40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I get it. Jan shat the bed minus my CJ, although I had nothing to show for that a few days later. Definitely not mansnow and didn't stand a chance with the torch. The NNE event/CJ oscillation got to me....but honestly, if it doesn't turn around, I'm ready to shift gears towards fantasy baseball after the SB. Still think winter can be salvaged, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: Time to go measure. The snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I should change my name to Mansnow, but I may drive off the two women that post on this board. What a sausage board. Nopoles just rolled over in her bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Time to go measure. The snow. Dunten just left the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The NNE event/CJ oscillation got to me....but honestly, if it doesn't turn around, I'm ready to shift gears towards fantasy baseball after the SB. Still think winter can be salvaged, though. The gefs went real weenie this run. I hope it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just get to the first 2 weeks of Feb and we will be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 FWIW, I measured another 0.6" since midnight, so about 0.8" in 50 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 EURO drops 1-2" from the clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I should change my name to Mansnow, but I may drive off the two women that post on this board. What a sausage board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Since it's not super busy, what does CJ stand for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Since it's not super busy, what does CJ stand for? Circle Jerk I believe. when the area inside 128 gets big snow, but the rest of the area gets much much less..like what happened in early January with that snow event(the last snow event). At least that's what I think it means from what I can gather anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EURO drops 1-2" from the clipper. Yup..not sure what those posts were all about last night..Evrything is south Tue into Wed... Second wave, this time out of NW Canada will be sliding through the region with a clipper sfc low attendant. Timing of this feature to pass is late Tue into early Wed given latest guidance timing. While the wave itself is weaker than Monday`s it does carry latent heat/energy and moisture from the Pacific that the former did not. Exact track is difficult to determine, but as long as it passes over or as close to S New England as current progs suggest, expect widespread light precip as QPF values range from 0.10-0.50 by the time it shifts E of the region. While the bulk of precip is likely to be SN as H92 temps peak between -2C and 0C from current warmest guidance. However, this will be dependent on track. In any case, snow growth regime omega and thermal profiles suggest SLRs will be on the lower side. A brief period of heavier snow is possible with the actual wave passage after the initial clipper in an inverted trof. This remains a possibility thanks to modest 40+ kt LLJ and decent lvl lapse rates in the cold advection following the low pres passage. Will need to monitor this as mesoscale features become better refined since briefly heavier SN is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Could be a nice little event if that goes south of us. 6z GFS also looked a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Clipper def trending better. Get it south just a bit more and we could have a solid advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I feel like the best with this will end up south of me if it hits...just a gut-guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like the best with this will end up south of me if it hits...just a gut-guess. The clipper? Verbatim I would say best is north right now on the models. It would have to go much farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 It's been south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's been south No it hasn't, James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The clipper? Verbatim I would say best is north right now on the models. It would have to go much farther south. Yeah that's what I was thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Lol just went back and read last night's posts...what a meltdown by Ray over the 228 hour GFS. Pretty solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol just went back and read last night's posts...what a meltdown by Ray over the 228 hour GFS. Pretty solid. He was at the Tobin and read one of those "Need Help? Call the Samaritans" signs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Clipper def trending better. Get it south just a bit more and we could have a solid advisory event. KFS ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: KFS ftw? Still has some work to do to get to advisory but it's always been a threat for at least minor snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No it hasn't, James. It's been going right over SNE and models now printing out 1-3/2-4. If you step back you'll see how it goes out south of Li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's been going right over SNE and models now printing out 1-3/2-4. If you step back you'll see how it goes out south of Li You're wish casting and I'm talking verbatim. It could move south, but as far as you stating its already south and a 2-4 event...it is not there yet. I agree it could move south, but let's be clear here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 That Tuesday clipper looks good for around the Pike region northward, south of Pike it looks meh. I'm not too excited about it, but the NAM is trying to show something with it. Need to watch, but I am not excited about it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You're wish casting and I'm talking verbatim. It could move south, but as far as you stating its already south and a 2-4 event...it is not there yet. I agree it could move south, but let's be clear here. The KFS and NWS where north became south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You're wish casting and I'm talking verbatim. It could move south, but as far as you stating its already south and a 2-4 event...it is not there yet. I agree it could move south, but let's be clear here. I'm not sure what you're looking at but it's 1-3 south of say I-90 now and 2-4 north. I'm not using qpf . I'm looking at what the setup should yield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'm not sure what you're looking at but it's 1-3 south of say I-90 now and 2-4 north. I'm not using qpf . I'm looking at what the setup should yield I'm commenting on your bad model comprehension. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I'm liking the late Tuesday trend. Continuing it appears somewhat at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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