hudsonvalley21 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Kudos to the NAM and the GGEM. They held serv and might lead the way thru this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Binghamton Nws posted a watch for my area, 5 to 10 inches of heavy wet snow and sleet. I am actually surprised to see them so bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 9:57 PM, NepaJames8602 said: Binghamton Nws posted a watch for my area, 5 to 10 inches of heavy wet snow and sleet. I am actually surprised to see them so bullish. Expand That's not bullish at all IMO... models have trended colder and snowier for NW sections and do t seem to be done with the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 18Z RGEM Heavy precip = Frozen Lighter precip = Liquid (Further North is mainly frozen with no problems till hr 35 or so) hr 22 hr 23 hr 25 hr 26 hr 28 hr 29 hr 30 hr 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 So if I leave home around 5am and head east on 84>91N do you think I'll get out ahead of the mess or is it gonna suck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 checked out a free site(instant weather maps), 18 gfs seems to give NW NJ 7-10 inches of snow..not sure if it includes sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 I've loved this threat since day 1.. I know many were skeptical about the threat and rightly so but this smelled like a blue bomb then and more so now. Warning level snows with tons of sleet and high winds is a big time winter event. Getting home from work at 7am gonna go right to my generator and fire it up just in case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:13 PM, snywx said: I've loved this threat since day 1.. I know many were skeptical about the threat and rightly so but this smelled like a blue bomb then and more so now. Warning level snows with tons of sleet and high winds is a big time winter event. Getting home from work at 7am gonna go right to my generator and fire it up just in case Expand Good move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squid1225 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:13 PM, snywx said: I've loved this threat since day 1.. I know many were skeptical about the threat and rightly so but this smelled like a blue bomb then and more so now. Warning level snows with tons of sleet and high winds is a big time winter event. Getting home from work at 7am gonna go right to my generator and fire it up just in case Expand Couldn't agree more! I told Ulstercountysnowzone on Thursday this storm just stunk of winter precip....time of year, low placement and how well this storm was going to develop sold me! I told him I'm not sold on a full blown snowstorm but it smelt like a winter weather event.....Many people are going to be surprised, I was listening to K104's weather forecast before and it was reporting a full blown rain event for the Hudson Valley tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:22 PM, Squid1225 said: Couldn't agree more! I told Ulstercountysnowzone on Thursday this storm just stunk of winter precip....time of year, low placement and how well this storm was going to develop sold me! I told him I'm not sold on a full blown snowstorm but it smelt like a winter weather event.....Many people are going to be surprised, I was listening to K104's weather forecast before and it was reporting a full blown rain event for the Hudson Valley tomorrow. Expand Heard 880 am this afternoon. Possibly some sleet in far nw zones. Wind driven rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:22 PM, Squid1225 said: Couldn't agree more! I told Ulstercountysnowzone on Thursday this storm just stunk of winter precip....time of year, low placement and how well this storm was going to develop sold me! I told him I'm not sold on a full blown snowstorm but it smelt like a winter weather event.....Many people are going to be surprised, I was listening to K104's weather forecast before and it was reporting a full blown rain event for the Hudson Valley tomorrow. Expand If we see any liquid precipitation it will be right at the start. During the height it's gonna be either sleet or snow. This storm is gonna have some insane dynamics that haven't been seen in years. Im sure there are gonna be quite a few surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:25 PM, snywx said: If we see any liquid precipitation it will right at the start. During the height it's gonna be either sleet or snow. This storm is gonna have some insane dynamics that haven't been seen in years. Im sure there are gonna be quite a few surprises Expand When is the height of the storm expected exactly? After 5 pm etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:25 PM, snywx said: If we see any liquid precipitation it will right at the start. During the height it's gonna be either sleet or snow. This storm is gonna have some insane dynamics that haven't been seen in years. Im sure there are gonna be quite a few surprises Expand From your mouth to Old Man Winters ear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squid1225 Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:25 PM, snywx said: If we see any liquid precipitation it will right at the start. During the height it's gonna be either sleet or snow. This storm is gonna have some insane dynamics that haven't been seen in years. Im sure there are gonna be quite a few surprises Expand absolutely brother! this one is going to be fun to watch as it develops! Glad I'm off tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 Anyone remember the Thundersleet storm about 3-4 years ago? 6-8 of snow came down then insane sleet for hours with thunder and lightning... if I recall it's the infamous Cantore freaking out over lightning storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 22, 2017 Share Posted January 22, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 10:27 PM, Animal said: When is the height of the storm expected exactly? After 5 pm etc. Expand I need an answer to this also. Looks like I'll get out of town fine in the morning but coming home appears as though it's going to be a long slow ride back from NH. On 1/22/2017 at 10:32 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Anyone remember the Thundersleet storm about 3-4 years ago? 6-8 of snow came down then insane sleet for hours with thunder and lightning... if I recall it's the infamous Cantore freaking out over lightning storm Expand There were several over the last 7 or 8 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 How far North West of NYC are we talking about frozen precept or snow ? Is 84 the cutoff or closer south towards the Tap / NYC ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 On 1/23/2017 at 12:30 AM, Brasiluvsnow said: How far North West of NYC are we talking about frozen precept or snow ? Is 84 the cutoff or closer south towards the Tap / NYC ? Expand I'd say Bear mt is the cutoff for any meaningful frozen precip... north of 84 has a shot at a more significant event, and the more west of the Hudson you travel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 On 1/23/2017 at 12:50 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I'd say Bear mt is the cutoff for any meaningful frozen precip... north of 84 has a shot at a more significant event, and the more west of the Hudson you travel Expand Longitude is gonna play a big factor up here. Areas in Sullivan should cash in while areas in southern dutchess/Putnam at the same latitude may suffer from warming mid levels. Unless you are sitting above 6000' elevation will have no factor in no snow vs snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 I should be good then at 8500' in carmel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 I should be good then at 8500' in carmel. Ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 On 1/23/2017 at 1:16 AM, DRVTS said: I should be good then at 8500' in carmel. Expand You're in a hot air balloon over Carmel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 I was responding to his 6000' quote. I think he meant 600'. I am at 850 in carmel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 On 1/22/2017 at 11:05 PM, gravitylover said: I need an answer to this also. Looks like I'll get out of town fine in the morning but coming home appears as though it's going to be a long slow ride back from NH. There were several over the last 7 or 8 years. Expand Hey Gravity I work in Mahopac. Do you have a business in Mahopac? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 On 1/23/2017 at 1:21 AM, DRVTS said: I was responding to his 6000' quote. I think he meant 600'. I am at 850 in carmel. Expand No I meant 6000' lol.. 800mb is close to 6000' and that's where it's above 0c, you wanna be above that warm layer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Got it. I was looking at Uptons forcast for 3-6 above 750' and got all excited. Gonna be interesting what schools decide to do. Cancel, early dismissal??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 On 1/23/2017 at 1:30 AM, DRVTS said: Got it. I was looking at Uptons forcast for 3-6 above 750' and got all excited. Gonna be interesting what schools decide to do. Cancel, early dismissal??? Expand prob early dismissal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Bing is feeling bullish for Sullivan 5-10" WSW issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Not liking the 0z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2017 Share Posted January 23, 2017 Nam looks like 850 goes above 0c for a while even east of the Hudson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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