UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 So far, Nam and GFS say interior burbs jackpot Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 On 2/6/2017 at 3:58 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: So far, Nam and GFS say interior burbs jackpot Thursday Expand I think there's still time for something bigger, especially if we can expedite the northern stream involvement. I expect the GFS ensembles to look promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 On 2/6/2017 at 4:21 PM, Juliancolton said: I think there's still time for something bigger, especially if we can expedite the northern stream involvement. I expect the GFS ensembles to look promising. Expand And they do... Mostly favor an interior hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 We might get surprised late in the 4th quarter in this game Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 Nam is a monster.. 12-18 could this be our biggest storm in almost 2 years? possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 ...aaand the 18z GFS is less amplified with the ridge and slower with the northern s/w. Lousy run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 On 2/6/2017 at 9:52 PM, Juliancolton said: ...aaand the 18z GFS is less amplified with the ridge and slower with the northern s/w. Lousy run. Expand Like I posted in the main thread, that model has flip flopped on consecutive runs 4 straight times... 00znorth, 06zsoith, 12znorth, 18zsouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 18z German is eye candy for LHV/NNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 6, 2017 Share Posted February 6, 2017 18z NAM @ hr66.. Beast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/6/2017 at 11:12 PM, nesussxwx said: 18z German is eye candy for LHV/NNJ. Expand German porn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 12:01 AM, IrishRob17 said: German porn? Expand German porn is the wurst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 12:44 AM, Juliancolton said: German porn is the wurst. Expand you won the internet tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 12:44 AM, Juliancolton said: German porn is the wurst. Expand Nein. Inches. Of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Freezing Rain Advisory up for the area. Currently 32°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Please don't tell me that the mid Hudson Valley will be the screw zone again Thursday. The 6Z GFS shows that. Yeah, the NAM is kind, but it is suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 There's still time but last nights runs began to give me deja vu all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 1:33 PM, IrishRob17 said: There's still time but last nights runs began to give me deja vu all over again. Expand SREFS are a great run for the HV, 8-12 area wide and have been for several runs now. I know it's not quite their time frame yet but they've been consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 1:47 PM, CPcantmeasuresnow said: SREFS are a great run for the HV, 8-12 area wide and have been for several runs now. I know it's not quite their time frame yet but they've been consistent. Expand Yep, like I said it was just the feeling I had, didn't throw in the towel. That said, we've been burned for a number of years now and I'm a results guy, so shovel it or it didn't happen LOL. Hopefully its a fun couple days of tracking for us up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 1:50 PM, IrishRob17 said: Yep, like I said it was just the feeling I had, didn't throw in the towel. That said, we've been burned for a number of years now and I'm a results guy, so shovel it or it didn't happen LOL. Hopefully its a fun couple days of tracking for us up here. Expand Should be an interesting 12z suite. Euro shifted a good deal NW as well as the GFS. The NAM may have very well lead the way again. Time will tell I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 1:58 PM, snywx said: Should be an interesting 12z suite. Euro shifted a good deal NW as well as the GFS. The NAM may have very well lead the way again. Time will tell I guess. Expand There's nothing to guess, time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 2:11 PM, IrishRob17 said: There's nothing to guess, time will tell Expand Its our only hope lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 It is hard for me to imagine a more suppressed solution after a day in the 50s and 60s tomorrow. It is not like we have a bitter cold airmass plowing south with overwhelming confluence from super strong HP. How far south that frontal boundary sags will determine the eventual path of the gyre, but I am so hoping the NW NAM solution holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 2:17 PM, White Gorilla said: It is hard for me to imagine a more suppressed solution after a day in the 50s and 60s tomorrow. It is not like we have a bitter cold airmass plowing south with overwhelming confluence from super strong HP. How far south that frontal boundary sags will determine the eventual path of the gyre, but I am so hoping the NW NAM solution holds. Expand 12Z NAM holds serve, HV in 8-12 solid. https://i37.servimg.com/u/f37/19/13/02/84/screen86.jpg NAM PARA is even better than the NAM no maps yet, qpf is greater but snowfall map on para yet to come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 The whole system moved a bit SE on the 12z NAM vs. 6z, but QPF didn't seem to take a hit. ML fronto points to an epic band for many folks in this thread... another tick and it's subsidence city for me and White Gorilla. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 2:45 PM, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 12Z NAM holds serve, HV in 8-12 solid. https://i37.servimg.com/u/f37/19/13/02/84/screen86.jpg NAM PARA is even better than the NAM no maps yet, qpf is greater but snowfall map on para yet to come out. Expand 4k NAM Is an absolute crush job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:00 PM, snywx said: 4k NAM Is an absolute crush job! Expand Like we always say, give me half of that and I'll be happy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:00 PM, snywx said: 4k NAM Is an absolute crush job! Expand I hope this verifies, but a very reputable met on the other forum says this is probably wrong based on other guidance showing heaviest snows much SE. Hoping for a NAM coup here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 On 2/7/2017 at 3:03 PM, White Gorilla said: I hope this verifies, but a very reputable met on the other forum says this is probably wrong based on other guidance showing heaviest snows much SE. Hoping for a NAM coup here. Expand What I like is that the NAM has been consistent the past 24 hrs while the Euro & especially the GFS have not. Both the GFS & Euro have also shifted NW a good deal. If we see another bump NW by the GFS/Euro at 12z then we will know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 GFS upper air looks awesome. Need one more tick like that for mby to get in the jack zone, but verbatim that's a nice snowfall for everyone and a really special event along 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Another bump NW toward the NAM for the GFS.. Widespread 8-12" for most in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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