RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: NAMs not tossed in SE MA and CC. must be missing something cuz 0z was worse for se coastline than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: must be missing something cuz 0z was worse for se coastline than 18z. That's only if you had grand accumulation expectations, of which, I had none. T-2" was and is my range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 RGEM proving Kevin wrong, is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 00z RGEM is c-2" w/ 3" out on ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Expecting a trace Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Lol this thread.....really? Oh man.....I mean if an inverted trough is your thing then ok but when it's barely putting down an inch give it up already.....especially with the garbage rainers coming.....Christ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Snow is snow people, we all love snow, which is why it is hard to see someone get more than you. Some people are like that and some are not, it is just the way it is. I'm excited for whatever is to come, I haven't had more than 0.5" this winter and a few inches is a welcomed sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I would go with 2-4" on the Cape and 1-2" from PVD to BOS points southeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Winter Weather Advisory is up for Barnstable County and the Islands as well as southern Plymouth county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NWS talked about 18:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: NWS talked about 18:1 ratios That's how you're getting 3" out of like 0.15" QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: That's how you're getting 3" out of like 0.15" QPF. How come most models besides the GFS are forecasting 3-6" of snow, NWS is forecasting 2-5" for Cape and Islands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 OceanStWx did you see the 6z NAM this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: OceanStWx did you see the 6z NAM this morning? I did. It is still the NAM in the later hours of its range, so I'm not sure how much weight I would give it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Yeah but it still gives us hope for something greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 6z GFS came westward with both storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Nice concensus now on a fluffy 1-2 inch snowfall pike south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 As much as 7" possible on the Cape according to the NWS max potential snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM has really strong frontogenesis over srn areas. With good H7-H5 lift, it definitely bears watching for a weenie band to exist farther north than one thinks. We'll see how the trends today go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM has really strong frontogenesis over srn areas. With good H7-H5 lift, it definitely bears watching for a weenie band to exist farther north than one thinks. We'll see how the trends today go. Pretty good fluff factor. Rgem had 1-2" with 3 SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 so this event will get far se new england on the board and should bring the area region wide to aoa snowfall, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM has really strong frontogenesis over srn areas. With good H7-H5 lift, it definitely bears watching for a weenie band to exist farther north than one thinks. We'll see how the trends today go. That's bc the NAM is the furtherst NW out of all models. This story sounds familiar... 6z RGEM already caved to the euro and GFS track well southeast of the BM. With a 1000-1005 mb low passing 50-100 miles SE of the BM I think most locations northwest of extreme SE MA and SE RI will see mostly flurries and stratus that is only producing above their heads. The qpf output for areas away from the coast--even on the GFS-- looks generous to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 James looks to cash in on this one and over the next few days, congrats to him he's been watching and waiting . I'm thinking maybe 1 around here late tonight/ tommorrow morning, lets see how the models trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, codfishsnowman said: so this event will get far se new england on the board and should bring the area region wide to aoa snowfall, no? No I don't think so. They'll need probably 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: No I don't think so. They'll need probably 10". That seems steep for them for early Jan, I only should be around a foot or so which is roughly where I am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: That's bc the NAM is the furtherst NW out of all models. This story sounds familiar... 6z RGEM already caved to the euro and GFS track well southeast of the BM. With a 1000-1005 mb low passing 50-100 miles SE of the BM I think most locations northwest of extreme SE MA and SE RI will see mostly flurries and stratus that is only producing above their heads. The qpf output for areas away from the coast--even on the GFS-- looks generous to me. The GFS shows this as well. Verbatim it's a decent look in SE areas and close to BOS-IJD or so. But, we'll see how the trends go today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: That seems steep for them for early Jan, I only should be around a foot or so which is roughly where I am They have a half inch for the year or so right now. To get them near normal, I would say 6-7" or so by the end of the weekend. I was speaking more region wide. I'd need about 4-6 locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They have a half inch for the year or so right now. To get them near normal, I would say 6-7" or so by the end of the weekend. I was speaking more region wide. I'd need about 4-6 locally. ok so there are some holes then, got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 it may not snow in SE NH in this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Well here's cheering for James and CC snow lovers. My father in law is not among them (Dennis) but 2-4 or 3-6 is no big deal for him since he has someone to clear him out and at high ratios it can be swept off with a broom. So, go James, go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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