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Severe Weather Risk This Weekend


Jim Martin

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7 minutes ago, NavarreDon said:

The area of storms that will come ashore in a little while. S of Tampa down to Naples will have to be watched. No monsters but definitely some quick spin ups possible.

I still wouldn't rule out the possibility of significant tornadoes at this point now that we have ongoing discrete activity.

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This is a classic setup of a LLJ interaction with a squall line turning into a linear setup of discrete supercells and QLCs.  This is not good because there is a possibility of at least two long-track tornadoes coming from this across West Central and North Florida in the next 2-4 hours.

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8 minutes ago, SmokeEater said:

Right on cue as soon as some call bust.... Like was stated in the PNS earlier, this reminds me so much of 93. Will it be as intense? No way to know. But the evolution is very similar.

93 wasn't even that prolific from a tornado perspective.  I'd almost consider it a victory if it ends up like that.

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VERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
637 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
GAC039-127-222345-  
/O.CON.KJAX.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-170122T2345Z/  
CAMDEN GA-GLYNN GA-  
637 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EST FOR CENTRAL  
CAMDEN AND SOUTHWESTERN GLYNN COUNTIES...  
          
AT 636 PM EST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER WOODBINE, MOVING  
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.   
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.   

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