EasternLI Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 06z Hi-res Rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 11z hrrr reflects nws forecast very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, F5TornadoF5 said: 11z hrrr reflects nws forecast very well. Well that is certainly an uptick since only an hour ago... I feel pretty confident in 2-5 inches across the NYC area including the Westchester counties. North of Rockland doesn't look to good at this point 1-2 range. I know this isn't the vendor thread and I can't find it but they had 3-6 inches for NYC area within 25-30 miles then 6+ central LI out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Looks like the beginnings of saturation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 radar really starting to go now.also the eastward movement is starting to slow down a bit and a more northerly component is now visible. it's going to be snowing in the teens!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 dew point still dropping down to 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 it is said that when temps are too cold regardless of the humidity and dp it can still snow pretty fast. same theory applies in the artic. very cold dry air and extremely frozen flakes don't melt even when falling creating snowfall in a dry airmass. we shall put this theory to task currently and see how long it takes before it snows with single digit dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 13 minutes ago, BxWeatherwatcher said: radar really starting to go now.also the eastward movement is starting to slow down a bit and a more northerly component is now visible. it's going to be snowing in the teens!! Yea last few frames def show this. Will be nice to have no mixing issues down by the coast for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 29f with dew point of 26f, 79% humidity here on the cape, should have no issues with saturation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 12Z Hrrr much improved. Especially for NYC metro and coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Light snow starting in Sayreville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, ag3 said: 12Z Hrrr much improved. Especially for NYC metro and coast. Yeah looks like an increase of .025-.05 of precip. Slightly stronger surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, F5TornadoF5 said: Yeah looks like an increase of .025-.05 of precip. Slightly stronger surface low. .50" line almost into Queens and still snowing at hour 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 19 minutes ago, BxWeatherwatcher said: it is said that when temps are too cold regardless of the humidity and dp it can still snow pretty fast. same theory applies in the artic. very cold dry air and extremely frozen flakes don't melt even when falling creating snowfall in a dry airmass. we shall put this theory to task currently and see how long it takes before it snows with single digit dewpoints. It started out here in Berks Pa. at a DP of 9F Temp@20F snowing Moderate at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 21 degrees moderate snow closing in on an inch already in central Ocean County in Lacey Twp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Yea, the DP is currently 9 up here. Yup dew pt 9 here on the east side of the county too. Feels like the kiss of death. Hoping for partly cloudy skies then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Snowing Nicely in Lancaster County, PA on western edge. Bodes well for you guys further north and east.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 .50" line into parts of NYC on 12z Hrrr. Huge improvement over previous runs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Not even a flake here. Uh-oh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 i can now confirm my first flurries here in the bronx,with a dp of 6 and temp of 20. that was mighty fast, less then half an hour from echos to flakes coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 53 minutes ago, EasternLI said: 06z Hi-res Rgem ..whats your call for us,ELI?..any concerns? radar seems to be stuck in neutral in its progression N bound..alot of dry air to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 flakes in edison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Flurries at LGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 flakes in white plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Very light flurries here in Sheepshead Bay. Temp 23/DP7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 First couple flurries here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Flurries in UWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, tim said: ..whats your call for us,ELI?..any concerns? radar seems to be stuck in neutral in its progression N bound..alot of dry air to overcome. 6-10" of fluff doesn't seem unreasonable attm for our area out here. Maybe a 12 spot out towards MTP. I recall most modeling start time between 12z and 18z, so we're not behind schedule or anything yet I don't think. The good stuff is supposed to arrive in the afternoon. Have to see how it goes though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 A few flurries in Long Beach. Good luck all-a decent to significant event still looks likely for most of us. Hopefully the new HRRR is right and we see the snow head more north than east from here. It's really just time to watch the radar and nowcast. Here's my final guess: Central Park: 3.5" JFK: 5.3" ISP: 7.5" MTP: 8.8" EWR: 3.2" BLM: 5.8" FRG: 6.4" HPN: 2.4" MMU: 0.7" SWF: 0.5" My backyard: 6.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 guess the too cold to snow theory is wrong, humidity at 54% with a dp at 6 and steadier flurries falling..the theory is right,when it's this cold it will snow quicker at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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