Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 looks like 2-4" nice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:26 PM, CoastalWx said: RGEM is real nice for ORH and north. Close for Ray. Will have to watch east winds, but if winds stay backed..it's a paste job. Expand What's your thinking about Billerica/Chelmsford area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:26 PM, Bostonseminole said: What's your thinking about Billerica/Chelmsford area? Expand Definitely need to watch for several inches..esp chelmsford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2017 Author Share Posted January 16, 2017 I think the GFS will cool a little, but still be mostly slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:29 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I think the GFS will cool a little, but still be mostly slop Expand RGEM has 8 for you and still going at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 I need 6.5" to reach 40" on the season. RGEM shows it's possible if things break right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:29 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I think the GFS will cool a little, but still be mostly slop Expand You should ignore. It's thermal profiles have been horrendous this cold season in the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Over the past 3-4 days this event has (for my area) progressed thru: RA - RA starting as ZR - IP/ZR/RA - Rain/snow mix - mostly paste - all snow - am I too far north? Whatever the end, it will be better than the start of that string. Edit: Only need to get more than 2" to move ahead of last winter's total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:21 PM, moneypitmike said: Congrats, Dave. Expand RGEM looks like the EURO....about 5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 GFS is a nice thump for the ORH hills. I feel like for Ray's area...it's a question of how far inland do east winds penetrate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:26 PM, CoastalWx said: RGEM is real nice for ORH and north. Close for Ray. Will have to watch east winds, but if winds stay backed..it's a paste job. Expand Just ask how Powderfreak how well the RGEM does in predicting snow. He has been shoveling feet of RGEM snow for the past 2 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:49 PM, klw said: Just ask how Powderfreak how well the RGEM does in predicting snow. He has been shoveling feet of RGEM snow for the past 2 years. Expand I think he refers to the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:26 PM, CoastalWx said: RGEM is real nice for ORH and north. Close for Ray. Will have to watch east winds, but if winds stay backed..it's a paste job. Expand Scott...go snow here. Trust me- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:28 PM, CoastalWx said: Definitely need to watch for several inches..esp chelmsford. Expand thanks r. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 This is like a spring event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:49 PM, klw said: Just ask how Powderfreak how well the RGEM does in predicting snow. He has been shoveling feet of RGEM snow for the past 2 years. Expand RGEM is a really good model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:37 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: You should ignore. It's thermal profiles have been horrendous this cold season in the Northeast. Expand Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:52 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Scott...go snow here. Trust me- Expand nashus ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:52 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Scott...go snow here. Trust me- Expand Yeah it's close. I want to see the euro hold. Also, after the good lift moves through...it may be hours of 35F sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:57 PM, 512high said: nashus ray? Expand Several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 4:00 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Several inches. Expand ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah it's close. I want to see the euro hold. Also, after the good lift moves through...it may be hours of 35F sprinkles. Expand Yes...its like a spring event. As long as the mid levels are good, which they are, I snow here. Maybe I am wrong, but just going on climo. If this were ice vs rain....forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 GFS says 'meh' to the RGEM. Regardless, I think we'll soon be seeing the advisories change. With ice seemingly becoming a non-issue, those advisories may not be needed. For the areas getting snow, they'll need to be reworded to reflect that. Perhaps low-end watches for a couple zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 3:49 PM, klw said: Just ask how Powderfreak how well the RGEM does in predicting snow. He has been shoveling feet of RGEM snow for the past 2 years. Expand Wrong model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 I would not expect the gfs to do well in this right now..at least this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Canadian is also rather snowy interior NE MA and ORH area. Obviously adjacent NH/VT/Berks too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 4:09 PM, CoastalWx said: Canadian is also rather snowy interior NE MA and ORH area. Obviously adjacent NH/VT/Berks too. Expand Thanks for including us--so frequently we're overlooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 4:09 PM, CoastalWx said: Canadian is also rather snowy interior NE MA and ORH area. Obviously adjacent NH/VT/Berks too. Expand Take a look at the plots for various late season events...even 5/76.....classic weenie appendage from ORH hills into interior ne MA. Its because my area is unfettered by inimical topographical nuances.....aka "downslope". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Rgem is ice cold . Close to keeping this area all ice after an inch of sleet. Looks like a classic hilltop icestorm while low spots are 33-34 and ORH NW gets 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 On 1/16/2017 at 4:12 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Take a look at the plots for various late season events...even 5/76.....classic weenie appendage from ORH hills into interior ne MA. Its because my area is unfettered by inimical topographical nuances.....aka "downslope". Expand You should be able to grab some in this event. I can't see the euro shooting north or warmer that much at all right now. Part of it is how well you advect the colder air just off the deck prior to tomorrow evening. srfc temps will be well above freezing and you basically are going to tick your way down to 32.01. If the models are too fast with that, then it may be more liquid. There is a pretty good high nosing in, so that's a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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