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Severe Weather Risk This Weekend


Jim Martin

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4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

So far this looks pretty meh, seems like the convective mode is mostly linear and any spin ups are falling apart after ~30 min.

We're just now getting into the prime window for instability though, way too early to start calling this a bust.

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2 minutes ago, Chinook said:

Where is Murfreesboro? I thought that was in Tennessee. Obviously this is a different Murfreesboro. But I have no idea.

Yeah, it's near Nashville. It's my signature because that EF4 occurred on my birthday and almost hit my parents, missed them by a quarter mile.

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O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170122T2045Z/  
LEE GA-TURNER GA-WORTH GA-DOUGHERTY GA-  
326 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR DOUGHERTY COUNTY GEORGIA INCLUDING THE CITY  
OF ALBANY...  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR  
SOUTHEASTERN LEE...WEST CENTRAL TURNER...NORTHWESTERN WORTH AND  
CENTRAL DOUGHERTY COUNTIES...  
          
AT 325 PM EST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED  
OVER ALBANY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.  
  
TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR DOUGHERTY COUNTY GEORGIA INCLUDING THE CITY OF  
ALBANY. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DEADLY TORNADO.   

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2 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

May need a TORE on that Albany cell. Likely strong tornado going into populated area.

Just issued

 

Quote

Lee GA-Turner GA-Worth GA-Dougherty GA-
326 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR DOUGHERTY COUNTY GEORGIA INCLUDING THE CITY
OF ALBANY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LEE...WEST CENTRAL TURNER...NORTHWESTERN WORTH AND
CENTRAL DOUGHERTY COUNTIES...
        
At 325 PM EST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Albany, moving northeast at 70 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for Dougherty county Georgia including the city of
Albany. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado. 

 

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Check out the 18Z TLH sounding.  Some pretty impressive 0-1 km and effective inflow layer SRH, but the numbers aren't quite as astronomical as some of the guidance this morning had predicted.  Lacking a little bit in curvature within the lowest 1 km, which may be why these cells aren't becoming widespread tornado producers just yet.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/17012218_OBS/

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GAC095-177-287-321-222045-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0049.000000T0000Z-170122T2045Z/
Lee GA-Turner GA-Worth GA-Dougherty GA-
326 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR DOUGHERTY COUNTY GEORGIA INCLUDING THE CITY
OF ALBANY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LEE...WEST CENTRAL TURNER...NORTHWESTERN WORTH AND
CENTRAL DOUGHERTY COUNTIES...
        
At 325 PM EST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Albany, moving northeast at 70 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for Dougherty county Georgia including the city of
Albany. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado. 
 

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My roommate has family in south Albany. He just called and they are okay and the house seems undamaged. They said it sounded close to the house when they were seeking shelter in a closet. Not sure how close the Tornado was. Prayers.

 

 

Edit: Tree down in their yard.

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not a PDS now

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  
340 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHWESTERN BEN HILL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...  
  NORTHERN TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...  
  NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...  
  
* UNTIL 415 PM EST  
      
* AT 340 PM EST, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES  
  NORTHEAST OF MARINE CORPS LOGISTICS BASE, OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF  
  SYLVESTER, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.   
  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

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