Animal Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Sup, 9 weeks of winter left. Almost time to start talking grilling, bikinis and sun angle impact on snow. better luck next season fans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 28 minutes ago, Animal said: Sup, 9 weeks of winter left. Almost time to start talking grilling, bikinis and sun angle impact on snow. better luck next season fans. Cleaned my golf clubs today lol, going down to Myrtle first week of March for a week of golf, you can pretty much gurantee a HECS during that week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Nam gives me 2-3" of snow tonight with hangover as this thing pulls away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nam gives me 2-3" of snow tonight with hangover as this thing pulls away What? Lol.. rain/snow line is up in the adirindacks and NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 46 minutes ago, snywx said: What? Lol.. rain/snow line is up in the adirindacks and NNE Changeover* I don't believe it but Nam shows it edit: 1-2" on high Res no other guidance shows it, just an observation, maybe see some snow showers as this thing pulls away imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 1 hour ago, snywx said: What? Lol.. rain/snow line is up in the adirindacks and NNE Snowing like a mofo at Stratton which is in southern Vermont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 12 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Ggem provides the traditional kick in the balls for the interior, wouldn't shock if that verified It heard you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 Iced over on my street. Sheet of ice this morning. Road is a disaster. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 6 hours ago, Animal said: Iced over on my street. Sheet of ice this morning. Road is a disaster. Lol Kiddies had a 2 hour delay this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 13 hours ago, snywx said: It heard you.. Never understood how the RGEM could be such a good model and the GGEM be an absolute pile of donkey sh** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I think I'll start tracking the 384 hr GFS snowstorm tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 18 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Never understood how the RGEM could be such a good model and the GGEM be an absolute pile of donkey sh** EPS did trend colder overnight. Not a snow storm yet but I can't give up on this one especially for Orange County on north. Going with the thinking of even a broken clock is right twice a day maybe the GGEM leads the thinking on this one? After further review it looks like this storm could follow the perfect path, become a 950 mb monster and there's just not enough cold air anywhere to make this snow. Maybe 200 miles north and west of the city and even that's not a given. For a winter that started with some promise January is turning out to be a total dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I think we get some snow next week. 12z GFS looks great for monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Those from Orange county northward really need to watch this storm for the potential for heavy snow. 12z GFS... Hr 111, Hr 114, Hr 117 As you can see with these maps 850s are below 0 & surface temps are right around freezing. Not saying this is all snow per se but has def trended colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 That would be a nice surprise after most of us totally accepted defeat with January. Most of us have about 20" for the season. All we need is 20" more with the early week storm, then a solid but not unprecedented 40" month in February, and a couple advisory events in March, and 100" is in reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: That would be a nice surprise after most of us totally accepted defeat with January. Most of us have about 20" for the season. All we need is 20" more with the early week storm, then a solid but not unprecedented 40" month in February, and a couple advisory events in March, and 100" is in reach. Considering how bad Jan has been for the interior most of us are still above average for snowfall so far. December was def a good month. Hopefully this event coming up can salvage Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 33 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: That would be a nice surprise after most of us totally accepted defeat with January. Most of us have about 20" for the season. All we need is 20" more with the early week storm, then a solid but not unprecedented 40" month in February, and a couple advisory events in March, and 100" is in reach. I'll need even more here, only at 7.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 hours ago, snywx said: I think we get some snow next week. 12z GFS looks great for monday EPS did trend colder last night but GGEM was still on it's own with any snow. Now this really has my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: EPS did trend colder last night but CMC was still on it's own with any snow. Now this really has my attention. 12z Euro now shows accumulating snow for our region. Good trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, snywx said: 12z Euro now shows accumulating for our region. Good trends Actually I came this close to writing this one off this morning even after getting some encouragement from last nights EPS. The trends today are great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I still don't like this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I still don't like this setup If 0z holds serve or continues to trend colder then sign me up. Im cautiously optimistic with this one. An event like this is well over due for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 7 minutes ago, snywx said: If 0z holds serve or continues to trend colder then sign me up. Im cautiously optimistic with this one. An event like this is well over due for our region. I'm just not excited without a guarantee of cold air...first ingredient is always cold air, and that high is weak, and retreating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 21 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I'm just not excited without a guarantee of cold air...first ingredient is always cold air, and that high is weak, and retreating Yeah, and this is a big concern outside of NY State and the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Yeah, and this is a big concern outside of NY State and the higher elevations. starting to peak my interests EPS VERY snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 25 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: starting to peak my interests EPS VERY snowy lol.. Im telling you this has blue bomb written all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 7 minutes ago, snywx said: lol.. Im telling you this has blue bomb written all over it You being excited is getting me excited... don't let me down lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Take a look at the tail end of the nam.... nam drops 2-4" of snow before the main LP is even off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: You being excited is getting me excited... don't let me down lol Seeing the GFS, Euro, GGEM show improvements today is def a huge sign for me. Im usually always cautiously optimistic but I can see someone in our area receiving a good amount of snow. Whether its everyone 40+ miles NW of NYC or those with decent elevation remains to be seen. If we see tonights runs hold serve or trend better then im all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 How is this looking for Sussex Cty, guys? Thinking we may end up too far south. Would like a good wet blue bomb paste, haven't seen one of those in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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