Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 EPS trends much warmer days 11-15. Man .. what happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 10:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said: EPS trends much warmer days 11-15. Man .. what happened? Expand Not really. It looked like a nice pattern. Not sure what you saw.... great looking ridge there should keep Canada frigid and give us storm chances. PNA comes down but ridge actually rebuilds at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 10:08 PM, weathafella said: Not really. It looked like a nice pattern. Not sure what you saw.... great looking ridge there should keep Canada frigid and give us storm chances. PNA comes down but ridge actually rebuilds at the end of the run. Expand http:// Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Yeah Jerry, 2005 isn't walking through the doors, but a dynamic upper level trough is coming through the Great Lakes towards hour 198 on the GFS 18z run right now. If good things happen throughout the end of this run, we could have a snowstorm in the 28-30th timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Trough goes negative tilt at hour 204 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 10:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: http:// Expand Yes it's not as cold but that's not the point. Cold enough to snow on eps every day 11-15. In fact, your anomaly gif looks normal which is just fine for the bottom of winter. look at H5 for what you need to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Kevin I said the other day Nina flexes again. That's what I meant. But Canada is cold, dateline ridging and weak ridging into Greenland. That's the hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 10:36 PM, weathafella said: Yes it's not as cold but that's not the point. Cold enough to snow on eps every day 11-15. In fact, your anomaly gif looks normal which is just fine for the bottom of winter. Expand His statement was correct though...the EPS warmed significantly in the Day 11-15 time frame. Is it just a hiccup? Very possible. But he's right, it did change quite a bit. Its well known that I'm on the train of above normal temps can snow and snow big, but its not a slam dunk sweet long range pattern yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 The EPS pattern looked fine...esp for our latitude...it has a nice ridge over the Bering and EPO region and it is plenty cold. If anything, the Pacific looked better than the 00z run...the EPO ridge was betetr...the only reason the temps were colder on the 00z run was there was a PV lobe sort of squashing heights really low in Quebec, and I'm not sure you'd want to "count on that"...it's no biggie though. I'd actually take the longwave pattern at 12z over the 00z pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Thanks for the important points and clarification Will! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 11:39 PM, ORH_wxman said: The EPS pattern looked fine...esp for our latitude...it has a nice ridge over the Bering and EPO region and it is plenty cold. If anything, the Pacific looked better than the 00z run...the EPO ridge was betetr...the only reason the temps were colder on the 00z run was there was a PV lobe sort of squashing heights really low in Quebec, and I'm not sure you'd want to "count on that"...it's no biggie though. I'd actually take the longwave pattern at 12z over the 00z pattern. Expand EPS with a split vortex and a ridge bridge forming day 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 10:36 PM, weathafella said: Yes it's not as cold but that's not the point. Cold enough to snow on eps every day 11-15. In fact, your anomaly gif looks normal which is just fine for the bottom of winter. look at H5 for what you need to see. Expand It's a temp change lol BFD it's still cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 11:35 PM, powderfreak said: His statement was correct though...the EPS warmed significantly in the Day 11-15 time frame. Is it just a hiccup? Very possible. But he's right, it did change quite a bit. Its well known that I'm on the train of above normal temps can snow and snow big, but its not a slam dunk sweet long range pattern yet. Expand Yeah I would be worried if I was living at 1500 ft in NVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/20/2017 at 11:35 PM, powderfreak said: His statement was correct though...the EPS warmed significantly in the Day 11-15 time frame. Is it just a hiccup? Very possible. But he's right, it did change quite a bit. Its well known that I'm on the train of above normal temps can snow and snow big, but its not a slam dunk sweet long range pattern yet. Expand No it's not at all. I am becoming increasingly worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 12:36 AM, Damage In Tolland said: No it's not at all. I am becoming increasingly worried Expand What would you like to see? You have to court warmth sometimes to get the snow. Our position is pretty good on this EPS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 12:36 AM, Damage In Tolland said: No it's not at all. I am becoming increasingly worried Expand Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 1:54 AM, Ginx snewx said: Lol Expand GGW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherexpert Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 2:08 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Good winter up ahead Expand I agree Kevin - it looks like like one of the best winters yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherexpert Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 I also would like to point out that my own barometer has indicated a good change in the pressure. The maritime air mass shows a cold front headed this way. Expect big things in February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 I like the last week or few days of January for a sizable snowstorm to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Highly dynamic upper level trough enters the eastern US between the 26th and 30th of January, several disturbances amplify the flow on the GFS para and most guidance for several moderate snowstorms to impact New England. Trough enters the Eastern US in five days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:45 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Highly dynamic upper level trough enters the eastern US between the 26th and 30th of January, several disturbances amplify the flow on the GFS para and most guidance for several moderate snowstorms to impact New England. Trough enters the Eastern US in five days. Expand Not gonna happen James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:45 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Highly dynamic upper level trough enters the eastern US between the 26th and 30th of January, several disturbances amplify the flow on the GFS para and most guidance for several moderate snowstorms to impact New England. Trough enters the Eastern US in five days. Expand Show me most guidance other than the para GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Theres always hope for a sub 960mb on the 6z gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:45 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Highly dynamic upper level trough enters the eastern US between the 26th and 30th of January, several disturbances amplify the flow on the GFS para and most guidance for several moderate snowstorms to impact New England. Trough enters the Eastern US in five days. Expand Joe Cioffi also likes the end of the month for a possible storm I think the end of January into the start of February will be a good shot. There are a lot of vorts running around. I think we need to get this weekends storm out of the way first before we focus on the upcoming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Still think the timeframe to watch is after this mess early in the week. Pattern will be more favourable for wintery precip. This junk coming up Monday won't do much for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 I know its the 12z GFS op but it does have many chances after the 27th or so. A lot of meltdowns happening lately but after the 27th is looking favorable for snow chances in all of SNE. Im starting to think February could be similar to that of 2014, any thoughts on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 5:09 PM, Powderboy413 said: I know its the 12z GFS op but it does have many chances after the 27th or so. A lot of meltdowns happening lately but after the 27th is looking favorable for snow chances in all of SNE. Im starting to think February could be similar to that of 2014, any thoughts on that? Expand I think the latest guidence gives us a good window till early Feb. Then the possibility od regression to a less favorable state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 On 1/21/2017 at 3:05 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: LOL. Expand I'd pay some damn good money to see that verify.... rain into NH and Maine while NYC gets a blizzard. The melts would be epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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