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Upstate NY/North Country + adjacent ON, QC, VT: Winter!


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20 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

Buffalo Metro is going to get absolutely crushed from between 5- whenever she decides to settle back South.  Plus the added synoptic moisture from the incoming wave which should put down 1-2" area wide.  I will be extremely disappointed if KBUF doesn't get at least a foot or more but I've been disappointed before so it's always, we'll see what happens.  Everything I have looked at including Bufkit has KBUF getting destroyed. Even their latest sounding for this evening shows the omega intersecting the snow growth region, with a pretty much non-existent cap so I say all systems go for a serious commute this evening through I'd say about 11 or so.

Good luck!

I think that band is nearly out of northward steam.  Its looking fairly steady now, maybe its got another mile or two at best, but I think its a heart breaker for the metro.  Also, I don't see more than a coating area wide synoptically, if that.  Sorry to be so pessimistic. 

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Just now, DeltaT13 said:

I think that band is nearly out of northward steam.  Its looking fairly steady now, maybe its got another mile or two at best, but I think its a heart breaker for the metro.  Also, I don't see more than a coating area wide synoptically, if that.  Sorry to be so pessimistic. 

I dont live in KBUF but its great to disagree.  I really have nothing invested in this event as a whole but I still think ur wrong, lol!!

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3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

Cautiously optimistic on any more northward jogging. If it repeats earlier today the band kinked and made a fast 5 mile jump north.. Maybe a repeat next hour? NWS has been advertising a 5pm arrival downtown all day so let's see..


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Still only light snow here. Guess this is what the 2010 and 2014 storms felt like for those just north of it. Looking further downwind it seems like it has a couple more miles in it, but that's no guarantee.

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1 minute ago, josh_4184 said:

Congratz on the snow, has anyone reported any thundersnow yet? Maybe not enough instability? 

None yet. But I saw 6" in an hour earlier. Crazy stuff!

Latest from KBUF:

.A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ERIE...SOUTHWESTERN
GENESEE AND NORTHERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates of 3 inches per
hour will continue to drift very slowly north toward Buffalo while
continuing to impact the Buffalo Southtowns through the afternoon.
This band of heavy snow is then expected to drift farther north into
the City of Buffalo during the evening commute. The band also
extends eastward into Northern Wyoming County and will edge into
Southwestern Genesee County later this afternoon.
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18 minutes ago, southbuffalowx said:

Still only light snow here. Guess this is what the 2010 and 2014 storms felt like for those just north of it. Looking further downwind it seems like it has a couple more miles in it, but that's no guarantee.

2014 didn't even have -SN just north of the band, just partly cloudy skies. The light snow today goes all the way up at least to the Niagara County line. 

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5 minutes ago, southbuffalowx said:

I would love to see some snowfall reports near the Woodlawn area. They've under the worst of it all afternoon. It's probably been there 4 hours now right?

Right in the middle of it right now, just pure heavy fluffy snow!!

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Insane rates! I work near Mckinley Mall and heavy snow for 4-5 straight hours here. 

..ERIE COUNTY...
   HAMBURG               17.8   135 PM  1/05  SOCIAL MEDIA
   EAST CONCORD          16.6   230 PM  1/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BLASDELL              15.0   408 PM  1/05  3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR
   ORCHARD PARK          12.0   343 PM  1/05  NWS EMPLOYEE
   ANGOLA ON THE LAKE    12.0  1230 PM  1/05  SOCIAL MEDIA
   2 WNW FARNHAM         11.0  1230 PM  1/05  EVANGOLA STATE PARK
   EAST AURORA           10.0   122 PM  1/05  SOCIAL MEDIA
   3 SSW MARILLA          9.5   400 PM  1/05  BETWEEN 11AM-4PM
   EDEN                   8.0  1140 AM  1/05  POST OFFICE
   NORTH BOSTON           8.0  1150 AM  1/05  SNOW SPOTTER
   2 ESE WANAKAH          7.5   415 PM  1/05  PUBLIC
   WEST SENECA            7.0   406 PM  1/05  SNOW SPOTTER
   3 SSW WANAKAH          7.0   330 PM  1/05  OVER 2-HR TIMEFRAME
   2 SW MARILLA           6.0   220 PM  1/05  PAST 3 HOURS
   3 WSW ELMA CENTER      5.5   200 PM  1/05  ALL IN THE PAST 3 HOURS
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13 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

Looks like a south towns special! Just doesn't look like it wants to budge at all. Riding the edge here still a good 1"/hr. 1.5" so far since 3pm.


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Yup, pretty much the same exact here. Looks like it's trying to fatten up a bit, which might push us into the 2-3"/hr stuff. I'm still remaining optimistic!

 

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