Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 were getting a better track just need more moisture hope the 12 gfs comes in line with more moisture but its looking better will be more with the higher ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 17 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: looks like main storm might be trending north looking at this map 12 nam but less moisture That looks like a much better hit for The whole state though, And there is still the line to the south for our friends down In birmingham across to Ga and SC/NC. I like that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Not so much west of 6z, but the wave as I mentioned earlier is digging a bit more. It is changing the axis of the energy digging through, less positive tilt is making the precip shield expand northward. Let's see if we get support or that are we getting NAM'd. The NAM has burned me more than once, so I am always wary. RGEM up next on short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 7 minutes ago, bamajen said: Knoxville TV graphics show up to 6 inches, but the models are confusing.. We are in Wears Valley, at the foot of Cove Mountain.. Would that apply in this area as well?. Which station is saying up to 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 nam has a nor'easter going on after leaving our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 A closer look: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: Not so much west of 6z, but the wave as I mentioned earlier is digging a bit more. It is changing the axis of the energy digging through, less positive tilt is making the precip shield expand northward. Let's see if we get support or that are we getting NAM'd. The NAM has burned me more than once, so I am always wary. RGEM up next on short range. what time is the rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 people in the south east forum not liking the new nam run pushes the heavy snow out of north Carolina and they get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: nam has a nor'easter going on after leaving our area. Indeed, it is close. Hammers coastal Jersey. Hits LI and Boston. (Well, that will be a surprise for them if it verifies.) I need to see some support from the other models in the 12z suite as the NAM can amp things a bit. But a fun run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 A closer look:That looks more like a classic Miller a track. Some of the energy aloft moves over Tennessee and supports the snow breaking out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 That looks more like a classic Miller a track. Some of the energy aloft moves over Tennessee and supports the snow breaking out. Honestly this is something I believe could happen. The southern track (ATL getting 3-6inches) is a once in 50 or so year storm. We have seen so many storms shift last minutes to give East Tennessee at least something and a few big ones. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Mrwolf1972 said: people in the south east forum not liking the new nam run pushes the heavy snow out of north Carolina and they get rain. Still a pretty good run for many of them. The thing is, the storm is now less positively tilted on this run. Again, there are signs it is digging slightly more. So, it doesn't go OTS at the same flat angle. The rain on the coast hints at that. Now, I hate it for folks that have expected decent snow and might now miss out...good sub-forum. Still...the NAM could be too amped which it is sometimes guilty of. If so, nothing has changed and the coastal folks are still in the game. Let's see how the rest of the 12z suite rolls. RGEM should be soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, 1234snow said: That looks more like a classic Miller a track. Some of the energy aloft moves over Tennessee and supports the snow breaking out. Indeed it is...now, time to see if it has support. Interesting tweak for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol Man Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Interestingly, it looks like MRX has pulled their overnight discussion from the website....or am I just missing something?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Latest SREF mean for TYS and TRI has jumped up to nearly 4 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Interestingly, it looks like MRX has pulled their overnight discussion from the website....or am I just missing something??I still see it. forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=MRX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=3&glossary=0Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Stovepipe said: Latest SREF mean for TYS and TRI has jumped up to nearly 4 inches! I can say I have missed the SREF updates from you. I really need a LESS busy day to take all this in, hoping to slow down before lunch and catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Latest SREF mean for TYS and TRI has jumped up to nearly 4 inches!What's the SREF for KCHA ? I can't pull it up at work. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 Still in my editorial meeting. Not been able to even look out. Hope the NAM is onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 RGEM is running out to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Tucker1027 said: What's the SREF for KCHA ? I can't pull it up at work. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Currently sitting at a little over an inch. One member is nearly a foot though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Latest SREF mean for TYS and TRI has jumped up to nearly 4 inches!Not only that but a lot more bigger #s showing up as well. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 What's the SREF for KCHA ? I can't pull it up at work. Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkI'll get it for ya. Hold onSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 WTVC in Chattanooga updated map. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 What's the SREF for KCHA ? I can't pull it up at work. Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkLess than 1" mean at 03z then about 1 3/4" mean at 09z. So it jumped about an 1"Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bamajen Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 WBIR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayCee Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 18 minutes ago, Stovepipe said: Latest SREF mean for TYS and TRI has jumped up to nearly 4 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Less than 1" mean at 03z then about 1 3/4" mean at 09z. So it jumped about an 1"Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkAwesome! Thank you. I'll take the 1.75"Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 A note about the SREF, I don't think they S hould be used verbatim as much as simply trying to find trends within it.. been and seen a lot of folks burned using them. That said, keep em coming....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Here is the Nam 3km model with Kuchera snowfall totals at hour 50, with snow showers still lurking. While probably too good to be true, it's tantalizing to think about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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