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Wave 2, 1/7-8/17 Discussion/OBS


Rjay

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30 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of 3:30 pm, we're at 4.25" so 3/4" in the last 30 minutes, as it's been snowing quite heavily.  Looks like 5" is easily in reach, given the bands to our SW, and maybe 6" - looks like the NWS may end up being right about adding Middlesex to the warning area, after all. 

 

As of 4:00 pm, we're at 4.75", so 1/2" the last 30 minutes.  Since about 4 pm, the intensity has come down a fair amount, as we're now snowing between lightly and moderately.  Assuming we have a few more hours of this, we'll easily make 5", but 6" might be out of reach, unless there is some backbuilding and we get back into the 20+DBZ bands.  Right now those bands have collapsed to just east of the TPK, which is east of me, as I'm 1/2 mile west of the TPK.  Not sure they'll come back. 

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1 minute ago, husky0101 said:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=dix&product=N0R&loop=yes

I don't see any more moderate/heavy bands of snow west of NE NJ.

I don't think the moisture to the west is what will be delivering snow to NYC. It's the moisture from SNJ and Delaware. Moisture isn't coming in from the west; it's from the south.

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