PaEasternWX Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Tantalizing run for the hills on this run of the GFS. If you go to this link below, the 96 hrs. 850 temps off the 12Z run and then click on the Left Arrow where it says "Prev. Runs", you can see how the colder temps from the Northeast have made their way closer to the Mid Atlantic versus the 2 previous runs. Like somebody said, we've got another 100 hrs. of trending to go! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=T850&runtime=2017011912&fh=96&xpos=0&ypos=384 hmm, wonder who that somebody was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: For you, I agree. You really think that little wedge is going to help you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, PaEasternWX said: hmm, wonder who that somebody was You're in a much better spot than those of us along I95 between Baltimore & DC. But it's the fluke we all need right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: You're in a much better spot than those of us along I95 between Baltimore & DC. But it's the fluke we all need right now. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Well I guess a lil bit of support for the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Apps runner on the Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 16 minutes ago, BTRWx said: You really think that little wedge is going to help you? you're a bit salty today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: you're a bit salty today I can't stand false claims. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, BTRWx said: I can't stand false claims. I'm not sure anyone was making any definitive claims. WWlvr was simply pointing out that the wedge of cold air has trended closer. you chose to make it into something more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, mappy said: I'm not sure anyone was making any definitive claims. WWlvr was simply pointing out that the wedge of cold air has trended closer. you chose to make it into something more. The GFS shows a wedge at hour 102. Does it have support other than individual gefs cherry-picked maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, BTRWx said: The GFS shows a wedge at hour 102. Does it have support other than individual gefs cherry-picked maps? Again -- he pointed it out. Never said it was going to happen. Never said people were going to see snow. You are taking a simple post that pointed out the wedge into something much bigger than it was intended to be. Not sure why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: Again -- he pointed it out. Never said it was going to happen. Never said people were going to see snow. You are taking a simple post that pointed out the wedge into something much bigger than it was intended to be. Not sure why. If nobody wants to hear the truth, then what's the use of these forums? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, BTRWx said: If nobody wants to hear the truth, then what's the use of these forums? sigh. i give up. carry on with your saltiness. and this "truth" you are trying to make everyone see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, BTRWx said: If nobody wants to hear the truth, then what's the use of these forums? What is this truth are you referring to? We are discussing model guidance and trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: sigh. i give up. carry on with your saltiness. and this "truth" you are trying to make everyone see. For the record, I'm not "salty". Let's see who knows how to react to a little criticism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: What is this truth are you referring to? We are discussing model guidance and trends. It's a lack of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, BTRWx said: For the record, I'm not "salty". Let's see who knows how to react to a little criticism. you are free to criticize me as you please. i'm a tough woman. i can take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: you are free to criticize me as you please. i'm a tough woman. i can take it. I'd rather not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: 97-98 had some glorious looking coastal lows with a seemingly great 500mb pattern that gave us big rains (although the mountains got some heavy snows). yep, and Ocean City took a beach beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 The storm is still not making enough of its own cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Amped said: The storm is still not making enough of its own cold air. Could be interesting in Oakland, Canaan, Snowshoe, etc. though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 hour ago, gymengineer said: Keeping an event log helps. Looking over past stats like from this website also helps: http://www.jhuapl.edu/weather/education/ACONdata.html Great. Now my day is shot. Good job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, BTRWx said: I'd rather not. ok. we are totally bantering now. not sure what your point was with the criticism line in your last post, but whatever. i dont want to argue with my fellow mid-atlantic snow lovers. we are on the same team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: We miss that storm in March 99 and that was 2002. Likewise we get one of those storms that missed us just south or north during a decent pattern late Dec into early Jan in 2002 and we don't remember that as anything particularly awful right now. That is the fight were in right now. Avoid the total crap result. March 99 had 3 events. March 4 - 6" March 9 - 3" March 14 - 9" total - 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, das said: Great. Now my day is shot. Good job. lol You must have done what I did....2009-2010. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 12 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Could be interesting in Oakland, Canaan, Snowshoe, etc. though. Whew! Our winter is saved! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 hour ago, osfan24 said: It obviously won't happen, but the cold air has trended insanely far south with this storm in a relatively short period of time over the past few days. If that trend did continue, this would be very interesting. I'm sure it won't though. Talking about trends is all well and good but model depictions is what we are really discussing. Being 100 hours out from a possible storm that is occurring in a pattern change tells me that we may not know what will happen until possibly kickoff. More changes will be forthcoming with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2017 Author Share Posted January 19, 2017 40 minutes ago, BTRWx said: I can't stand false claims. Then stop making them. "not even close" was your comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 How much for INTERIOR PA?!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Let me try to explain why I think that wedge is not very likely. That map is at 850mb from the operational gfs day 4. Fine. What's it show at the surface? No cold air. What do the ensembles show at these levels? Similar to 2m ops. They support each other. What about the para? Its 6z run looks warm. Is this data people want ignored just because it's not positive?... 6z gfs 12z gfs para Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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