mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Goes positive but not until after this weekend when the storm threat is. Essentially a neutral PNA and a neutral AO for this weekend's threat. But in transition towards positive....Archambault. (as a weenie I can throw around those terms, as if I know what I'm talking about) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, mahk_webstah said: But in transition towards positive....Archambault. (as a weenie I can throw around those terms, as if I know what I'm talking about) That refers to major movement. But I suspect you were half kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 45 minutes ago, bobbutts said: It goes pretty fast in the lower elevations and the summer is perfect wx by my standards. Mild dry days and cool nights with no bugs. It doesn't exist in the lower elevations of California. It lingers into early summer after a big year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 36 minutes ago, weathafella said: It doesn't exist in the lower elevations of California. It lingers into early summer after a big year. Everything's relative I guess.. when I think low elevations I am thinking 5k-7k feet where most people live in the Sierra's. I hit mammoth in the late 90's in July and recall typical Summer ground conditions weather the entire way except at the actual resort. It's not like people outside the ski area are dealing with snow at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 1 hour ago, weathafella said: That refers to major movement. But I suspect you were half kidding. Actually thought about that today but it is a good Midwest look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro Looks like they have 15:1 weenie one also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 40 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like they have 15:1 weenie one also That 15-1 weenie one came in handy Saturday 10.5/.64 16.4-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: That 15-1 weenie one came in handy Saturday 10.5/.64 16.4-1 We actually ran the numbers for our CWA based off CoCoRaHS, 12.4:1 just about right on our climo of 12:1. But if you were under the best banding, you definitely fared better than the rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: We actually ran the numbers for our CWA based off CoCoRaHS, 12.4:1 just about right on our climo of 12:1. But if you were under the best banding, you definitely fared better than the rest. All the Cococrisp kids in NE CT NW RI were 15 16 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: All the Cococrisp kids in NE CT NW RI were 15 16 to 1 They got into it good there for a while. I would say my parents were probably right in line with that, they thought they got about a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: They got into it good there for a while. I would say my parents were probably right in line with that, they thought they got about a foot. Yep I was in RI today , nothing more beautiful than snow on the beach. My brother in Newport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yep I was in RI today , nothing more beautiful than snow on the beach. My brother in Newport Fresh snow pics are awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Looks like they have 15:1 weenie one also They've always had the 15:1 ratio map in the past two winters I've looked at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: They've always had the 15:1 ratio map in the past two winters I've looked at it. Never really noticed, I would have thought someone would have thrown it up in some of these events....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 I sure hope it snows Saturday. We'll be on national TV! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Healthy looking area of preceip on radar coming out of the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 50 minutes ago, weathafella said: I sure hope it snows Saturday. We'll be on national TV! You and your family? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You and your family? Now that the Giants are done we might as well pull for the Pats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Now that the Giants are done we might as well pull for the Pats. Lol we root. Although I promised my sister in law if the Boys get in versus the Pats I will root for the boys. Her hubby and of course TBarry are Pats fanatics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 7 hours ago, weathafella said: I sure hope it snows Saturday. We'll be on national TV! It's all we've got this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 10 hours ago, weathafella said: I sure hope it snows Saturday. We'll be on national TV! What are you going to be on t.v. for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 I know it is the 6z GFS, but besides Thursday into early Friday, it says what torch? Warmer yes, but lower thickness and 2m temps through day 16... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 48 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: What are you going to be on t.v. for? QB of the Patriots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 25 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I know it is the 6z GFS, but besides Thursday into early Friday, it says what torch? Warmer yes, but lower thickness and 2m temps through day 16... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: oh I know its coming, the vortex is inevitable, and I very much expect some 50s and even a 60 or 2 down here along the south coast. I was just commenting on how the 6z surface was muting the full out torch here in the NE....kinda has the spring look to it, PA and NJ enjoys their 60s and 70s while we are stuck in the 40s and wishing for the warmth to break through. I hope the warmth breaks records, if it is not going to snow, I would rather turn the heat off and not pay for the oil... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 That's 10 days from now...doesn't mean it's completely correct either. Gonna mild up..but how much is the big question? We don't live at 500mb either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 I think next date to watch is the 18-19th period. Coastal threat has been showing on a few gfs cycles. It's warm right now and out there, but might be our next chance at something wintery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, Hazey said: I think next date to watch is the 18-19th period. Coastal threat has been showing on a few gfs cycles. It's warm right now and out there, but might be our next chance at something wintery. The NAO dips and the PNA goes positive around that time frame...there might not be any cold air around at the time to help it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2017 Share Posted January 10, 2017 54 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That's 10 days from now...doesn't mean it's completely correct either. Gonna mild up..but how much is the big question? We don't live at 500mb either. that's kinda ugly for h5 when translating it to the sfc. the h85 and 2m temp anomalies are just as bad, but the h5 heights always have higher verification scores on the LR ensembles. even with a cold upper pattern you can get a biased warm prog at 2m. i think i saw will mention yesterday that things were looking better at the end of the ens runs. the 6z gefs looked a bit better toward the end of the month too. pattern change begins 2/1 and complete by 2/15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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