Zeus Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 10 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: What in Sam Hell is going on in here. What the heck is preprint? That is what dribbles out when a writer becomes aroused. Now come, and let us discussion the mayhem of the models as men, as we once did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 43 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Weenies should check out the GEM. for early next week.... Drought cancel. No cold air to work with down here. We wait patiently until the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Next week looks like the biggest QPF producer from a nor'easter since maybe 2015? We've had an absence of good slow moving coastals. I suppose there is still a small chance of it becoming interesting, but it would need a lot of help. Maybe a Dec 92 kind of deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Maybe a Dec 92 kind of deal with the 540 line over Quebec you will have 92 with zero snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 That storm on the 28th seems like the next snow event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Next week looks like the biggest QPF producer from a nor'easter since maybe 2015? We've had an absence of good slow moving coastals. I suppose there is still a small chance of it becoming interesting, but it would need a lot of help. Looks like occluded cutoff low as opposed to a noreaster also the HECS last year was slow moving with over 2 inches of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: Looks like occluded cutoff low as opposed to a noreaster also the HECS last year was slow moving with over 2 inches of qpf I mean up here. We didn't have that much QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That storm on the 28th seems like the next snow event Nothing like pinning hopes on a D10 event. #hitthesnoozebutton" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: Weenies should check out the GEM. for early next week.... Lovely driving rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 58 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: with the 540 line over Quebec you will have 92 with zero snow Get a storm like that during coldest climo point and can't muster up enough cold. Pissah- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Get a storm like that during coldest climo point and can't muster up enough cold. Pissah- I know...it's maddening that we are wasting these chances..can only hope we get a few more chances going forward. Sure hope so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Lovely driving rainstorm. For whom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 If we didn't have the second storm on its heels, we might be able to have a better chance. The second deepening s/w into the srn Plains helps kick this low north and bring in warmer maritime air just off the deck as it does so. The GGEM does not do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 8 minutes ago, jbenedet said: For whom? I haven't looked at it yet because I've been immersed in the current fail, but seems like it needs a lot of work for most RE cold supply. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 10 minutes ago, jbenedet said: For whom? About 90% of this sub-Forums posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: If we didn't have the second storm on its heels, we might be able to have a better chance. The second deepening s/w into the srn Plains helps kick this low north and bring in warmer maritime air just off the deck as it does so. The GGEM does not do that. Funny....we haven't been able to buy amplification all season bc of the buzz saw medium, but now we spacing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Someone say jack? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Someone say jack? Quit stealing everyone's rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Just now, butterfish55 said: Quit stealing everyone's rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Dave Epstein just fainted from that graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dave Epstein just fainted from that graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 GGEM was a paste bomb away from coast. But it's the outlier because of the block it is able to form over Hudson Bay. Other guidance doesn't close off the block there and it slides east which allows the warmer air to advect in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM was a paste bomb away from coast. But it's the outlier because of the block it is able to form over Hudson Bay. Other guidance doesn't close off the block there and it slides east which allows the warmer air to advect in. Let's clarify that some more. Well inland and N away from the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Let's clarify that some more. Well inland and N away from the coast. This is obviously the correct solution. Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2017 Author Share Posted January 18, 2017 3 hours ago, Googlymoogly said: This was painful to read. This guy never says anything useful with his apparent erudite grasp of English, he only condescends those who are trying to understand the contrived and convoluted essays he writes. Plus, he's had more spelling errors than Kevin, based on my secret count. Also, his is perhaps the most transparent facade of pretending not to be bothered by the weather. Just rough. This is sad. This should be a scientific forum. And science welcomes all minds, no matter the intellect. Bummer. ANYWAYS, looks like a fun Feb. No "secret counts" required. I admit it, wholeheartedly, I'm not a naturally gifted speller - to put it nicely. As far as not being bothered by the weather - I don't believe I actually ever said that is true? Go dig anything up and I'll tell you why you are comprehending it wrongly. Not sure where that is coming from. I've mentioned on several occasions that I don't let it get me down, and I don't. But I'm not numb to the idea of missing out on winter weather in the winter, or summer weather in the summer. I have DEFINITELY written plenty of opines in the past that resented others tendencies to evade warm weather topic - but have since given that up too. This site's contributory members are primarily here because they are more into winter weather type phenomenon than what the other season's have to offer. I've just matured enough to accept that, and that it's probably more like my own bias to think I could ever inspire interest in summer heatwaves (for example) by pointing out that bias. Duh. Please though... you've piqued my interests: please divulge the secret count... We're riveted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 I'm down with canes....but the US seasons have just been abdominal for several years running.....T-Storms.....its like being a snow addict in Norfolk, VA- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 40 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Let's clarify that some more. Well inland and N away from the coast. Yeah....it's not close here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm down with canes....but the US seasons have just been abdominal for several years running.....T-Storms.....its like being a snow addict in Norfolk, VA- Nothing better than a Sonoroan heat release. I love all kinds of interesting weather but its been a pretty boring stretch on all fronts. When people assume what others people think they often are wrong. I know many here are weather buffs which mean they appreciate the wild windex event, the ovenly HHH day, the brutal Valentines day wind and cold, the roar of a fall noreaster, the tranquility of a warm spring morning. The optics of snow far exceed any other natural occurrence, the instant transformation is the draw to me.Trying to psychologically interpret every one because of their post predilections has and will remain a foolish endeavor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2017 Author Share Posted January 18, 2017 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Someone say jack? This is interesting... (though I apparently never say anything worth reading with my erudite grasp of English and broad spectrum of spelling errors... so taken for what it's worth) when balancing this QPF product against the plethora of other charts. The 00z GGEM model run is eye-candy, first and foremost. As any cogent consumer of weather forecast graphical products on this site would surely agree, at this range, and considering the source (not that you aren't, just sayn') being the Canadian model; it's obviously not too believable. That said, the 0 C, 850 mb isotherm is probably what supplies a bit of contention. If using 'freebie' products, it shows that isotherm packed pretty tightly SE along the coast (..about 5.4 miles NW of where ever Scott happens to be that day), while providing some 30 hours or more of QPF totals over an inch every 12 hours ...most importantly, over the sub 0 C side of said isotherm. -3 to -5 C at that, with multi-day CCB actively hosing clear to Albany and then some. Then, we look at the snow total ...12" - Really? We'd have to have that 12" of snow be complete and utter silvery slush to get that to happen. So, ...SOMEthing is amiss there - OH, right... it's the GGEM. But, suppose the QPF is right and the snow product is wrong, and the isotherm (0 C) rule of thumb tended to work out, I think that solution might be the biggest in history. 1888? Joke! Anyway, I think the +PNA phase change and the big A. correlation stuff is still in tact. Unfortunately, the caveat of those statistics not really speaking to snow; that is and was always there. If it doesn't break right, I'm hoping folks remember that 'real' usefulness there - The -NAO was encouraging... but, the NAO seems to be dinking around in the guidance since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nothing better than a Sonoroan heat release. I love all kinds of interesting weather but its been a pretty boring stretch on all fronts. When people assume what others people think they often are wrong. I know many here are weather buffs which mean they appreciate the wild windex event, the ovenly HHH day, the brutal Valentines day wind and cold, the roar of a fall noreaster, the tranquility of a warm spring morning. The optics of snow far exceed any other natural occurrence, the instant transformation is the draw to me.Trying to psychologically interpret every one because of their post predilections has and will remain a foolish endeavor. Well said...but the interests of this forum are heavily weighted towards snow. That being said, it is easy to overlook other areas of interest....I do get intrigued by extreme heat and wind events, but frankly neither are very common around here...especially the latter for me locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.