Hoosier Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 After a prolonged break in accumulating snow for a large chunk of the area, it looks like the next chance will be coming up early to middle next week. As it currently stands, this system looks like a snow to rain producer over a large swath (all rain farther south and all snow farther north) with decent amounts possible. Some indication of an attempt to end as snow in the areas that change over from snow to rain but it's too far out for those details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanZHP Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Better than nothing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMatt21 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 14 minutes ago, ryanZHP said: Better than nothing... Yeah, I'm waiting for our first big snow event where it starts and ends as snow, followed by at least a week of cold air to keep it in place. Shouldn't be too much to ask for in January! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Cautiously optimistic for a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanZHP Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 hour ago, WxMatt21 said: Yeah, I'm waiting for our first big snow event where it starts and ends as snow, followed by at least a week of cold air to keep it in place. Shouldn't be too much to ask for in January! Right? We got lucky and had some snow stick around for a while out this way (last month). And probably got a solid inch today in South Bend. Not much accumulation considering it snowed almost all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMatt21 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 44 minutes ago, ryanZHP said: Right? We got lucky and had some snow stick around for a while out this way (last month). And probably got a solid inch today in South Bend. Not much accumulation considering it snowed almost all day. Yeah, I suppose I shouldn't be complaining. Fort Wayne did see 6-7" of snow on Dec 11th, and it stuck around for a couple of weeks, but the event still transitioned into a little sleet/freezing drizzle before shutting off completely. That nail-biting, sloppy mix trend looks to continue for a little while longer, it seems. This next event included. Helps you're in NW Indiana, though. Odds are usually in your favor! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Looking like mainly rain for the Chicago area with perhaps some front-end wintry mix. GFS has been very consistent thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 5 hours ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: Cautiously optimistic for a few inches. (A few inches) at the north central latitudes of IA are what current ensembles are depicting, with +-1 inch here. GFS/Canadian however is much less generous and warmer. I am definitely not holding my breath on this one since models would have to trend south for us to see anything worthwhile. Any northward tick and we're out of luck. At 4 days out the next few runs will determine whether or not I'm willing to keep following up :). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 Pity reply. NAM suggesting some ice in the transition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 GFS showing a decent amount of WAA snows here, we'll see if that ends up verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Too far south for anything other than cold rain here. Looks like about 1/4" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 Not expecting much snow here Monday night into Tuesday (probably just enough to whiten the ground) but it looks like an adventurous progression in weather conditions. After starting as snow, big time warm-up on Tuesday with 50F not out of the question. Then potentially a change back to snow Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 6 hours ago, Hoosier said: Not expecting much snow here Monday night into Tuesday (probably just enough to whiten the ground) but it looks like an adventurous progression in weather conditions. After starting as snow, big time warm-up on Tuesday with 50F not out of the question. Then potentially a change back to snow Wednesday. The modis operandi for winter storms 2016-17 in this part of the subforum, only this time the arctic air doesn't plunge in behind (other than Minnesota) as the flow remains zonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 total freezing rain from 12Z NAMhttp://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=zr_acc&rh=2017010712&fh=72&r=us_mw&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Looking like the roads around here could be a mess tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 5 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Looking like the roads around here could be a mess tomorrow morning Yep, expecting a slow-go on 94 for sure. The ground has actually frozen a little bit too. Saw some frost depths reported up to 7" which wasn't the case last month. Those two systems worked with warm ground which meant that the road salt was much more effective as temps rose to and above freezing. Expecting a little different result this go-around. Will just be nice to see the first synoptic flakes falling in 23 days here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Getting a nice burst of snow here at the moment. Didn't expect to see even a single flake today, so this is nice. Ground has already dusted up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 24 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Getting a nice burst of snow here at the moment. Didn't expect to see even a single flake today, so this is nice. Ground has already dusted up. Picked up 0.3". First measurable snow since way back on December 17th lol. Brings us over the 14" threshold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Picked up 0.3". First measurable snow since way back on December 17th lol. Brings us over the 14" threshold. I didn't know you guys have been doing so "well" snowfall wise compared to down here. As of now my total stands at 2.4" for the season. What a crazy crazy pattern this week. Going from sub zero, to near record highs, to a possible historic ice storm in 7 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Chambana said: I didn't know you guys have been doing so "well" snowfall wise compared to down here. As of now my total stands at 2.4" for the season. What a crazy crazy pattern this week. Going from sub zero, to near record highs, to a possible historic ice storm in 7 day period. Yep, about 70% of that season total occurred on December 4th lol. Hopefully you guys rake it in during the last half of the season. Still a long way to go, but would be nice if it didn't wait until March lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Apparently we are primed for some pre-game activity tonight. ILN issued a special weather statement for freezing rain through early tomorrow morning here, and a WWA for more of that North of Dayton & Columbus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Still looking solid for 4-6" across the GTA with amounts closer to 4" near the lake tonight into tomorrow afternoon before it changes over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Looks like freezing rain and/or snow will be a nuisance for northern Ohio and southern Michigan tonight. The freezing rain may be quite dangerous for people driving before the temperatures increase above freezing tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Upped totally locally, WWA for 3-6" north of 8 Mile 2-4" south of 8 Mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2017 Author Share Posted January 9, 2017 Snowing decently here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2017 Author Share Posted January 9, 2017 36 minutes ago, Chinook said: Looks like freezing rain and/or snow will be a nuisance for northern Ohio and southern Michigan tonight. The freezing rain may be quite dangerous for people driving before the temperatures increase above freezing tomorrow morning. Could have some lag time between air temps and ground temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Here is what the 18z 4k NAM is saying about ice accretion through 18z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 A bit of surprise snow and icing this evening. I88 was slicker than snail snot between Naperville and DeKalb. Three accidents with emergency services and 4-5 single car in ditch accidents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 9, 2017 Author Share Posted January 9, 2017 Trends would seem to support a somewhat deeper low than earlier runs. Could get a burst of pretty good winds near fropa tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Burst of snow produced 0.2" of snow here and at ORD late this afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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