snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I've seen some pretty significant snowfalls after the flip... usually happens quickly and comes down hard Who here remembers April 97 ? That was an awesome storm! Tons of rain then a flip to snow with higher elevations getting 18"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Impressive deform band for those in extreme N PA into the BGM area. 0z GFS for us is a few inches on the front end followed by a dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 1 minute ago, snywx said: Impressive deform band for those in extreme N PA into the BGM area. 0z GFS for us is a few inches on the front end followed by a dry slot So close though, 3-5" on the GFS for my neck, not convince we don't see colder trend with 850s that close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: So close though, 3-5" on the GFS for my neck, not convince we don't see colder trend with 850s that close Oh no question about it.. Im just glad to see the precip there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 10 minutes ago, snywx said: Oh no question about it.. Im just glad to see the precip there. Take a look at GGEM, it's the coldest model yet at 850, yet the least amount of surface snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 15 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I just went below average on the season. I have 18.0" and average at this point is 18.2". Thanks a lot January... And today the split is 18.0" and average at 18.8". For as good as December was for snow making on the tubing hill they will be closed again this weekend, meaning they have been open only one of the three possible weekends. This January blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 16 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I just went below average on the season. I have 18.0" and average at this point is 18.2". Thanks a lot January... Jeez, I have 17.8". What happened? I was in the Catskills on Monday. No real snow until about 3200 - 3500 feet, but lots of ice on the trails, except down low where there was nothing. Must be interesting now after the freezing rain the other day. I was on Hunter, but not near the ski area. The summit clearing was .... clear, but 1 - 2 feet of snow still in the woods at that elevation. Bring on February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 23 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Jeez, I have 17.8". What happened? I was in the Catskills on Monday. No real snow until about 3200 - 3500 feet, but lots of ice on the trails, except down low where there was nothing. Must be interesting now after the freezing rain the other day. I was on Hunter, but not near the ski area. The summit clearing was .... clear, but 1 - 2 feet of snow still in the woods at that elevation. Bring on February. Whats happened is .8 in January to date. BLAH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said: Jeez, I have 17.8". What happened? I was in the Catskills on Monday. No real snow until about 3200 - 3500 feet, but lots of ice on the trails, except down low where there was nothing. Must be interesting now after the freezing rain the other day. I was on Hunter, but not near the ski area. The summit clearing was .... clear, but 1 - 2 feet of snow still in the woods at that elevation. Bring on February. 23.3" here w/ 1" for the entire month of January! Been a terrible month up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 12z NAM Hr 84 Look at that moisture fetch off the Atlantic! Lots of dynamics in play and I believe those with some elevation should continue to watch this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 24 minutes ago, snywx said: 23.3" here w/ 1" for the entire month of January! Been a terrible month up here. I like it better when you guys are doing well. That usually means that the Cats are doing well too. Such a great start wasted. This next storm has potential above 2k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 23 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: I like it better when you guys are doing well. That usually means that the Cats are doing well too. Such a great start wasted. This next storm has potential above 2k. Catskills should get a nice dumping next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Initial Upton thinking.. Up to Monday 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Snippet from Upton.. A prolonged moderate rainfall of 1-3 inches remains likely as the storm maintains a tropical moisture connection to the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific. The rain could become heavy Mon afternoon/evening especially east of NYC, and maybe even throughout the region if the low tracks just a little farther west. With colder air from the Canadian high filtering down into the region, a period of wet snow is likely across the interior from late Sunday night into Monday before warmer air moves in aloft ahead of the low. Amounts should be light, but but as with several other events this season, could be substantially higher in the hills of Orange/Putnam/Rockland, and also farther north in most areas just to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 This upcoming storm is a swift kick in the nutz. No need to wash the car tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 Lots of dynamics in play up here. Anyone from Orange county northward should not be writing off the wintry threat yet. Catskills tho look locked in for a 2'+ 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 2 hours ago, snywx said: Lots of dynamics in play up here. Anyone from Orange county northward should not be writing off the wintry threat yet. Catskills tho look locked in for a 2'+ 18z NAM them there's the para nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2017 Share Posted January 20, 2017 10 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: them there's the para nam 18z GFS cooled off as well. Some surprises are in store for a few. I would love to be up in Cragsmoor for this one. close by and perched up 2000'+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 1 hour ago, snywx said: 18z GFS cooled off as well. Some surprises are in store for a few. I would love to be up in Cragsmoor for this one. close by and perched up 2000'+ CAD is really strong on the para nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: CAD is really strong on the para nam 18z GFS Hr 72, Hr 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 1 minute ago, snywx said: 18z GFS Hr 72, Hr 78 I'd really like to see that trend continue, still hopeful but not too optimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 0z NAM Hr 75.. Fierce! Verbatim that some intense sh*t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, snywx said: 0z NAM Hr 75.. Fierce! Verbatim that some intense sh*t Interesting to see what upton thinks by tomorrow AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 36 minutes ago, snywx said: 0z NAM Hr 75.. Fierce! Verbatim that some intense sh*t NAM-Para has a foot plus areawide! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 0z ggem is mighty insteresting for us mountain folk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 6 minutes ago, snywx said: 0z ggem is mighty insteresting for us mountain folk Good trends still. What's your thoughts on the wind potential for us inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 1 hour ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Good trends still. What's your thoughts on the wind potential for us inland? Well considering how moist it's been and the potential for heavy wet snow power outages are a real possibility. Overall the winds look decent but not to the level that will be seen along the immediate coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Hi res nams a doozy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Mornin weather fan, regarding the upcoming storm. mt holly nws is still honking a really good rain storm. They do mention some freezing rain is possible in the higher terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2017 Share Posted January 21, 2017 Both the 6z NAM & GFS look identical at heavy precip placement. Gonna be some intense rates if that verifies Hr 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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