yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Yay ice on the 00z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 NAM looks like ass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, yoda said: Yay ice on the 00z NAM YEah if definitely looks warmer upstairs this run. We arent gonna have any idea how hard that cold push is until Friday I would guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Pretty far out for the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Yay ice on the 00z NAM Well then... more like yay 0.00 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 HaHa. How much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Pretty far out for the NAM It's much drier than the globals at 6z Saturday, but I'm not quite sure if what you said is the reason or not for the lack of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Hopefully this is indeed the NAM being the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 That was being NAMed the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 The 4km NAM is really cold at 60. But who knows. Things just don't seem to work that well for us this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 16 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: HaHa. How much for Philly? Trust me philly doesn't want. Looks like lots of ice! Yikes! also 1000th post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: The 4km NAM is really cold at 60. But who knows. Things just don't seem to work that well for us this season. Upper 20s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 13 minutes ago, BristowWx said: That was being NAMed the other way. Damn. De-NAMed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Excellent synopsis from lwx! Believe that high pressure will be seeping south on Friday. That will support the drainage of low level cold air. Meanwhile, the mid-level flow gradient is tightly packed, with the upper jet just north of the area. That would support waves of precipitation, especially Friday night1. How much precip would fall is still to be determined, and precip type is highly questionable. Just about the only thing that (perhaps) could be ruled out is pure rain or pure snow; ie: it would be a mixed bag of some kind. That makes forecasting any specifics problematic at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Guess we'll see what the GFS throws us. But the NAM was a punch in the head. Was thinking south trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Guess we'll see what the GFS throws us. But the NAM was a punch in the head. Was thinking south trend. stop now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, BTRWx said: stop now I'm done. Backing away from the ledge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I'm done. Backing away from the ledge. You can say what you said 48 hours from now (8 runs from now) if there's still no precip before Saturday morning being modeled on the operational NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, BTRWx said: 9 minutes ago, BTRWx said: stop now Stop what? Thats what it shows now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 46 minutes ago, BTRWx said: Hopefully this is indeed the NAM being the NAM. Nah, that is just us being us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Nah, that is just us being us. I might have to play solo this round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 I think DC will get a surprise now saturday, maybe all day!!. Portland OR was only supposed to get and inch or so of snow and some places around there got 15 inches. Dont look at the NAM, just have faith. Models arent infallible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 The center of that high pressure on the latest NAM run seems to be in a very different spot then 18z gfs... This far out for the NAM tells me something is off. And I mean with the NAM obviously lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: The center of that high pressure on the latest NAM run seems to be in a very different spot then 18z gfs... This far out for the NAM tells me something is off. And I mean with the NAM obviously lol Dont focus on the models, dont forget they were awful in portland today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: The center of that high pressure on the latest NAM run seems to be in a very different spot then 18z gfs... This far out for the NAM tells me something is off. And I mean with the NAM obviously lol Good catch! We don't need no stinking Southern New England High. We need an Adirondacks High! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Interesting sleet-fest on the 0z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, BTRWx said: Interesting sleet-fest on the 0z gfs Ha!! that could easily be snow. like today, portland was shocked at how bad the models were. What is joe bastardi and wxrisk saying? They go by experience and knowlege, not models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, ldub23 said: Ha!! that could easily be snow. like today, portland was shocked at how bad the models were. What is joe bastardi and wxrisk saying? They go by experience and knowlege, not models. Watch him closely MODS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 what happened in Portland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Who is JB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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