SouthCoastMA Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 That needs to be 200 miles further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 lol, Nothing has the clipper south its north and weak on all guidance, But i didn't check the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Albert, We may be focusing on your name sake first for next week before worrying about the D10 storm. Or his wife Alberta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I don't like the clipper for Wednesday, I like the 6th storm system on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 13 hours ago, dendrite said: Wow...hadn't realized that. Anyone know the record for most consecutive days of >=32F at BDL in January? xmACIS doesn't let you restrict the date range which kind of makes it more difficult. But I ran it with all runs of 10 days or more and looked for an ending date in a winter month (included Morch too). Best I could do was 23 days in a row ending 3/31/36. March can be torchy, especially late, so I tossed that. Then I found a 13 day run ending 12/8/98, but that includes some of November. That leaves me with 11 days in a row ending 12/13/23. Looks like 9 days in a row is the winner for January, ending 1/22/95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 does anybody else see a stronger and further south alberta clipper on the 00z GFS right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 The GFS is showing an amplified +PNA pattern with a cutoff low near Baja, CA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 sorry the cutoff is much further south than I thought it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Nevermind, clipper still went north of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: This one seems pretty easy to see. Clipper diving south into powder keg torch Sst's. Cold in place. Nice stripe of 2-4 or something like that I won't be shoveling anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I'm about to place someone on ignore for the first time in my life, and it isn't Kev. What an upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I won't be shoveling anything. Does model interpretation BS count? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Does model interpretation BS count? If it does, then members of this forum will be doing swan dives out of windows a la Feb 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I have a feeling the post SB event is going to try to cut this run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a feeling the post SB event is going to try to cut this run.. Tough to tell, but at 204 it looks completely different than 18z..... which isn't a surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Tough to tell, but at 204 it looks completely different than 18z..... which isn't a surprise Both pieces of energy are hanging back longer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Both pieces of energy are hanging back longer... You were right... looks like it's going to cut. Verbatim some wintry precip at least to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: You were right... looks like it's going to cut. Verbatim some wintry precip at least to start Through Albany It was obvious to me on the last run how tenuous this is bc we had low pressure over Canada, and the high stretched well off the coast...the run screamed "needle threader" to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Central northern Maine special this time. Only 38 more runs to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Through Albany It was obvious to me on the last run how tenuous this is bc we had low pressure over Canada, and the high stretched well off the coast...the run screamed "needle threader" to me. Yeah. Seems any chances we are getting this season are needle threaders. At least it still has the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 That clipper is a good bit south now compared to 18z and 12z on the gfs and Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 That storm is more a SWFE. Not cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Tremendous morphologies in the entire evolution with this run....the streams never phase, and the system that ends up cutting is born entirely of northern stream dynamics.....we want that to drop further south and phase in with the STJ. It didn't happen this run bc the ridge out west was garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: That storm is more a SWFE. Not cutter. Semantics. Whatever......it tracked west of us.....yes; there would be front end ramifications, but I didn't care to discuss that at day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That storm is more a SWFE. Not cutter. That's kind of what I thought, but wasn't sure. What is missing this run that causes it to do that? Something to do with that piece of energy in Canada that was on the prior run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Now the Canadian shows a coastal storm on the 6th... tracks somewhere around the benchmark. i like the signal... details TBD obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That's kind of what I thought, but wasn't sure. What is missing this run that causes it to do that? Something to do with that piece of energy in Canada that was on the prior run? There wasn't enough stream interaction bc of the inferior western ridge. We look good for some snow, at least....with the HP leading in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Now the Canadian shows a coastal storm on the 6th... tracks somewhere around the benchmark. i like the signal... details TBD obviously Yes.....relative to the lead, we are likely to see accumulating snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Semantics. Whatever......it tracked west of us.....yes; there would be front end ramifications, but I didn't care to discuss that at day 10. It didn't go west though. It went over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It didn't go west though. It went over us. It went west of us...it went over Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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