CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it actually ended up even more than what I initially said...just sort of rotted over us with a bit of mid level magic...not really relevant at this stage but good to see the system there still. Yeah it looked scraper first. But that s/w caught up. I'm sure it will alternate all over the place between now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 The Super Bowl storm looks good at this stage, better than 00z and that is all you can ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah it looked scraper first. But that s/w caught up. I'm sure it will alternate all over the place between now and then. Hopefully the clipper sharpens up just a tad. The mid levels are perfect temps for snow growth so that one could produce if we just give a little kink in that shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah it looked scraper first. But that s/w caught up. I'm sure it will alternate all over the place between now and then. That is a great trough Scott. By far the greatest potential so far in this horrible winter, other than the two storms in early January in which I got a combined 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Will, the shortwave on Monday, why isn't it worthy of talking about it? It looks good right now, negative tilt further west than modeled the other day. Closer to producing something great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Hopefully the clipper sharpens up just a tad. The mid levels are perfect temps for snow growth so that one could produce if we just give a little kink in that shortwave. Has the Currier and Ives look. It's been awhile since we had some snow OTG locally so a couple of inches would be appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That is a great trough Scott. By far the greatest potential so far in this horrible winter, other than the two storms in early January in which I got a combined 18". I won't call that a bad winter with about 2 months to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, dmillz25 said: I won't call that a bad winter with about 2 months to go Horrible past couple of weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That is a great trough Scott. By far the greatest potential so far in this horrible winter, other than the two storms in early January in which I got a combined 18". It's so far out. I have zero interest in it right now. So much could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's so far out. I have zero interest in it right now. So much could change. Scott what's wrong with the Monday clipper and shortwave trough? It looks better than most would think yet it does nothing for our area? Is it because its too weak initially or too far south of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Has the Currier and Ives look. It's been awhile since we had some snow OTG locally so a couple of inches would be appreciated. Yeah once the pack is gone you take what you can get. Still a man pack out in N ORH but it's mostly gone by the time you hit 495. I'd take a few inches of fluff to liven up the eastern landscape. Should be cold enough to stick around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Scraper on the euro, like 1/3/2-4" verbatim...still there though. Looked better Monday Tuesday. I like that look, Kevin's down to fantasizing about flurries. Sure a covering would be cool but just having come back from a foot I miss deep snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ginx downplays snow. Like he wouldn't take a snowy Tuesday and Super Bowl Sunday..Man up Its not super bowl Sunday meat but the next days after that look great on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Looked better Monday Tuesday. I like that look, Kevin's down to fantasizing about flurries. Sure a covering would be cool but just having come back from a foot I miss deep snow. It's a 1-3 verbatim. I miss the old Ginx who got excited about snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Days 8.5 to 10 Euro puts out between .6 and 1.0 qpf in SNE in a cold environment, that's good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Scott what's wrong with the Monday clipper and shortwave trough? It looks better than most would think yet it does nothing for our area? Is it because its too weak initially or too far south of us? It's too progressive. Out to sea. Maybe the outer cape gets a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Yeah I thoiught the d9-10 look is kind of sweet. With deep winter over us as an antecedent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a 1-3 verbatim. I miss the old Ginx who got excited about snow. Have to look beyond the models, think outside the box? Last I checked. .05 to .1 qpf with meh dynamics falling with surface RH values in the 80s is pretty meh. Juice that up and we can talk about it. Plenty of time to see. When mesos are dry you got issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Scott, this system trended from nothing to something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Yeah I thoiught the d9-10 look is kind of sweet. With deep winter over us as an antecedent. Beyond looked good too. It's probably wise to take the Bill B approach and do one event at a time, but the long range was hopeful. I would urge people to not set themselves up for disappointment for the day 9-10 deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Scott, this system trended from nothing to something It trended from nothing to something for the sunken Andrea Gail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Beyond looked good too. It's probably wise to take the Bill B approach and do one event at a time, but the long range was hopeful. I would urge people to not set themselves up for disappointment for the day 9-10 deal. Urge lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Urge lol Because people will b**ch and moan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Have to look beyond the models, think outside the box? Last I checked. .05 to .1 qpf with meh dynamics falling with surface RH values in the 80s is pretty meh. Juice that up and we can talk about it. Plenty of time to see. When mesos are dry you got issues On Saturday morning we're using meso models now for a Tuesday night snow? Why are you using qpf? Good inflow.. snow growth. Piles easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol just went back and read last night's posts...what a meltdown by Ray over the 228 hour GFS. Pretty solid. I didn't melt over that run....people were just badgering me over details on day 10. I'm frustrated, but not over that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Piles easy Roid's? PrepH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Beyond looked good too. It's probably wise to take the Bill B approach and do one event at a time, but the long range was hopeful. I would urge people to not set themselves up for disappointment for the day 9-10 deal. 78 or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a 1-3 verbatim. I miss the old Ginx who got excited about snow. He's morphed into me...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: He's morphed into me...lol It's the end of jan.... I think for most people the novelty of 1-2" events is gone. People want bigger ticket events at this point. in November, sure... everyone would be happy for an inch or two.... now.. not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It's the end of jan.... I think for most people the novelty of 1-2" events is gone. People want bigger ticket events at this point. in November, sure... everyone would be happy for an inch or two.... now.. not so much Preaching to the choir..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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