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Big Noreaster Rain/wind/wet snow thread 1/22-1/23


Ji

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Hrrr has been trending the wrong way last 5 runs. Weaker low further east less tucked in. Less banding on the sw side. Fits radar. Not a well organized system right now. Blew itself apart and needs to reorganize and it's doing it right at our latitude. Reverted to the problems of the earlier runs before last night and this mornings high res models teased us with a tucked in well organized tightly would system that deformed us tonight. It's back to the blown apart mess with showery stuff on the back side. Euro never wavered on that look btw. 

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Models shat the bed here with precip totals, was expecting 1-2"+ QPF, yet only have about 0.33" total storm. Had this have been 10 degrees colder and a snow event, it would have been a relative bad bust. This morning the storm was at a similar strength and location to the Blizzard last year, but results are completely different.

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