White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Lol, nice try Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: Lol, nice try Damn....didn't take the bait lol... jk... we're gonna pound snow up here dude, ratios are 17:1 or better on the kuchera maps for Nam/euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, White Gorilla said: What is your prediction Julian for our area near Poughkeepsie? I'd start with 5-7" with the potential for that range to double if we can get under the NW band for a while. There's huge potential for a relatively narrow stripe of multiple-inch/hour rates, and good upper air support for deep layer ascent, but it is still a fast mover. It wouldn't take much to get our biggest storm since November 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Damn....didn't take the bait lol... jk... we're gonna pound snow up here dude, ratios are 17:1 or better on the kuchera maps for Nam/euro Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just now, Juliancolton said: I'd start with 5-7" with the potential for that range to double if we can get under the NW band for a while. There's huge potential for a relatively narrow stripe of multiple-inch/hour rates, and good upper air support for deep layer ascent, but it is still a fast mover. It wouldn't take much to get our biggest storm since November 2014. Hoping for a double digits windfall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 27 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Hoping for a double digits windfall! One outlier SREF member on the latest run has 35 inches for Poughkeepsie. That would make up for a lot of snow holes in the last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Someone in our snow belt ( Monroe, Woodbury, Harriman) is gonna jackpot from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Currently 32F. Had some freezing rain earlier. Winter Storm watches are up here in NWNJ... 6-8" or more possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 37 minutes ago, snywx said: Someone in our snow belt ( Monroe, Woodbury, Harriman) is gonna jackpot from this. RGEM is too south imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 I don't know about you folks but I'd gladly take the fringe if it means Boston gets the goods. They really deserve it these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 49 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: RGEM is too south imo Too amped and too south. Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: One outlier SREF member on the latest run has 35 inches for Poughkeepsie. That would make up for a lot of snow holes in the last year. Lol, not gonna happen but nice to dream! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: WTF? I like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: WTF? Count me in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 18 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: WTF? Lmao, who created that map? I so wish. Stop teasing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 24 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: WTF? Feenster? Looks like the MAM got an upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Swf plumes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Mt Holly quite bullish for my area.. has 10" for most likely snowfall extending all the way back into the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Don't think Mt Holly is buying the Coastal NJ jackpot, especially when looking at their snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 hour ago, White Gorilla said: Lmao, who created that map? I so wish. Stop teasing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Will gladly, gladly take this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Will gladly, gladly take this. As would I but I wish we had a little more wiggle room. Hoping for NW ticks and tocks over the next 24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 4 hours ago, nesussxwx said: Too amped and too south. Toss it. bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS ticked east again. Really pedestrian up here. Like we always discuss, if the coast gets a good snowstorm, then we're on the fringe. With how dynamic and compact nor'easters are these days, you need the low tucked into the NY Bight for the Hudson Valley to cash in. Could be a 3-5" deal for much of Ulster and Dutchess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: GFS ticked east again. Really pedestrian up here. Like we always discuss, if the coast gets a good snowstorm, then we're on the fringe. With how dynamic and compact nor'easters are these days, you need the low tucked into the NY Bight for the Hudson Valley to cash in. Could be a 3-5" deal for much of Ulster and Dutchess. Grrrrr....... Why am I not surprised. Can we please get a greater than 6 inch snowfall in one go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 But, look at the high res RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Grrrrr....... Why am I not surprised. Can we please get a greater than 6 inch snowfall in one go? Could still happen but if a super intense band sets up to our south, the air will be doing an awful lot of sinking overhead, and we really can't afford crappy rates in a 6-8 hour event. The NAM still looks very nice, but it's always been on the far NW edge of the model envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Is the high res RGEM based on the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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