John1122 Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 Pretty major shift on the GFS for our eastern people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach B Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, John1122 said: Pretty major shift on the GFS for our eastern people. Big jump for northern Miss and AL as well. Its keying on the secondary wave coming in thru OK and AR. We've seen it on some of the other models, but the GFS really beefed up that wave this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Wisher Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, Coach B said: Big jump for northern Miss and AL as well. Its keying on the secondary wave coming in thru OK and AR. We've seen it on some of the other models, but the GFS really beefed up that wave this run. Could someone post the maps that show MS, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 12 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: Yep it's moving north west with the snow just need a little more move next run same direction. Amen to that, Bring it back to the north some! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snow Wisher said: Could someone post the maps that show MS, please? Sure, here you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayCee Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 7 minutes ago, Coach B said: Big jump for northern Miss and AL as well. Its keying on the secondary wave coming in thru OK and AR. We've seen it on some of the other models, but the GFS really beefed up that wave this run. Wow...quite the gradient from very little snow in western Knox Co. to 3-4 inches in Jefferson and Sevier County and points east. Just another slight northwest jog and much more of the valley will be in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 That's amazing. One more shift like that and it's game on. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Wisher Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, tnweathernut said: Sure, here you go. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 18z GFS..It does not look like the weak slp came north as much as much as the precip shield expanded northwest. The flow is buckled just a bit more. If anything it is a tick stronger w the third and trailing piece of energy that streaks (I know...) across the mid-south and catches the energy in the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Higher resolution snowfall maps GFS from the 18Z and 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 16 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: That's amazing. One more shift like that and it's game on. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk That's what I was thinking too, Everybody is still in play at this point and that is promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayCee Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 That was quite a shift to the north and west comparing those two GFS maps. Northwest GA went from zero to 2-3 inches. Where is that southeast ridge when you need it? Push it a little further northwest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Here is a difference I could find. Looks like the trailing piece of energy is able to get slightly closer (not there by any means...just compared to 12z) to neutral tilt and is a bit faster and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 21 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: 18z GFS..It does not look like the weak slp came north as much as much as the precip shield expanded northwest. The flow is buckled just a bit more. If anything it is a tick stronger w the third and trailing piece of energy that streaks (I know...) across the mid-south and catches the energy in the GOM. It's came around 100 miles N/W through today's runs from as close as I can tell. Slowed a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, John1122 said: It's came around 100 miles N/W through today's runs from as close as I can tell. Slowed a bit too. That is good news. See my post just above this. We must have posted at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 anyone got a GFS 15-1 snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Looks like gefs is agreeable with GFS snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 The ENS were north of the GFS OP at 12z. Not seen 18z but they may be as well based on that mean map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Never mind I found them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 12 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: Anyone have the gefs ensembles snow maps GEFS mean has essentially plateau east at a minimum of 2" or more further east. Thats 10:1, and it really would be 12-15:1. Would say if going by GEFS mean with higher ratio it would be more like 1-3" Nashville to Plateau, and 2-4" Plateau east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Anyone remember a storm turning more NW as it happens? I recall this happening several times but don't have the dates handy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 We got at least 48 hrs for more of a NW turn to bring most of us I'm better hope it works out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, Reb said: Anyone remember a storm turning more NW as it happens? I recall this happening several times but don't have the dates handy The storm 2 years ago when Chatty got 10" is a good example. Was originally going to be a glancing blow with little accumulation then before the night was over Winter Storm Warnings were issued for the entire MRX CWA, with NWS calling for up to a foot in the valley in places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Anyone remember a storm turning more NW as it happens? I recall this happening several times but don't have the dates handy 2 years ago, 1st of February Knoxville was set up for a 8-12" snow and inside 48 hours we went to a sleet/ice storm because of NW trend of at least 100 miles. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 French hi-res model. Probably not going to happen, but would definitely be nice if it did. That's generally .35-.8 inches of precip over Miss, Bama and into East Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, Reb said: Anyone remember a storm turning more NW as it happens? I recall this happening several times but don't have the dates handy Reference the event I posted about in banter. The GFS came north/west by 200 miles in the last 36 hours of model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, John1122 said: French hi-res model. Probably not going to happen, but would definitely be nice if it did. That's generally .35-.8 inches of precip over East Tennessee. If that pans out I'm putting a French beret on my snowman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS ratios if we can just get some moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 5, 2017 Author Share Posted January 5, 2017 Mousing over that is 16:1 for Nash. 15:1 for Knox. 17:1 for Tri. 14:1 for Chatt. 18:1 for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 If the American 0z suite jogs NW again, whose staying up for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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