mranger48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 This is painful. Weekend system Euro snowfall output, courtesy of Allan Huffman on twitter. jl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 looks like a long island special, as it has been past few years.. but the south cashes in which they have been missing out a few times past few years so good for them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 looks like a long island special, as it has been past few years.. but the south cashes in which they have been missing out a few times past few years so good for them!Part of me wants to be happy for them...and I am. However, I can't resist to ask what it would take to get a better phase? Higher PNA ridge, deeper trough, and is the piece north of the lakes squashing the southern steam here? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Omega pattern ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 6z NAM at it's end and the GFS shift the second wave further west. Maybe it's a trend maybe it's just a blip we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The 12z NAM is a good hit for wave two from EWR East. 2-4" for the city and 4-8" for LI. Less than an inch for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 You guys will need a thread for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 That shortwave looks sharper on the gfs so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The 12z GFS should come West. Higher heights along the coast and trough going negative tilt faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS is still a whiff, but it took a decent shift NW as expected. The first system kicks the baroclinic zone East and their isn't enough spacing between the waves to fully recover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: GFS is still a whiff, but it took a decent shift NW as expected. The first system kicks the baroclinic zone East and their isn't enough spacing between the waves to fully recover. Ggem came NW too, our steering piece of energy dropping out of Canada is slower/weaker, allowing the wave to get out ahead and the trough to go neutral, 6-12 hours faster on the wave, or slower on that energy piece in Canada and we're in business... this is still 72+ hours out we have seen shifts crazier than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Ggem came NW too, our steering piece of energy dropping out of Canada is slower/weaker, allowing the wave to get out ahead and the trough to go neutral, 6-12 hours faster on the wave, or slower on that energy piece in Canada and we're in business... this is still 72+ hours out we have seen shifts crazier than this I made the thread for today into both waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Weenie out to anything between days 5-9 in here (even though days 7-9 are really pushing it). Anything after day 9 please put in banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Anything to look forward to in the next week or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, weatherfreeeeak said: Anything to look forward to in the next week or so? Probably Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 Para GFS weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 GFS is a major ice storm for middle of country next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 GFS snow totals for this Tuesday/wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Fantasy land but the CMC has a nice storm for next Sunday something to monitor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 Just now, BlizzardNYC said: Fantasy land but the CMC has a nice storm for next Sunday something to monitor There will be a storm this time frame, all models have it, whether we rain or snow is the question, GFS rain job with interior front end snow, GFS city and Long Island crush job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: There will be a storm this time frame, all models have it, whether we rain or snow is the question, GFS rain job with interior front end snow, GFS city and Long Island crush job I love seeing the 1040+ HPs over Canada consistently. If we can get the storm under us then something big could pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: I love seeing the 1040+ HPs over Canada consistently. If we can get the storm under us then something big could pop. You see 500mb? Digging down into the gulf, then rides straight north into a cutter with a high to the north and west... not gonna haplenhappen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 GFS and ggem have this storm, 2 separate solution, both have snow tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: You see 500mb? Digging down into the gulf, then rides straight north into a cutter with a high to the north and west... not gonna haplenhappen Yeah if the energy digs too much like the GFS then there's not much of a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 45 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: GFS and ggem have this storm, 2 separate solution, both have snow tho Lock it in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 Just now, Morris said: Lock it in! Done!..... I'll be more focused on Tuesday/Wed, us mountain folk have a shot at some front end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Done!..... I'll be more focused on Tuesday/Wed, us mountain folk have a shot at some front end The GFS has the 84 corridor 4-6" for the Tuesday event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 What does the latest UKMET and euro say for these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, weatherfreeeeak said: What does the latest UKMET and euro say for these? The Euro is amplified and cuts. Not sure about the UKMET. I wouldn't look into this storm until Wednesday or Thursday. God knows what it'll look like then (if it's even still there). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 8, 2017 Author Share Posted January 8, 2017 48 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: The Euro is amplified and cuts. Not sure about the UKMET. I wouldn't look into this storm until Wednesday or Thursday. God knows what it'll look like then (if it's even still there). I think your confusing systems...Euro cuts with 1st storm ( Tuesday/wed) compared to GFS which was showing 84 corridor at 4-6", however euro is an overrunning paste job for just north of NYC for next weekend, which is the storm I wouldn't look into too much till wed/thurs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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