wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4k nam giving some hope to us in the southern part of the county, obviously to dry up north but really likes the sat/sun time frame.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3K Nam not as pretty but unlike the 4K it is still snowing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Would anyone hazard a guess how conditions will be Sunday afternoon on the I-90 corridor from Buffalo to Herkimer? I'm worried about the Syracuse area particularly. Have to decide today which vehicle we will take for the Sunday trip. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, cny rider said: Would anyone hazard a guess how conditions will be Sunday afternoon on the I-90 corridor from Buffalo to Herkimer? I'm worried about the Syracuse area particularly. Have to decide today which vehicle we will take for the Sunday trip. Thanks. I would have very little concern about that trip. Should be damn near clear sailing. The 90 is well maintained and Sunday is a super minor event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Thank you Delta. The minivan it shall be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 By the end of the day, ATL will have more snow otg than we here in Syracuse do, lol, now that's comical! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 kbuf On Saturday the lake band will become more tea kettle in nature, dominated by land breeze circulations in the light flow. The band will focus mainly in central and western Oswego County, with the heaviest snow right along the shoreline. The band of snow will take on an anticyclonic curvature with a surface ridge near the lake. These types of bands will typically only drop heavy snow within a few miles of the lakeshore, but can produce locally heavy snow in places such as Oswego, Scriba, and Minetto. This tea kettle band should be most intense during the morning, then weaken and contract back over the lake during the afternoon. Expect additional amounts during the day on Saturday of around a foot in the strongest bands across Oswego County. Lake effect snow on a light west-northwesterly flow will be focused upon the southeastern portions of the lake to start the period. This band will not have as far an inland extent to begin the night within the light flow...and may lift towards the southern Tug Hill briefly overnight before within a WSW flow ahead of the surface trough. Greatest snow accumulations will be near Oswego County Saturday night. This trough will focus convergence along the long axis of Lake Ontario such that a single band of snow will remain moderate through the night. As such the current lake effect snow warning for the three counties east of Lake Ontario has been extended through early Sunday afternoon to account for additional snows. Snow intensity will likely increase towards Sunday morning as inversion heights increase, though veering winds behind the surface and upper level low will quickly drop the band southward towards the southern and southeastern shoreline of Lake Ontario. The increase in wind shear may disrupt the band Sunday morning, with several less intense bands of snow fall SE of Lake Ontario through the day. While the greatest accumulations will be southeast of Lake Ontario...an inch or so of snow may fall along the Orleans to western Wayne lake shoreline as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Tea kettle will be interesting during the day, I personally don't like it for Oswego (maybe I'm bitter I'd miss it), but I really like Saturday night/Sunday. Very well aligned flow for about 10 hours, and very good moisture/EL heights. The tea kettle will probably set up just along that ridge which would place it between Oswego and Port Ontario. I'd favor Port Ontario earlier in the day as flow aloft is still roughly 270, but it may try to sneak into Oswego during the day. Scriba may be a good happy ground. Once lake effect gets organized Saturday night/Sunday, it really will crank. 1-3"/hr. rates, somewhere around Redfield probably picks up 20" (sorry swva). Will be very interesting to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 Heavy Snow almost all day in Eden/North Collins, foot of new snow down there I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 ...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY... RIPLEY 17.0 430 PM 1/06 SNOWFALL SINCE 5 AM. Pretty impressive total for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 I think places in Chautuaqua/Catt county are well over 150" on the year already in the best spots. They are on track for a record breaking season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I think places in Chautuaqua/Catt county are well over 150" on the year already in the best spots. They are on track for a record breaking season. Not if Spring arrives in January, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 This band that is gonna effect the central part of Oswego cty looks to be a Mexico special! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Big jump in precip on the ggem, the 4k nam has 1.2" but 3k only 0.3" and the rgem somewhere in between 0.5"-0.6".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 6 hours ago, AppsRunner said: Tea kettle will be interesting during the day, I personally don't like it for Oswego (maybe I'm bitter I'd miss it), but I really like Saturday night/Sunday. Very well aligned flow for about 10 hours, and very good moisture/EL heights. The tea kettle will probably set up just along that ridge which would place it between Oswego and Port Ontario. I'd favor Port Ontario earlier in the day as flow aloft is still roughly 270, but it may try to sneak into Oswego during the day. Scriba may be a good happy ground. Once lake effect gets organized Saturday night/Sunday, it really will crank. 1-3"/hr. rates, somewhere around Redfield probably picks up 20" (sorry swva). Will be very interesting to follow. It's been a good year for Redfield. Over 150" already. Hate I'm missing it. It is snowing here in Virginia. Should pick up 3-5" tonight. That's a dusting for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, swva said: It's been a good year for Redfield. Over 150" already. Hate I'm missing it. It is snowing here in Virginia. Should pick up 3-5" tonight. That's a dusting for you guys. You'll have more snow OTG than Syracuse, lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I'm still trying to figure out how a 1000mb LP is gonna bully its way into a 1040 HP on Tuesday. We just might see Tuesdays event get more frozen as the event gets closer. Then a massive overrunning event gets underway. Will we be on tyhe winning side of the boundary or on the warm side? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Syracuse definitely loses the snowball contest this year that's for sure! KBGM already has more than we do and thats crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Syracuse definitely loses the snowball contest this year that's for sure! KBGM already has more than we do and thats crazy. ?? According to http://goldensnowball.com/ SYR is in the lead. Not counting Albany (who really shouldn't be in it), BUF is very much in last place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Yeah but that won't last IMO but we'll seeSent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Whether or not this comes to fruition, the mere fact that a model spits out something like this in Mid January is sickening. There is so much wrong with this one image.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 KBUF had the audacity to try and forecast tea kettle like band sitting over Oswego? How did that work out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 46 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Whether or not this comes to fruition, the mere fact that a model spits out something like this in Mid January is sickening. There is so much wrong with this one image.... wanna elaborate Delta as it would serve the Board well! I think I know what ur talking about but I could be wrong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 With all that Blocking, how does it get as warm as some of the models are predicting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: KBUF had the audacity to try and forecast tea kettle like band sitting over Oswego? How did that work out? Not particularly well. They picked up some snow earlier today but not the foot amounts they predicted. Still think this band ends up further north than they think tonight too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 Meanwhile 3" per hour down in the southtowns again. NYZ019-020-085-072030- Southern Erie-Cattaraugus-Chautauqua- 144 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2017 ...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ERIE...NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES... At 136 PM EST an area of lake effect snow stretched from near Westfield to Hamburg along the Lake Erie shoreline, and then inland across Southern Erie County. Embedded within this snow is an area of heavy snow was located near Evangola State Park. This heavy snow is producing snowfall rates up to 3 inches per hour as it drifts slowly northeastward. If driving along roads such as Route 5, and the NYS Thruway between exits 59 and 57A, or Route 249, be prepared for rapid changes in road and driving conditions. Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in this area of heavy snow. Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be prepared for snow covered roads. Slow down and allow extra time when traveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2017 Author Share Posted January 7, 2017 Eden/Angola got over a foot since last night, crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 That meso-low on the east end of LO is pretty cool... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, vortmax said: That meso-low on the east end of LO is pretty cool... Yes it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, vortmax said: That meso-low on the east end of LO is pretty cool... Looks like a band of snow associated with that low is about to pivot onshore near Oswego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.