HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 With such a tight precipitation gradient it's going to be fun to watch Eastern weenies hang on every radar scan not to mention every meso run from now until go time. I would be thrilled if we could pull off 2" of fluff here but not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I saw that. Almost seems like the nose of the 850 jet helps, and then just lingering weak frontogenesis with the s/w passing through. Looks like Currier and Ives stuff. Cool stuff... you can see it here on the GFS. little max of the LLJ and some nice convergence over CT. That is like a 25:1 topper on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Cool stuff... you can see it here on the GFS. little max of the LLJ and some nice convergence over CT. That is like a 25:1 topper on top. Ryan is that upward motion you are referring to over central and western CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, db306 said: Ryan is that upward motion you are referring to over central and western CT? Yeah pretty far to the west in CT. That map ois showing wind speed so from New Bedford to New Haven you have quite a bit of convergence as the wind speed slows down... basically forcing air parcels to pile up. This low level convergence = rising motion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah pretty far to the west in CT. That map ois showing wind speed so from New Bedford to New Haven you have quite a bit of convergence as the wind speed slows down... basically forcing air parcels to pile up. This low level convergence = rising motion. Gotcha.....thanks! Whats your initial thoughts at this point for CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 There's also directional convergence too with winds more out of the N to the west of the boundary...it's pretty classic IVT currier and ives snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, CT Rain said: Yeah pretty far to the west in CT. That map ois showing wind speed so from New Bedford to New Haven you have quite a bit of convergence as the wind speed slows down... basically forcing air parcels to pile up. This low level convergence = rising motion. So if the GFS is correct, here in the Newtown - Danbury area could see lingering snowfall later tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Really close out here on the CMC, but still in the 3-5 range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: So if the GFS is correct, here in the Newtown - Danbury area could see lingering snowfall later tomorrow? Yeah the NAM/GFS both have that. So it's definitely a decent bet out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 UKMET? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 What is the approximate start time for this in SNE? tia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, weatherfreeeeak said: UKMET? Almost identical to 00z...might be just a hair NW, but we're talking model noise at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: What is the approximate start time for this in SNE? tia 4K NAM has snow in your hood at 17z Saturday... so early afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Has anyone made a list of predictions for the various cities/towns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, J Paul Gordon said: Has anyone made a list of predictions for the various cities/towns? I'll do one tonight...I'm sure others will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll do one tonight...I'm sure others will. Thanks. Will be on the look out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, J Paul Gordon said: Thanks. Will be on the look out Will be a fun change...I'll make a list along with a map on the blog tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Ukie for those that want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ukie for those that want it. That ramped up a hair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 42 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: So if the GFS is correct, here in the Newtown - Danbury area could see lingering snowfall later tomorrow? maybe we invt our way to 6 spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I'm even more confident now with regards to my snowfall map, 15-18" seems reasonable for Cape and Nantucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Qpf queen? Lol . I would say 3-6 HFD ORH KGAY, inside of 128, 84 ,395 495 to the canal 6-10, with a foot on the Cape seems likely Still like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Still like this May be a good call, Steve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Model agreement is great right now... 00z Euro/12z NAM/12z GFS almost identical QPF wise back this way. Impressive to see after this storm has given NWP such fits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Still like this Yeah I think that's a decent guess right now...I'd prob guess 4" for ORH, 7" for BOS, and 12" for PYM. But I'll prob make a more comprehensive guess tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 18-24" of snowfall forecasted by the NWS from Harwich to Hyannis to Plymouth. Any thoughts on the bullish forecast map by the NWS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 18-24" of snowfall forecasted by the NWS from Harwich to Hyannis to Plymouth. Any thoughts on the bullish forecast map by the NWS? I think they're a bit to far E with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I think that is bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Our major vortex is moving SSEward now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: I think they're a bit to far E with this. Yes. That, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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