ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Would compromise still drop some snow for all of SNE? Prob not western half of SNE or western 2/3rds...outside of flurries. SE MA and cape would prob still get something on a compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Would compromise still drop some snow for all of SNE? Probably not... maybe SE Mass and the cape would grab an inch or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Hopefully the guidance is correct with lots of Scooter HP after any moderation later next week. It may not mean cold...but it's good to see on the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing wrong with 3-6 that the Euro had. Nothing I'd take 3-6".....sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 We've been here, we've done this. Euro will go east as do EPS, and 90% of the time we are cooked. If something happens it would be a big shift on the runs on Thursdaypm or Fri am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I'll feel good if the EURO comes even further west, but if it regresses at all.....game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Probably not... maybe SE Mass and the cape would grab an inch or two It depends on the compromise. It also doesn't have to mean that one model is totally right or totally wrong. Sometimes our emotions make us think the more bullish model is wrong if it lets us down, but if the less bullish model beefs up a tad...that needs to be acknowledged too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob not western half of SNE or western 2/3rds...outside of flurries. SE MA and cape would prob still get something on a compromise. Gonna have to hope the INV ends over up our area then. Cuz there should be one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully the guidance is correct with lots of Scooter HP after any moderation later next week. It may not mean cold...but it's good to see on the ensembles. Yeah a lot of scooter highs on both GEFS and EPS. Those are helpful too if we get imperfect storm tracks...could give us some front end stuff or even just a pure snow SWFE too. We've actually been pretty unlucky this season with the high pressures...the Dec 12 system really screwed us at the last minute with the high moving east...and even Dec 17 was a bad spot, but the airmass was so frigid we got away with it for a while and ended up with a solid thump. Hopefully one of these works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Looks like the guidance from the CMC is backing off some on the Sunday Snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It depends on the compromise. It also doesn't have to mean that one model is totally right or totally wrong. Sometimes our emotions make us think the more bullish model is wrong if it lets us down, but if the less bullish model beefs up a tad...that needs to be acknowledged too. True.... but if the euro goes 30-50 miles east... and the GFS comes 30-50 miles west... isn't that compromise a garbage solution outside of the outer cape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 7 minutes ago, leo1000 said: Looks like the guidance from the CMC is backing off some on the Sunday Snowstorm. Welcome to 90 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: True.... but if the euro goes 30-50 miles east... and the GFS comes 30-50 miles west... isn't that compromise a garbage solution outside of the outer cape? It won't be if you are under the inv trough...lol. But as I said before, most would lose playing mesoscale russian roulette with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Already can tell euro will back down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Already can tell euro will back down. Yep, ridge is worse and the lakes energy is further east at 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Euro is going to be better I think based on the 63 hour look at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Maybe I suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Caution is out. Car euro is smoking and heading for pit road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 At least we get a coating between now and February... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Going the wrong way, Not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 It's too bad...that southern energy is pretty nice on the Euro...the northern features screw us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Game over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 To far east, And trough was east as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It's too bad...that southern energy is pretty nice on the Euro...the northern features screw us. Congrats to the Southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Figures the time we need the euro to come through, it does a face plant. Tough to loose this as it was a prime period to produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Its 3mb weaker then to 0z run with the offshore low as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Going the wrong way, Not good I think the writing was on the wall when the other models barely improved, if at all. Unlikely the euro was going to be 100% correct. I'm sure whatever method is used to calculate success... it will still be closer to correct... but in terms of sensible weather... ehh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 #KACKwinter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 This is where Bones say's "He's dead Jim" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Not dead in SE areas. But not good further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.