40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 What is funny? While exciting at the time, 10" events are relatively forgettable for me.....at least over the course of the past 25 years or so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 6:51 PM, dendrite said: It doesn't really mean squat, but the MEX is dual 8's up here. You don't see that everyday. Expand 6 and 8 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 7:54 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is funny? While exciting at the time, 10" events are relatively forgettable for me.....at least over the course of the past 25 years or so.. Expand For me they sort of blend together. I wish I had a memory like Will's and others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 The ensemble mean looks cooler than the op at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:00 PM, CoastalWx said: The ensemble mean looks cooler than the op at 850. Expand I would bang those right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Actually pretty close at hr 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:00 PM, CoastalWx said: The ensemble mean looks cooler than the op at 850. Expand Cold at sfc too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:01 PM, ORH_wxman said: Cold at sfc too. Expand It is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 My take on all of this is that One should not be greedy since we have gone from a region wide rainer to a possible moderate or perhaps major snowstorm for many. Trends are our friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I would say someone should start a thread for this one soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 7:55 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: For me they sort of blend together. I wish I had a memory like Will's and others Expand This. I can jog my memory by looking at pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Man, this one would save my big Jan idea...fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:13 PM, bobbutts said: This. I can jog my memory by looking at pictures. Expand Yea...to each their own. That one just doesn't stand out to me. More power to those to whom it does- That was a rough stretch for me, so that may have something to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:11 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: My take on all of this is that One should not be greedy since we have gone from a region wide rainer to a possible moderate or perhaps major snowstorm for many. Trends are our friend! Expand Heh, on this forum that's like telling an addict just to have a little pinch... But all joking aside, this is the second system during the terrible long wave pattern that has trended into a legit winter wx threat....so I agree that in my mind, this is kind of gravy. It's nice not to be debating whether the high will be 58F with downsloping winds, or 43F under an inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 7:55 PM, dryslot said: 6 and 8 here Expand Does 6 and 1 make sense for KMPV? I plugged it in and think that's what I got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 That's a great track with a Scooter high on the ensemble. Scooter HP....don't fail me now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Maybe I can get a cold rain CJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:17 PM, mreaves said: Does 6 and 1 make sense for KMPV? I plugged it in and think that's what I got. Expand Yeah, MPV shows 6 and 1....which would be 6-8" and then 1-2". Those numbers are gonna change obviously, but the MEX guidance is pretty confident in spitting out higher numbers 4-5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:17 PM, mreaves said: Does 6 and 1 make sense for KMPV? I plugged it in and think that's what I got. Expand Yes, That's what it shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 lol...rainy cj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 That's a pretty nuclear ridge out west around D10 on ensembles...wouldn't be surprised if something popped from that as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:16 PM, ORH_wxman said: Heh, on this forum that's like telling an addict just to have a little pinch... But all joking aside, this is the second system during the terrible long wave pattern that has trended into a legit winter wx threat....so I agree that in my mind, this is kind of gravy. It's nice not to be debating whether the high will be 58F with downsloping winds, or 43F under an inversion. Expand I'll be happy if my ground is white, I was jealous of the slushy inch Shrewsbury had yesterday, my ground is bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 E9 looks nice. If the last 5 years have any say though E4 is likely closer to reality. Some monster hits on the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I'd take either, but e4 was run from my laptop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: That's a pretty nuclear ridge out west around D10 on ensembles...wouldn't be surprised if something popped from that as we get closer. Expand That's the 28th storm that's been a huge signal for several days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:39 PM, powderfreak said: E9 looks nice. If the last 5 years have any say though E4 is likely closer to reality. Some monster hits on the EPS. Expand Sadly, I would still take E4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That's the 28th storm that's been a huge signal for several days Expand The signal isn't very huge right now...the longwave pattern is good, but it's not like there's a bunch of storms popping up on the ensembles for that date. We'll see though...it could end up being more toward the 30th too. The ridge is quite stout for several days in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 On 1/19/2017 at 8:39 PM, powderfreak said: E9 looks nice. If the last 5 years have any say though E4 is likely closer to reality. Some monster hits on the EPS. Expand On 1/19/2017 at 8:40 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take either, but e4 was run from my laptop. Expand I think e4 is trying to resolve the Scooter CJ though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Yes....I was actually thinking that may verify as a cj, but with that east fetch, there wouldn't be insurmountable exhaust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Hilarious that there can be such a strong signal on the EPS for 12"+....but an equal signal for like 0-3". So the mean is showing 6-7" here but there aren't many solutions of the 50 members that show that. It's either like 10-20" or 2" haha. Definitely worth tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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