Interstate Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: You can tell that at hr 30 on TT? I think he wanted to first to say it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 44 minutes ago, MDstorm said: Unfortunately, this winter feels like...... I laughed too hard at this. Kinda ashamed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Started out farther N thru 30, looked juicier. Then shifted South quickly. No, I cannot tell the end result thru 30 hours on TT :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Nice rain storm for Richmond. Ehhh. Not horrible at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Um, 42 and 45 look decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Boom At least for precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 This is easily going to be the biggest event of the season for most of our region, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 2-3 inches... nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceCAPS Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 6 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I found a new site that puts out NAM maps about an hour early. It shows 6-8" across the entire region. Can't share the site though. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: This is easily going to be the biggest event of the season for most of our region, IMO. There is a lot of sleet this run on top of some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, clskinsfan said: There is a lot of sleet this run on top of some snow. I haven't seen a sounding posted yet that had a warm layer that screams sleet. Low rates of precip maybe, but with any heavier precip, I think snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 It seems like we're moving away from the freezing rain aspect of this I wonder if that'll materialize but I prefer sleet and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I haven't seen a sounding posted yet that had a warm layer that screams sleet. Low rates of precip maybe, but with any heavier precip, I think snow. You could be right. Right around 800 MB the temps are close. But I would guess a few hours of snow at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 18z 4km NAM please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 18z 4km NAM please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Still lightly snowing then too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, yoda said: 18z 4km NAM please No thanks this is going to suck because such a small area is going to win and everyone else will be left disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Crushed! A classic NAMming after all lol. So we have the Euro going drier and the NAM trending wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Crushed! A classic NAMming after all lol. So we have the Euro going drier and the NAM trending wetter. So 90% of our events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 DC would be sleet by 18z Saturday. Freezing rain at 21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 3k has the least snow of the brothers... we toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: DC would be sleet by 18z Saturday. Freezing rain at 21z The classic mixed bag something for everybody like a winter buffetThe classic mixed bag something for everybody like a winter buffet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 In my yard, the coarser the resolution, the better. QPF from each of the triplets: 12km 18Z NAM: ~ 0.50" 4km 18Z NAM: ~ 0.40" 3km 18Z NAM-: ~ 0.20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 4K looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Well hell, all 3 Nams have Leesburg looking at a good 2-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 hour ago, yoda said: You can tell that at hr 30 on TT? IWM for speed Yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Boom at 45 on the GFS. Probably just setting us up for the eventual let down as the event gets closer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 GFS isn't dry anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 AmWx model maps show 3-5" in N VA from snow accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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