USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Looks like it moved about 25 miles further west at the surface. I am thinking that this run actually gets us in the comma head snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Pretty good run though....BOS gets around half inch of QPF...nothing to sneeze at, and again, like mentioned with the Euro, there's a lot to like looking at the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3-4" back to the river this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 SREFs finally have 12"+ percentages now as of the 15utc run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty good run though....BOS gets around half inch of QPF...nothing to sneeze at, and again, like mentioned with the Euro, there's a lot to like looking at the mid-levels. Where are you getting it past 51? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Will, the southern stream tries to phase with that attendant piece of northern stream energy over Lake Ontario at hour 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yep...the last frame at 54h, makes al ittle more west movement...so we got an overall positive trend this run, but it actually could have been a lot better had the PNA ridge held serve from 12z. I know its the NAM and it is past 12 hours, but is there something the NAM could be sniffing out earlier in the run that makes a difference down the road? It did kinda start the trend westward this morning.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Spanks45 said: I know its the NAM and it is past 12 hours, but is there something the NAM could be sniffing out earlier in the run that makes a difference down the road? It did kinda start the trend westward this morning.... It's not sniffing anything out, it is just the first to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The NAM and GFS are just catching onto the idea the EURO had earlier. The problem is the EURO didn't stick to its guns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Where are you getting it past 51? Looks like SV quit at hr 51.......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Looks like SV quit at hr 51.......lol They all did, including ncep. The para is out further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Where are you getting it past 51? WSI at first...but you can get it on psu ewall now...it updates at nearly the same speed. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/regions18z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: WSI at first...but you can get it on psu ewall now...it updates at nearly the same speed. Why does Tropical Tidbits get everything slower? Graphics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Man the northern stream really digs southeastward towards hour 60, almost to the point where it phases with the southern stream and kills Nova Scotia, Canada. However, NAM dumps at least 1.50" of QPF over Cape Cod and the Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Why does Tropical Tidbits get everything slower? Graphics? yes. It has to process the images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Looks like all the weenies brought the ncep server to its knees...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 why is there a new thread for this ...? anyway, late trend to tick back west continued on the 18z ... three run consecutively that the NAM has done this. Regardless of the Euro's point seaward stands too - interesting... But, the synoptics now throwing down .75" to BOS was a bit weird - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The NCEP is out to hour 60. It at least finished the storm system. One thing to note is how much precip the NAM dumps on Cape and Islands all within an 18 hour period. WE could be talking 12-24" all within 18 hours of time. Talk about a quick hitting storm. It slows down near the Cape and Islands though as shortwave becomes negatively tilted allowing surface low to park or at least slow down further as it nears 100 miles or closer to the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Tropical tidbits.com and pivotal weather.com all have high res imagery to process and also point and click soundings. This causes it to take a little longer but in my opinion pivotal weather is awesome. I will say weather .COD is great and will actually have things like frontogenesis to diagnose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Cape crush job on the Nam .75 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tropical tidbits.com and pivotal weather.com all have high res imagery to process and also point and click soundings. This causes it to take a little longer but in my opinion pivotal weather is awesome. I will say weather .COD is great and will actually have things like frontogenesis to diagnose. We get boned out here since we only get the nam 32km grid. No fancy frontogenesis products. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 16 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The NCEP is out to hour 60. It at least finished the storm system. One thing to note is how much precip the NAM dumps on Cape and Islands all within an 18 hour period. WE could be talking 12-24" all within 18 hours of time. Talk about a quick hitting storm. It slows down near the Cape and Islands though as shortwave becomes negatively tilted allowing surface low to park or at least slow down further as it nears 100 miles or closer to the benchmark. hows it look for areas outside your snow globe yard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3-4" back to the river this run You and especially me need a few more tics West. Anything over 1" is gravy here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 how does the 4k and 3k NAM look and is there a 2k? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I will gladly accept 15.5 in my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: You and especially me need a few more tics West. Anything over 1" is gravy here . I'm in a decent spot for at least couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice Wow what model is that? Is that combining both events? Spits out over 15" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 That map has 10+ for me. Can we have a not gonna happen to help it happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: You and especially me need a few more tics West. Anything over 1" is gravy here . it will take a miracle and we'd have to steal the se coasts snow in the process, which would feel so wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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