Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 24 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: These types of storms are my favorite, they just pop up "out of no where" a few days before. Yup... with the ones that you track from day 9, you're already sick of the storm by the time it starts snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: Yup... with the ones that you track from day 9, you're already sick of the storm by the time it starts snowing. Violently agree. The UKIE is rather juicy, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Violently agree. The UKIE is rather juicy, wow. It sure is. I dig that track and the UK is generally pretty good at this range. We tick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 39 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: It sure is. I dig that track and the UK is generally pretty good at this range. We tick. And to think.... Could this just be the appetizer for the main course late next week?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 What's this about next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Dont look now but Nam just pulled a 360 and jackpot for interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Dont look now but Nam just pulled a 360 and jackpot for interior Too late, I looked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Too late, I looked lol srefs also put SWF at 15" mean... big jump NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: lol srefs also put SWF at 15" mean... big jump NW nam 4km will be 1 1/2 - 2ft with ratios i bet i just saw radar loop haven't seen qpf. Looks like the best run yet. This has the best potential since february 2014 for these neck of the woods. Im Eexcited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 18 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Dont look now but Nam just pulled a 360 and jackpot for interior Yeah, wow... the low is starting to really tuck in close to the coast on some of these runs. I'm officially excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4km is 18-24 in putnam and souther duchess and westchester. 12-18 west of the river. may be looking at a more widespread 12-18 event now than 6-12 based on todays runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Rare we're often seeing positive trends run after run, nice change for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 someone is going to see 4+" an hour rates tomorrow. That is guaranteed to happen if 2ft of snow falls in 8-10 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Yeah, wow... the low is starting to really tuck in close to the coast on some of these runs. I'm officially excited. This has got to be a dream! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 That's a thing of beauty with the ML lows passing just underneath. Strong banding signature over the HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3km is 16-24 region wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 hrrr and nam are pretty much locked.. if the 18z rgem comes in a little northwest which i would expect. Id drop the hammer on 1-2ft forecast for most of the tristate area. The wrf nmm, good short range model is in total agreement. ~25" in our favored orange county areas. Widespread 16-20 but Someone in harriman or monroe will jack like usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Looks like the RGEM shifted NW again. Looks pretty amped up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, snywx said: Looks like the RGEM shifted NW again. Looks pretty amped up Been hoping it would do that, as have the rest of you bastards, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 20 minutes ago, LaGrangewx said: hrrr and nam are pretty much locked.. if the 18z rgem comes in a little northwest which i would expect. Id drop the hammer on 1-2ft forecast for most of the tristate area. The wrf nmm, good short range model is in total agreement. ~25" in our favored orange county areas. Widespread 16-20 but Someone in harriman or monroe will jack like usual. I will accumulate bigly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 It's amazing the numbers being thrown out there yet this storm is predicted to only last 10 hrs or so. Pretty much 1-2"/hr throughout the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS ticked wetter and closer again. The 1" isohyet runs from about Middletown to Millbrook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Rgem seems to be the lowest and still puts out a 12+ over everyone. Gfs shifted again widespread 14-18 excellent model consensus now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Be honest.. who's either waking up early or not sleeping at all lol. The beauty with my situation is I get to experience this event then pack and head to the tropics 36 hrs later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, snywx said: Be honest.. who's either waking up early or not sleeping at all lol. The beauty with my situation is I get to experience this event then pack and head to the tropics 36 hrs later Ill probably sleep from 10-4... wake up right as she's cranking, throw some wood in the stove and watch the salt truck parade on channel 2 edit: fairly certain they just replay the same salt truck driver interviews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'm liking this look What's really nice is that this isn't a typical northwest suburbs jack type storm of recent years where we get heavy wet snow with lots of mixing to the south. This is more due to the frontogenesis banding. We will get tremendous ratios with this hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 That band that is being indicated by the NAM to run from SEPA into the HV is very key.. whoever is in the band imo sees close to 20" edit: langrange's map perfectly illustrates the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Some talk of coastal areas of warm air stronger and more rain and mix in central NJ. This bodes well for us interior folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, snywx said: Be honest.. who's either waking up early or not sleeping at all lol. The beauty with my situation is I get to experience this event then pack and head to the tropics 36 hrs later I will be pulling an over nighter for sure! zero sleep! Gonna be epic snowfall rates for this area between 4-9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Down to 45F currently.. temp dropping nicely. high of 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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