snow totals a bit to account for greater faster cooling of the column...though...any accumulations will initially be hampered by warm ground temperatures. Generally 1-2 inches at the higher elevations with less than an inch elsewhere...though a few isolated spots at higher elevations could pick up a bit more. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 4 minutes ago, snowfan said: Surprised there are no advisories for the Canaan area. Seems like most, if not all, models are on board with them getting 6+"....maybe even double digits. 6" there draws barely a notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Hoping for a surprise flood/power outage event here in DC but not holding my breath. This has to be the most underwhelming sub-990 low in memory. It ain't over yet. Perhaps wait until then to pass judgement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 1 minute ago, MD Snow said: If things keep trending colder, MD could have their best event of the year...said with a perfectly straight face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 The models have struggled severely with this storm. I think they are still catching up and this is essentially a nowcast. Im in S NJ on the coast and every model had steady rain developing last night as little lead time as 6 hours yesterday. Still no rain. Storm is slowwwwww moving. Not bad for no true block in place. Will be interesting to see how this unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 A few ice pellets mixing with the rain here as of about 45 minutes ago. Temp then was 37. Temp up on the ridge at Canaan Heights a few miles away is down to 34 as of 9am. If we can get this to change early then it may be a nice event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Keep the trends coming! 4km NAM is oh so close to a regionalized success. 3km para Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Looks like Deep Creek just started mixing snow/rain with temp 33F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 10 minutes ago, BTRWx said: Keep the trends coming! 4km NAM is oh so close to a regionalized success. 3km para WTF!!?? I've been out of the country for a week but I thought this was not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: WTF!!?? I've been out of the country for a week but I thought this was not even close. for the map I commented at the time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Nice to see the NAM still likes bringing the low up the coast, stalling it and drawing it westward into the coast giving us wrap around snow. We can score some snow if it plays out this way. Maybe even into the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 nice pic http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_us_loop.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: WTF!!?? I've been out of the country for a week but I thought this was not even close. I have been quietly watching it trend the right direction all week. Sometimes in a one step forward 1/2 step back kind of way but the general trend for a long time has been a slow improvement overall run after run. Perhaps because it started off as such a bad look and because the trend better was so incremental it went unnoticed. That said I still think its likely mostly rain, and in the cities would still be shocked in there was any accumulation, but it looks like places NW with some elevation could possibly back door their way to a measurable event. Crap the 3k Nam gives me a foot of snow, not buying that at all but one can dream I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Thunder & Lightning and Heavy Rain......44 degrees in Spotsylvania, VA The whole building at work shook with the thunder..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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