rimetree Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: it may not snow in SE NH in this one Ya, and we've been in the mostly rainy part of every other event this season...can't catch a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 Not expecting more than 1" with this one for TAN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Not expecting more than 1" with this one for TAN. It would be nice for the grass to be covered even if its only for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, CarverWX said: It would be nice for the grass to be covered even if its only for a few days. You'll likely do a bit better than i since you're further E. Maybe we catch a sneaky band or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM showing a stronger shortwave in the southern stream for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: NAM showing a stronger shortwave in the southern stream for Saturday. Isn't it the northern stream that's the problem? Doesn't phase in Quick enough to amp this thing up the coast a lil more??? The Southern Stream disturbance has looked good for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, WinterWolf said: Isn't it the northern stream that's the problem? Doesn't phase in Quick enough to amp this thing up the coast a lil more??? The Southern Stream disturbance has looked good for days. No the southern stream has just begun looking good lately, it wasn't good the past 72 hours, it is better on the EURO but worse then previous runs. The northern stream is positively tilted which is the problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM verbatim looks a bit SE of 6z. Haven't looked at the mid levels though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM verbatim looks a bit SE of 6z. Haven't looked at the mid levels though. Well it should since it's been the most robust of all the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Well it should since it's been the most robust of all the models. A lot less robust. Looks sim to RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 It's now in line with the rest of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's now in line with the rest of the models. Nah, 3KM NAM or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 This will be 1-2" south and east of I-90 with 3-4 on the Cape. Pretty easy forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM total qpf thorough Sunday for James is 1.25 and 0.5 to Weymouth-almost to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah, 3KM NAM or bust. Oh, of course. RGEM looks pretty similar to 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Rgem bumped NW again . 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 55 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM total qpf thorough Sunday for James is 1.25 and 0.5 to Weymouth-almost to BOS. Yeah ...now that this is shorter termed ... more worth it to steady subtle differences in the runs. I'm noticing a late trend to kick the west edge of the GPF back west ...not huge, but say 35 mi per cycle. I will say, just based upon my own observation, the jet max and associated vort track are really about 1.5 degress of lat/lon SE of the ISP; that is actually typically a good track for the Pike ...but idiosyncrasies in the entire evolution aren't cashing in..interesting. As is, ..the NAM is sort of "waiting" to organize the system until later based on two reasons (as far as I can tell): one, the last night's pushing the baroclinic axis way out there; the speed of the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS follows nam and Rgem with 1-3" tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS follows the NAM and brings 3-6" for Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: GFS follows the NAM and brings 3-6" for Cape Cod. GFS doesn't give anyone more than about 0.3" there with most under 0.25"...you aren't getting 5-6" with that. 2-4 is probably a better description of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 18:1 ratios Will, I think it can happen man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 18:1 ratios Will, I think it can happen man Why would you forecast 18 to 1 ratios? That hardly ever happens on the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Why would you forecast 18 to 1 ratios? That hardly ever happens on the Cape. Only in OES would that ever happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Why would you forecast 18 to 1 ratios? That hardly ever happens on the Cape. Lol I think he thinks he is in Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol I think he thinks he is in Kansas More like somewhere over the rainbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Snow looks to start around 2am to 3am according to the short range HRRR model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 WWA in effect down here. NWS calling for 2-4" which will be my biggest storm of the year. yessah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 WWA up for coastal CT too as well which is odd as this is definitely a sub-adv event but i think due to timing during rush and the fact the snow will be sticking everywhere on impact, they decided to make a judgement call. 1-4" is quite a range closer to 1-2 for coastal CT 3 and 4 is certainly possible on far eastern LI though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Clear your cache. I don't think the timestamp on the actual website is right either. That has to be just for the first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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