Animal Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Nice storm on my block when viewing each model and map posted. thinking 9 to max 14 nice thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Hi res RGEM and Nam look good up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Widespread 6-8" up here with an occasional 10 spot over towards eastern orange county/ putnam/ northern westchester. That would be my guess right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Sounds as if the euro model is pumping the breaks...we toss it. hopefully we get some favorable models runs in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 6:22 AM, Animal said: Sounds as if the euro model is pumping the breaks...we toss it. hopefully we get some favorable models runs in the morning. Expand Euro shifted SE but still dropped 8+ throughout our area.. Pretty much inline with the current forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 3:46 AM, Juliancolton said: GFS ticked east again. Really pedestrian up here. Like we always discuss, if the coast gets a good snowstorm, then we're on the fringe. With how dynamic and compact nor'easters are these days, you need the low tucked into the NY Bight for the Hudson Valley to cash in. Could be a 3-5" deal for much of Ulster and Dutchess. Expand Ive always said this... If we start hearing about double digit amounts on the immediate coast let alone E LI 9 times out of 10 we are doomed. I want my SWFEs back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 The only people that are getting shafted here are peeps from Monticello, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 6:38 AM, WeatherFeen2000 said: The only people that are getting shafted here are peeps from Monticello, NY Expand Why? Other than a few NAM runs MSV was never in the running for a major snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 7:07 AM, snywx said: Why? Other than a few NAM runs MSV was never in the running for a major snowstorm. Expand Nobody here needs to worry, most guidance including the SE outliers are at minimum .5LE.... were getting a solid 6-10" snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Mornin, thought the 6z gfs looked solid in my area. need a few qpf bombs on model runs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6z 4k NAM.. One can only dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 12:47 PM, snywx said: 6z 4k NAM.. One can only dream Expand I want what that model is smoking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 1:33 PM, White Gorilla said: I want what that model is smoking Expand heheh Yeah that would pretty much make your decade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Albany is uncharacteristically gung-ho... they still expect strong deep-layer frontogenesis, aided by some QG/dPVA shenanigans, to yield 6-12". Quote Some classic mesoscale banding is not out of the question /which is documented in the CSTAR research/ with snowfall rates of 1 to 2" in the THU morning commute into the early pm within the warning area. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 The 12z NAM is significantly sharper with the lead s/w through this evening vs 6z, wow. Prepare to be NAM'd up here in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Would be something if the NAM leads the way again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 New NAM is further west I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 NAM definitely appears farther west to me also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Both the 4k & 3k are very impressive for the HV. Widespread 14-18" up here verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 2:48 PM, snywx said: Both the 4k & 3k are very impressive for the HV. Widespread 14-18" up here verbatim Expand Hard to believe that we will get those totals if this is only a 6 hour storm, I cannot wait to actually see what happens outside tonight ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Imagine if this storm was a crawler instead of a hauler! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Short term models are printing 8-12 factoring in ratios for Dutchess on South, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS exhibiting the same 500mb changes relative to 6z as the NAM. Sharper, deeper, more negatively tilted trough. Should be a nice run. One more shift like that and everybody here sees a very nice snowfall indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 3:34 PM, Juliancolton said: GFS exhibiting the same 500mb changes relative to 6z as the NAM. Sharper, deeper, more negatively tilted trough. Should be a nice run. One more shift like that and everybody here sees a very nice snowfall indeed. Expand Good stuff and loving the trend. Models are forming a strong consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Nice trends this morning. Amazing how in a few days things can change so dramatically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 These types of storms are my favorite, they just pop up "out of no where" a few days before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 4:45 PM, IrishRob17 said: These types of storms are my favorite, they just pop up "out of no where" a few days before. Expand Agree. just 5 days ago it was man overboard and winter is done. hopefully the storm over performs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 4:31 PM, snywx said: 12z GFS Expand Let's see another 25-50 mile shift north and west. Can't be greedy tho. Hope too hear thunder snow tomorrow. About time the snow hole gets some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On 2/8/2017 at 4:53 PM, hudsonvalley21 said: Let's see another 25-50 mile shift north and west. Can't be greedy tho. Hope too hear thunder snow tomorrow. About time the snow hole gets some. Expand Both the Hi res NAM & GFS give the HV the brunt. Good trends for us interior folk today. Another 25-50 mile jog NW is all good with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.