Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 cmc snow little less moisture then the others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 cmc snow little less moisture then the othersThe SE boys are gonna love this. LOLSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 14 minutes ago, st116 said: Guys, I have seen some recent consistent inconsistencies as we draw closer. Any clues about why the models in general are struggling? I told a friend this storm may be the Donald Trump of the election. Most of the consensus was Hillary, but as it drew closer, Donald pulled it out. The Russians Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Any of you folks in the Crossville-Sunbright area getting snow? Or is it virga? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 ukie 12z run looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 58 minutes ago, Boknows34 said: Yea...What's up with that ugly tongue going into Chattanooga??? Energy transfer to the coastal low. It has ruined many snows for Chattanooga before. Could easily ruin this one as well. I would hate to be MRX right now. The models are all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BNAwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I've had a few light flurries here east of Nashville but most of the precip up to this point hasn't reached the ground. Hopefully we'll be fully saturated when the next band rolls through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 12 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: ukie 12z run looks great. Yeah that first map looks great for all of us from West Tennessee to East Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Pictures coming in from Oneida on twitter showing light snow on the ground Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 It looks like the GEFS may have shifted NW as well with the snowfall totals. Maybe by 25-30 miles. Not much, but that would make a big difference for a lot of folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Local MET on WCYB just said 1-2 inches for TRI tonight with additional 2-4 Fri night into Saturday. Trend is up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 QUESTION: Moderate snowfall has been detected by radar over my area for well over an hour yet there is no real precipitation. I wonder what the cause of the false radar echoes is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
st116 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, BlunderStorm said: QUESTION: Moderate snowfall has been detected by radar over my area for well over an hour yet there is no real precipitation. I wonder what the cause of the false radar echoes is. Just not hitting the ground more than likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oldballcoach Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I see my hometown in that photo. Good ole castlewood... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said: QUESTION: Moderate snowfall has been detected by radar over my area for well over an hour yet there is no real precipitation. I wonder what the cause of the false radar echoes is. Virga, once the air saturates precip will reach the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said: QUESTION: Moderate snowfall has been detected by radar over my area for well over an hour yet there is no real precipitation. I wonder what the cause of the false radar echoes is. Dry air. The column is not saturated enough to allow the snow to reach the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 12z Ukie accumulation. Converting to inches and figuring 15:1 ratios that looks dang good for east TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Ah Reb and I saw it at the same time. Too bad it's not saturated too. This is a waste of good precip. Looks a lot like our 1-3in clippers of the last couple years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Thanks for the quick explanation guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 9 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said: Thanks for the quick explanation guys. Your welcome. This is the best forum for weather out there! I learn a lot everytime there is a threat for a snowstorm. We actually see this process of virga quite a bit during wintertime and sometimes other season events, although it is painful to watch a nice fetch of moisture glide on by without effects, it is a normal process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Friday night we have a just-in-time 850 mb low forecast. For Chattanooga, that means too late, lol! Could really be just in time farther east... From the top down, the 500 mb and vorticity chart shows more energy swinging through the Deep South which does help the 850 low develop over upstate SC. Yes some 850 mb frontal forcing develops. Looks like the 850 developments are associated with the transfer to the coast, a challenge for southeast Tenn. TRI is farthest east with the most time cushion to work with while the 850 situation organizes. However Knoxvegas is closer to that 850 low. North Mississippi through North Alabama will be watching an earlier wave on Friday, very tough forecast there at almost the mesoscale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 20 minutes ago, Jed33 said: Ah Reb and I saw it at the same time. Too bad it's not saturated too. This is a waste of good precip. Looks a lot like our 1-3in clippers of the last couple years. Yeh I don't see us getting anything from the first wave at least in the Knoxville area hope I am wrong, but it seems very dry. Maybe we can cash in on the second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I bounce around and read many different forums/sites, and I have got myself confused. Can someone clarify the "waves" and timing? My thinking is that wave #1 is now. Wave #2 is tonight? And wave #3 is tomorrow night? Is that correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 How does the Euro look guys? It's out to 48 on Tropical Tidbits, but it's almost hard to tell anything from the limited info you can discern from it. At 48 hrs the low looks like it could be closer to the SC coast than it was before. Possibly meaning a slight northward jog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Jed33 said: How does the Euro look guys? It's out to 48 on Tropical Tidbits, but it's almost hard to tell anything from the limited info you can discern from it. At 48 hrs the low looks like it could be closer to the SC coast than it was before. Possibly meaning a slight northward jog? to quote the southeast forum its 50-150 miles nw 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Mrwolf1972 said: to quote the southeast forum its 50-150 miles nw 0z run If it is that could have some big implications here from this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Euro not gonna cut it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 12z Euro has a very NAM look without the big precip shield west. The 12z UKMET, GFS, NAM, Euro have a similar look and track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 so we have a better track just need moisture sound about right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 euro looks anerexic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.