CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Funny as the temp dropped a degree, but mid lvls are rising fast!Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 10 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Funny cause ur 5 minutes north of me CNY_WX, but its movin in fast that's for sure! Delta, I love mayhem as well but I have wife on the road at rush hour and I don't want a phone call saying, I'm in ditch call AAA, lol as its happened way too many times, lol!! Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk About an hour ago I left Wegmans in Cicero and drove home, about 5 miles north. It was mainly sleet and ZR when I left Wegmans and 29 on my car thermometer. When I got home it was predominantly snow and the temperature had dropped to 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 We just flipped over to sleet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Pouring sleet right now. About an inch of snow fell before the change. 27 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Same here, bout an inch. Temps are rising though. Some places are at freezing already like Lysander and BVille so it coming in from the West.Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 KROC is up to 31, KBUF is 36 and KCLE at 41. So I think we'll be in this for a while.Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 No good mechanism for Syracuse and the rest of the Lake plains to trap cold air in right now as winds are howling out of the south. A few hi res models changeover well after rush hour but the HRRR was much quicker last time I checked. Was thinking right around 5pm it transitions to plain rain but hopefully it's a little sooner. I was happy to see a lot of schools let out at 1 today. School buses and reckless teenagers driving on ice is not a good combination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Getting some lovely freezing drizzle, temp at 29.9... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 57 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Getting some lovely freezing drizzle, temp at 29.9... Hope you don't have to go anywhere until that ice can melt. One thing I hate is having to scrape freezing rain off a car. I usually start the car and let it warm up to melt the windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 That's exactly what I did, every thing came right off, roads aren't to bad..Temp up to 32 degrees.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 The wind is roaring pretty good already and the front is sharpening up over ontario/Ohio with some low topped convective segments. Could be some damaging gusts this evening. Reminds me of January 2008 in some respects when Rochester got rocked by a 75mph gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 Looks like we will end up with close to 1/4" of ZR if my rain gauge is at all correct and radar trends hold. A bit more than the trivial amts forecasted (< 1/10") but shouldn't cause power problems, not sure on the hills where winds are higher. Side roads very sketchy but main arteries basically ok though some spots a bit iffy. Up to 30.7...about a degree increase in last two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 7 hours ago, AppsRunner said: No good mechanism for Syracuse and the rest of the Lake plains to trap cold air in right now as winds are howling out of the south. A few hi res models changeover well after rush hour but the HRRR was much quicker last time I checked. Was thinking right around 5pm it transitions to plain rain but hopefully it's a little sooner. I was happy to see a lot of schools let out at 1 today. School buses and reckless teenagers driving on ice is not a good combination. Guess a middle ground was the best option. Temps really struggle to rise today, but thankfully will continue through the night. Hopefully main roads weren't too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 Joe bastardi says big fun in eastern us feb March. Using 1993 as analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 WTF is this bright yellow thing in the sky? Looks like I got my vitamin D for the day haha Up to 41 degrees, feels like 60.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: WTF is this bright yellow thing in the sky? Looks like I got my vitamin D for the day haha Up to 41 degrees, feels like 60.. Feet of snow now down to bare grass in south Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 We've still have a thin glacial cover after yesterday's ice. I suspect most of it will be gone by tomorrow night. Currently up to 42 with bright blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2017 Author Share Posted January 11, 2017 I love snow but man I love the sun just as much. Feels incredible outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 That GFS tho. Quite the ridge until the end of the month. Well, between last night's winds and the warmup, I don't think we need to worry about a Lake Erie freeze for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I love snow but man I love the sun just as much. Feels incredible outside! It's absolutely beautiful outside! It's like 3 months have been skipped on the calendar. My car thermometer hit 50 when I was out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 just hit 50 here in Liverpool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2017 Author Share Posted January 11, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: It's absolutely beautiful outside! It's like 3 months have been skipped on the calendar. My car thermometer hit 50 when I was out. The older I get the more I enjoy the sun and warmth. I love being outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 There should be no, "liking the outdoors and the Sun" in the Winter season, lol, but I think there will be more of these days then those of Winter for the rest of the Month. However we, areas to the SE of LO may get an inch or 2 tomorrow but then it'll be gone over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Ice Jam in South Buffalohttps://vimeo.com/199190830Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Nice foggy backdrop for some pictures this morning. Some pretty big ice chunks pushed over the banks and into the park. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pictures aren't showing up. But nice video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 13, 2017 Share Posted January 13, 2017 I was up in the Lake Placid area since Sunday. Experienced deep winter and spring over the course of 4 days....Trip up on Sunday featured a run through a surprisingly long lake effect band down the 90 from just west of Roc to about Waterloo. Tough driving, 2"/hour stuff at least. Rest of the drive was squally with temps no higher than 10 degrees. Snow cover looked super deep from about Parish on 81, up through Watertown, and all the way down Rt. 3 to Cranberry Lake. Hiked up Catamount Mt. on Monday morning, temps between -5 and 5 above. Quick burst of snow Tuesday night, 4-6" accumulation. Then spring came...hiked up Mt. Van Hovenberg on Wednesday with temps pushing 45 and sun. Drive home today was polar opposite of drive up...periods of rain and temps in the 50's. Mountain areas were holding onto snow pack, but surprised to see a lot of bare spots already emerging all the way down 81. And of course bare ground from Cuse to Buf. A few photos below: 1 - daughter huffing it up Catamount, just above treeline; 2 - view from south summit of Catamount, facing southwest; 3 - view from Hart Lake at sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 13, 2017 Share Posted January 13, 2017 17 hours ago, Buffalo Bumble said: I was up in the Lake Placid area since Sunday. Experienced deep winter and spring over the course of 4 days....Trip up on Sunday featured a run through a surprisingly long lake effect band down the 90 from just west of Roc to about Waterloo. Tough driving, 2"/hour stuff at least. Rest of the drive was squally with temps no higher than 10 degrees. Snow cover looked super deep from about Parish on 81, up through Watertown, and all the way down Rt. 3 to Cranberry Lake. Hiked up Catamount Mt. on Monday morning, temps between -5 and 5 above. Quick burst of snow Tuesday night, 4-6" accumulation. Then spring came...hiked up Mt. Van Hovenberg on Wednesday with temps pushing 45 and sun. Drive home today was polar opposite of drive up...periods of rain and temps in the 50's. Mountain areas were holding onto snow pack, but surprised to see a lot of bare spots already emerging all the way down 81. And of course bare ground from Cuse to Buf. A few photos below: 1 - daughter huffing it up Catamount, just above treeline; 2 - view from south summit of Catamount, facing southwest; 3 - view from Hart Lake at sunset. Nice pics man meanwhile big changes incoming for the long range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 13, 2017 Share Posted January 13, 2017 So is this it? Winter is over? Long ranges are disheartening. Cold air appears to be in extremely short supply. Perhaps this is the new winter....Pretty awful if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2017 Share Posted January 14, 2017 We can still cash in on some snow before the month ends, LR Gfs OP has shown a return to BN temps around/just after the 25th of January, it has shown this about 4-5 runs in a row.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 The very tail end of the latest GFS run certainly shows a promising change to an amplified pattern and a return to winter. From the NWS: .CLIMATE... The main story for next week and beyond will be the extended period of above normal temperatures not only in our region, but for much of the eastern 2/3 of the nation. Over the next two weeks, a strong closed low will remain parked over the Bering Straits, forcing a strong Pacific East Asian jet to extend farther east than normal. This will continue to bring a parade of Pacific systems into the western United States, while also supporting zonal flow and a flat ridge downstream across the central and eastern part of the country. The westerly flow across the continent will support strong Chinook warming off the Rockies, with warmth spreading to the east coast and even well north into southern and central Canada. The warmth will last for another 12 days or so, but there is a significant pattern change brewing beyond that. A Sudden Stratospheric Warming event has just occurred in the northern hemisphere. These events occur when planetary waves propagate vertically into the stratosphere, with wave breaking and dampening processes acting to rapidly warm the stratosphere over the high latitudes and greatly distort the Stratospheric Polar Vortex. This warming and disruption in the stratosphere has been shown in numerous studies to slowly feed back into the troposphere, with a strong tendency for high latitude blocking to increase about 2 weeks after the warming takes place. High latitude blocking increases the ability of polar air to spread southward into the mid latitudes, and increases the chances of cold and wintry weather locking in for a longer period of time. It appears the long range guidance is beginning to capture this idea, with the GEFS and NAEFS ensembles suggesting a more highly amplified flow starting late this month, with a ridge developing over Alaska and the West Coast while a deep longwave trough begins to establish across central and eastern North America. The developing ridge in Alaska may also promote a period of cross polar flow, draining frigid Siberian air into northern Canada. GEFS ensembles also support a more negative NAO and AO pattern towards the end of the month. Putting all this together, it appears the pattern should become much colder and more wintry around January 25-27. Past stratospheric warming events suggest this cold pattern may last for quite some time, and may support the potential for periods of well below normal temperatures by the end of the month and first half of February. Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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