Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It may be a heck of a storm regardless. Tight gradient with lots of wind. It's a strong storm signal regardless of precipitation type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It may be a heck of a storm regardless. Tight gradient with lots of wind. If it can't snow, let's at least get some massive wind damage across the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Weird stuff going on on that run. GFS thermals wacky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Looking at soundings most of that clown map is sleet and interior Maine is iso snow for a bulk of that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It may be a heck of a storm regardless. Tight gradient with lots of wind. Do you know where can I track down u-wind anomalies? Was wondering if this could be like March '10 in miniature. Awesome wind in that event in sw CT. Was living in Stamford at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 12 minutes ago, Hoth said: Do you know where can I track down u-wind anomalies? Was wondering if this could be like March '10 in miniature. Awesome wind in that event in sw CT. Was living in Stamford at the time. I can find the link. Give me a little bit, unless Steve can throw it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Looking at soundings most of that clown map is sleet and interior Maine is iso snow for a bulk of that run. Yeah... that accum in ORH area looked like the weenie maps counting sleet and mix at snow. Either way... it doesn't matter at the moment... hopefully someone up north can cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 25 minutes ago, Hoth said: Do you know where can I track down u-wind anomalies? Was wondering if this could be like March '10 in miniature. Awesome wind in that event in sw CT. Was living in Stamford at the time. http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/gefs/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/gefs/ Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 31 minutes ago, Hoth said: Do you know where can I track down u-wind anomalies? Was wondering if this could be like March '10 in miniature. Awesome wind in that event in sw CT. Was living in Stamford at the time. -5 approaching 6 and 250 is 3 meaning slow mover. Gradient is stacked on the NE side and pressure difference could be better, then again higher pressure north would lock in colder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Yep, that's the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Hoth said: Do you know where can I track down u-wind anomalies? Was wondering if this could be like March '10 in miniature. Awesome wind in that event in sw CT. Was living in Stamford at the time. That was a beast - and poorly forecast down in Fairfield County. We thought big wind but didn't expect that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That was a beast - and poorly forecast down in Fairfield County. We thought big wind but didn't expect that. Lot of people were surprised to be in the dark. I was just glancing back at some old maps. Amazing extent of -4 SD 850 hPa U wind anomalies with that storm. 250 was pretty close to -4 too. Remarkable. As Ginxy mentioned, slow mover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That was a beast - and poorly forecast down in Fairfield County. We thought big wind but didn't expect that. Nice blog write up btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 43 minutes ago, Hoth said: Thank you! How high were your gusts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How high were your gusts? Didn't have any equipment to measure, but there was a prolonged period of 60+, maybe a few around 70. Fairfield county looked like a war zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Didn't have any equipment to measure, but there was a prolonged period of 60+, maybe a few around 70. Fairfield county looked like a war zone. Yeah I remember. JFK gusted over 50kts. Was not fun. Also started our floods up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I remember. JFK gusted over 50kts. Was not fun. Also started our floods up here. Yeah it was many hours of 50-60 knot gusts for NYC, Westchester, Fairfield Co and Long Island. Pretty wild stuff. The damage in Greenwich up through Westport was wild. The rain really helped the pine trees fall all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I remember. JFK gusted over 50kts. Was not fun. Also started our floods up here. JFK gusted to 75mph FAIRFIELD COUNTY... NORWALK 65 515 PM 3/13 PUBLIC BRIDGEPORT 60 430 PM 3/13 NWS COOP WESTPORT 58 320 PM 3/13 MESONET DANBURY 40 654 PM 3/13 ASOS ...NEW HAVEN COUNTY... NEW HAVEN/TWEED 46 505 PM 3/13 ASOS MERIDEN 36 752 PM 3/13 ASOS ...NEW LONDON COUNTY... GROTON/NEW LONDON 59 812 PM 3/13 ASOS NOANK 41 804 PM 3/13 MESONET NEW JERSEY ...BERGEN COUNTY... FORT LEE 66 634 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER TETERBORO 59 743 PM 3/13 ASOS BERGENFIELD 52 605 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER TENAFLY 51 730 PM 3/13 COCORHAS ...ESSEX COUNTY... CALDWELL 55 605 PM 3/13 ASOS NEWARK 45 844 PM 3/13 ASOS ...HUDSON COUNTY... ROBINS REEF 78 718 PM 3/13 ELEVATION 236 FT HARRISON 55 1125 PM 3/13 SPOTTER JERSEY CITY 50 621 AM 3/13 MESONET BAYONNE 41 525 AM 3/13 MESONET KEARNY 41 339 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER NEW YORK ...BRONX COUNTY... PELHAM BAY PARK 55 515 PM 3/13 PUBLIC ...KINGS COUNTY... BOROUGH PARK 65 900 PM 3/13 PUBLIC ...NASSAU COUNTY... JONES BEACH ISLAND 68 610 PM 3/13 COAST GUARD MESONET MERRICK 68 255 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER WANTAGH 67 327 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER BAYVILLE 64 435 PM 3/13 MESONET VALLEY STREAM 56 426 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER MALVERNE 54 515 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER ...NEW YORK COUNTY... NYC/CENTRAL PARK 53 345 PM 3/13 ASOS ...ORANGE COUNTY... MONTGOMERY 39 713 PM 3/13 ASOS ...QUEENS COUNTY... NYC/JFK ARPT 75 833 PM 3/13 ASOS BREEZY POINT 67 330 PM 3/13 MESONET FAR ROCKAWAY 64 458 PM 3/13 MESONET NYC/LA GUARDIA 48 1001 PM 3/13 ASOS ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... BLUE POINT 69 934 PM 3/13 MESONET EAST MORICHES 68 920 PM 3/13 COAST GUARD MESONET FIRE ISLAND 67 700 PM 3/13 MESONET AMITY HARBOR 66 621 PM 3/13 MESONET MECOX 65 1120 PM 3/13 MESONET PATCHOGUE 64 710 PM 3/13 PUBLIC (TIME ESTIMATED) GREAT GULL ISLAND 63 956 PM 3/13 MESONET ISLIP 62 612 PM 3/13 ASOS FARMINGDALE 60 636 PM 3/13 ASOS LINDENHURST 60 450 PM 3/13 SKYWARN SPOTTER NAPEAGUE 58 1255 AM 3/14 MESONET SHIRLEY 56 340 PM 3/13 ASOS WESTHAMPTON BEACH 55 502 PM 3/13 ASOS EAST SETAUKET 53 445 PM 3/13 PUBLIC SOUTHAMPTON 53 625 PM 3/13 MESONET BAITING HOLLOW 51 1200 AM 3/14 PUBLIC EAST HAMPTON 50 555 PM 3/13 MESONET FISHERS ISLAND 47 1105 AM 3/13 MESONET ...WESTCHESTER COUNTY... WHITE PLAINS 62 629 PM 3/13 ASOS LARCHMONT 58 710 PM 3/13 HARBOR MESONET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Something from the way back machine from Brian Vawxman Something to keep in mind. Brian ' This is a classic example of how the Pacific pattern can trump the SE ridge in many areas, outside of the immediate Southeast. A strong ridge in the EPO position with a vortex in eastern Canada and a general positive tilt trough back into the Southwest is ideal for this, as it builds very high pressures over Canada, and these highs push low level cold underneath the ridging aloft (northerly flow in the low levels, but southwesterly aloft). So you have to obviously look at much more than the 500 mb pattern, and as always, watch your source regions!' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 42 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah it was many hours of 50-60 knot gusts for NYC, Westchester, Fairfield Co and Long Island. Pretty wild stuff. The damage in Greenwich up through Westport was wild. The rain really helped the pine trees fall all over the place. Insane damage and a crazy moth. Seems we are ending this drought in typical NE spectacular fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 It's the long range NAM but the block is really strong on this run. We'll see if it carries over to the global models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Interesting...Hopefully it does to some extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 18z GFS wants to rain to Montreal. Still so close to something better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I finally get a qpf jack, its been 6 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 55 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's the long range NAM but the block is really strong on this run. We'll see if it carries over to the global models. NAM beat the euro on this past event imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Gee...shocking no one is posting about the 00z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gee...shocking no one is posting about the 00z runs Only so many ways to polish a turd. Going to need some real big changes at a short lead for a more favorable outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 GFS is hideous....GEM is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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