SnowBlitzkrieg Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 most of us just had 6-10 inches of snow four days ago, we'll be alright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 50 minutes ago, SnowBlitzkrieg said: most of us just had 6-10 inches of snow four days ago, we'll be alright What about those of us that didn't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 What did the 12z Euro show for the weekend? I'm assuming nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 48 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: What did the 12z Euro show for the weekend? I'm assuming nothing. Through the end of the run at 240hr, less than 1" for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 30 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Through the end of the run at 240hr, less than 1" for the area. Almost time to weenie out if accurate. bet we get one of those big fat dog storms soon. Going to check my bike tires for air, may ride my bike off a cliff if "no" snow for a ten rack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 2 hours ago, SnowBlitzkrieg said: most of us just had 6-10 inches of snow four days ago, we'll be alright Those of us in the interior missed out on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 13 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: Those of us in the interior missed out on that. It's almost all gone now besides dirty piles, so we're all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 Gfs and Nam are more north with Saturdays event than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 27 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs and Nam are more north with Saturdays event than previous runs. GGEM was too. All develop some sort of surface reflection off NJ. Those little surface lows can turn these events into bigger ones. Right now its a bit too late developing and south still to have a big impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 00z NAM has a heavy burst of snow Saturday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 The UKMET was also north at 60 compared to 72 on its 12Z run. The 72 hour frame does not look bad either, could be okay by 78-84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 12z Nam has snow showers for the area Nothing big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 On 1/11/2017 at 1:33 PM, SnowBlitzkrieg said: most of us just had 6-10 inches of snow four days ago, we'll be alright Most? Even NYC didn't attain the mark of 6 or more. Literally it was specifically only LI, and that isn't most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, nesussxwx said: Most? Even NYC didn't attain the mark of 6 or more. Literally it was specifically only LI, and that isn't most. What? JFK had over 8 inches I had close to 7 inches That amount in NYC seems low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: What? JFK had over 8 inches I had close to 7 inches That amount in NYC seems low. Yeah I got 6.2". The park should be close to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted January 12, 2017 Share Posted January 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What? JFK had over 8 inches I had close to 7 inches That amount in NYC seems low. Should have been more specific, meant the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 Let's not forget we have this thread for model discussion, so as not to clog the discussion/OBS thread with 240hr GGEM snowstorms.... with that said: EPS/ GEFS disagree on event in day 7 timeframe, no Gefs members signal snow, while a surprising amount of EPS members have a decent snow event with cold in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Let's not forget we have this thread for model discussion, so as not to clog the discussion/OBS thread with 240hr GGEM snowstorms.... with that said: EPS/ GEFS disagree on event in day 7 timeframe, no Gefs members signal snow, while a surprising amount of EPS members have a decent snow event with cold in place CMC also has it being a snowstorm with cold being drawn in from the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 24 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: CMC also has it being a snowstorm with cold being drawn in from the northeast. I know lol that's why I called it a 240 hr GGEM snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 4 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I know lol that's why I called it a 240 hr GGEM snowstorm 174 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2017 Author Share Posted January 18, 2017 7 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 174 hours When has other guidance ever caved to the GGEM? Can't think of one time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2017 Author Share Posted January 18, 2017 any GGEM fans left out there? Lol.... this models is a joke...major run to run swings is its MO btw GFS and euro are still a soaking rainstorm, euros not quite as epic with 1-2" of rain this time, 2-3 out on eastern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 We will need to wait until after the 27th . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 On 1/12/2017 at 3:40 PM, nesussxwx said: Most? Even NYC didn't attain the mark of 6 or more. Literally it was specifically only LI, and that isn't most. Don't ever use Central Park totals when quoting amounts for NYC snowfall totals. The Conservancy always under measures as did the zookeeper before them. it's what they do, they either don't give a sh!t which I think is the most likely, or they're just plain incompetent. Their measurements during the last 2 storms have been in line with everyone else at 4pm and then at 7pm and midnight they seem to not measure at all or just throw in a low figure just because no one is there then to measure or whoever is could care less.. Jan 7 storm, EWR 5.8, LGA 7.0, JFK 8.2 and KNYC 5.1. All 4 were half an inch or so apart at 4pm and at midnight not so much. There was a definitive increase west to east from that storm so take EWR at 5.8 and LGA at 7.0 and KNYC was most likely 6.5 or so. I've sent e-mails in the past and they have corrected at times later on. For now they are ignoring this one even though the mistake is obvious, again. They also F'd up the Jan 14 total at KNYC in the exact same pattern as they F'd up the Jan 7 storm but at this point they've worn me down through the years and I'm starting to not care. If anyone does write NOAA at [email protected] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2017 Author Share Posted January 18, 2017 Another interior ggem weenie run, however did decrease totals with more rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 23 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Another interior ggem weenie run, however did decrease totals with more rain GFS is starting to show something similar as well. Not quite as robust as the GGEM but there is something there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 the ggem shows snow because it develops a lead wave which pulls marginal cold down before the main storm. however it's alone with this idea and the 12z run shifted toward the other models trend gif: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 12z euro has a day 10 Miller a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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