snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 11 minutes ago, Paragon said: lol the kiddies were cliff jumping late last night. It was hard to keep up. I think the mods cleaned things up this morning. Oh lol I could imagine. The last 7-8 yrs have spoiled them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 This really is the storm we've all been waiting for. Happy for everyone in this subforum after being skunked several times over the last few years. Even February 2010 was a bust here as I dialed with mixing for awhile. Last biggie here was February 2014 around 22". Hoping to rival that one tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Hey guys! It's been a long time coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Enjoy the ride fella's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Blizzard warning for Sullivan county woohoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 12 minutes ago, itsdnice said: Blizzard warning for Sullivan county woohoo They run all the way to Scranton now, I'll be surprised it Upton doesn't follow suit for up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 be safe all----- we all dream about big storms like this one but its no joke take precautions ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, LaGrangewx said: This really is the storm we've all been waiting for. Happy for everyone in this subforum after being skunked several times over the last few years. Even February 2010 was a bust here as I dialed with mixing for awhile. Last biggie here was February 2014 around 22". Hoping to rival that one tomorrow. 59 minutes ago, Radders said: Hey guys! It's been a long time coming So some of us wait up for the Euro all week and do all the hard work willing this storm back west, and you guys pop in the night before to reap the fruits of our labor? The nerve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 11 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: So some of us wait up for the Euro all week and do all the hard work willing this storm back west, and you guys pop in the night before to reap the fruits of our labor? The nerve! Oh I have been quietly wasting hours and hours of my time watching every model output! Speaking of which, looks like the 18Z NAM is causing some bridge jumpers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 hahahaha sorry about that but I'm excited about storm and 18z nam looked great again especially 4km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Radders said: Oh I have been quietly wasting hours and hours of my time watching every model output! Speaking of which, looks like the 18Z NAM is causing some bridge jumpers Hah, fair enough, I should have known! And yeah, that was pretty ugly run for a lot of people. Even up here that would be somewhat suboptimal with the 700mb low over Binghamton. 20" from the initial thump seems like a good bet - whether the CCB banding pushes us into legendary territory remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The Para NAM High Res is still pretty awesome for our whole area. I think we are in a prime spot at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Hah, fair enough, I should have known! And yeah, that was pretty ugly run for a lot of people. Even up here that would be somewhat suboptimal with the 700mb low over Binghamton. 20" from the initial thump seems like a good bet - whether the CCB banding pushes us into legendary territory remains to be seen. I'd never post this in the other threads but a dark side of me is hoping it busts for down here just to see what happens in the forum. Don't mind you getting your 30" though, actually it would be funny to see the bipolarity of the forum if that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Paragon said: I'd never post this in the other threads but a dark side of me is hoping it busts for down here just to see what happens in the forum. Don't mind you getting your 30" though, actually it would be funny to see the bipolarity of the forum if that happened. Those poor guys haven't broken their all-time snowfall record in over a year now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Juliancolton said: Those poor guys haven't broken their all-time snowfall record in over a year now. It's pretty awful when you realize it's not like there haven't been major snowstorms this year (despite the mildness), they forget about the January and February storms. It would be easier to understand if there had been less than 10" of snow for the last 5 years lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Quote ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY NIGHT... The National Weather Service in Albany has upgraded to a Blizzard Warning, which is in effect from midnight tonight to midnight EDT Tuesday night. * LOCATIONS...central and southeastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, central and southern Taconics, Berkshires and northwestern Connecticut. * HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snowfall, white-out conditions and blowing and drifting of snow. * Snow Accumulations...18 to 24 inches. * Snowfall rates...2 to 4 inches per hour during the day Tuesday. * TIMING...Snowfall will spread the area from southwest to northeast during the early morning hours through sunrise. Snow will come down heavy during the day Tuesday before diminishing Tuesday night. Lighter snowfall may linger late Tuesday night into Wednesday especially across the higher terrain. * IMPACTS...Extremely dangerous travel conditions due to snow covered roads, white-out conditions along with blowing and drifting snow. * Winds...Northeast 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I see my second home in Albrightsville has a blizzard warning for 18-24 too, woohoo! they've had bare ground there before this recent bout of cold weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 For posterity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I I never thought I would ever be under a blizzard warning living in Poughkeepsie. Guys, I don't want this to end. Trying to savor every moment of this buildup. Reminds me of pre huge snowstorms growing up in Central Massachusetts. We are under a blizzard warning.....wow. Pinch me. Three weeks ago we were under severe thunderstorm warnings. Speaking of thunderstorms, how much thunder snow can we expect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Travel ban in Orange County from 5am-11pm Tuesday in case it hasn't been mentioned yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Id like the mix line trend to stop right there plz kthx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 More weenie fodder. NCAR ensemble members with peak 1.5"/hour liquid precip rates: And RGEM QPF which is just obscene: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: Hah, fair enough, I should have known! And yeah, that was pretty ugly run for a lot of people. Even up here that would be somewhat suboptimal with the 700mb low over Binghamton. 20" from the initial thump seems like a good bet - whether the CCB banding pushes us into legendary territory remains to be seen. That's pretty much the kind of numbers I've been thinking too. I like the idea of deformation zones and gravity waves, or what some on here are calling death bands, and thunder as things really get going. If we can get into 6+"/hr rates legendary isn't out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I've waited forever for a monster like this in the Poconos to come to fruition, and luck would have it, I'm gone out of the area until next week lol. First time Binghamton Nws issued a blizzard warning since 2001 for anyone in the cwa, and the first time since 1993 "I BELIEVE" for the Poconos. Enjoy it folks, please upload photos. We've waited for a true interior monster like this forever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The first year I move to Sussex I get a blizzard warning.. lol. Incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 So, who's pulling an all nighter with me? Anyone down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Binghamton Nws using cips analogs of V-day storm of 07 as the number one analog for the cwa, and also the superstorm of 93 as second. What a true beast this storm will be. Saying higher elevated locations from Poconos through the Catskills could approach 30" amounts. Absolutely incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, NepaJames8602 said: Binghamton Nws using cips analogs of V-day storm of 07 a's the number one analog for the cwa, and also the superstorm of 93 as second. What a true beast this storm will be. Saying locations from Poconos through the Catskills could approach 30" amounts. Absolutely incredible. Looking really good for you James! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 "So, who's pulling an all nighter with me? Anyone down? " Nope rather be fresh(ish) so I can spend the day outside during the best periods of the storm. The more often I shovel the better I can build the banks. Bet I'll have them over 5 feet and pretty likely over 6 if I keep shaving the edge. I love big snowbanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, nesussxwx said: Looking really good for you James! Unfortunately I won't be home until next week lol. I can't believe I'm missing this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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