BobbyHolikWillFindYou Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 10:35 PM, sferic said: I do the same but this is what I get!~ Expand Select region, then northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 10:37 PM, donsutherland1 said: The 18z RGEM: Expand Thats a big time shift west. Brings advisory level snows back here. if 0z holds or continues its westward trend then it should open some eyes. Not having the GFS on board is def concerning though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 10:44 PM, snywx said: Thats a big time shift west. Brings advisory level snows back here. if 0z holds or continues its westward trend then it should open some eyes. Not having the GFS on board is def concerning though. Expand the gfs did shift a bit west also but the precip shield was smaller,personally i wouldn't take heavy stock in the gfs currently. everything has clearly shifted west and quite possibly not done shifting yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 10:40 PM, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said: Select region, then northeast. Expand Thank You !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 10:48 PM, BxWeatherwatcher said: the gfs did shift a bit west also but the precip shield was smaller,personally i wouldn't take heavy stock in the gfs currently. everything has clearly shifted west and quite possibly not done shifting yet.. Expand Im a big fan of the RGEM but its clearly the western outlier. Lets see what 0z brings before we start running a victory lap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 10:51 PM, snywx said: Im a big fan of the RGEM but its clearly the western outlier. Lets see what 0z brings before we start running a victory lap Expand don't forget the nam'er,not much but it also shifted back west a lil bit..and here's the ukie frames bonus for visual enjoyment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Twitter freebie For the 4KM RPM fans out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jets Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 21z rpm is west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 the jet streak keeps getting stronger on all the models. i think this will come west until the very last minute and i think much of nyc could see 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Really hoping the NW trend on the models continues with the 00z suite. This is going to be quite a fun storm to watch especially for areas that are currently on the edge of the more substantial snowfall accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:35 PM, forkyfork said: the jet streak keeps getting stronger on all the models. i think this will come west until the very last minute and i think much of nyc could see 6" Expand I think we all know how conservative but how strong a met Forky is...If it wasnt clear from the barrage of models going west ( Inclduing the GFS with its improving dynamics BTW) this declaration is one heck of an exclamation point to an evolving and potentially volatile situation. In some ways this is much more interesting , from a metreology prespective, then had we been slated for a straight up 6-12 from DCA-NY-Bos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 10:40 PM, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said: Select region, then northeast. Expand Hey, if you're dispensing TT assistance, is there a way to view total snowfall from the Euro on that site? I see posters occasionally posting ECMWF snowfall maps, but wasn't sure where they get them from (had always heard it's a paid site and people weren't supposed to have access without paying). I don't even see total snowfall as an option for the Euro on TT. Thanks, in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:40 PM, nyblizz44 said: I think we all know how conservative but how strong a met Forky is...If it wasnt clear from the barrage of models going west ( Inclduing the GFS with its improving dynamics BTW) this declaration is one heck of an exclamation point to an evolving and potentially volatile situation. In some ways this is much more interesting , from a metreology prespective, then had we been slated for a straight up 6-12 from DCA-NY-Bos. Expand Pretty much in line with Paul's call from yesterday! Paul, where art thou amigo?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:40 PM, nyblizz44 said: I think we all know how conservative but how strong a met Forky is...If it wasnt clear from the barrage of models going west ( Inclduing the GFS with its improving dynamics BTW) this declaration is one heck of an exclamation point to an evolving and potentially volatile situation. In some ways this is much more interesting , from a metreology prespective, then had we been slated for a straight up 6-12 from DCA-NY-Bos. Expand Yes I agree, Miller A's are always fun to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:35 PM, forkyfork said: the jet streak keeps getting stronger on all the models. i think this will come west until the very last minute and i think much of nyc could see 6" Expand Wow, we see lots of posters posting about all kinds of overly optimistic scenarios with little support, but in my recollection you rarely do that. So, I'm listening and hoping you're right. Have you been talking to Bernie Rayno? :>) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:43 PM, Eduardo said: Pretty much in line with Paul's call from yesterday! Paul, where art thou amigo?? Expand He seemed upset after a few tussles yesterday and eluded to not posting here again - not sure how serious he was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:35 PM, forkyfork said: the jet streak keeps getting stronger on all the models. i think this will come west until the very last minute and i think much of nyc could see 6" Expand Who are you and what did you do with forky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 the trend is so obvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:47 PM, forkyfork said: the trend is so obvious Expand You are right visually it is. Without a negative tilt wht's bringing the storm closer to the coast other than a temporary +PNA Forky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:45 PM, ILoveWinter said: He seemed upset after a few tussles yesterday and eluded to not posting here again - not sure how serious he was. Expand I wasn't aware of this. I truly hope he will continue to post. He is a quality contributor. The Board benefits from a diversity of thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 That is a great GIF, definitely a keeper, thanks forky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:50 PM, nyblizz44 said: You are right visually it is. Without a negative tilt wht's bringing the storm closer to the coast other than a temporary +PNA Forky? Expand the +pna and the fact that the s/w keeps getting stronger. it's neutrally tilted when it's near us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 also the SE ridge trended stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 The GFS is usually late to the party with miller A events. Hopefully this surprises good. The storm looks to be coming on strong in the Gulf, so hopefully that helps it trend west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/6/2017 at 11:57 PM, forkyfork said: the +pna and the fact that the s/w keeps getting stronger. it's neutrally tilted when it's near us Expand Ok, excellent point so here is the next logical question? the RGEM is showing 7 in ( without ratios I believe), NAM is up to 4 in ( again KNYC proper) and each have lead the way along with UKIE and the EURO and GFS have trended their way. What's to stop this from going even further west all but gauranteeing WSW as far west as EWR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Does too, too west introduce mixing issues anywhere ?Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 12:07 AM, sferic said: Does too, too west introduce mixing issues anywhere ? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Expand Cape Cod and islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 We should be approaching an acceptable range for the SREF. Has anyone seen the latest mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 12:05 AM, Allsnow said: Expand What is this from?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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