mackerel_sky Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Hopefully we can get those better ratios a little further south in N GA. Yeah, I'm at 4:1 , awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, I'm at 4:1 , awesome Don't worry. The warm nose will get us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Can someone post the 12z ec snow total and the 18z snow total, just to compare with each other in one post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, Poimen said: Finally...the GFS comes more in-line with the EC, it appears. Maybe it will improve even more at 0Z. Yeah, so much for the Euro moving towards the GFS talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Don't worry. The warm nose will get us. Yeah, that sounds like a sleet ratio! Cut our 2" down to 1/2"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 rations approaching 14:1 during the peak of the storm.... temps at 23 as well..... cant ask for a better look than that. Greenvile stays 100% snow with 30+ miles to spare on the 18z gfs. models starting to juice up western areas as well. Cant ask for a better position at 00z we will be 48 hrs from start for most of NC peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Looks like jan '14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, Wow said: Looks like jan '14 If the gfs is right and we see a more suppressed storm then December 3rd 2000 start to come to mind. The storm ended up further east than forecast by quite a ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 22 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Ratios look to be well above climo for most of NC/VA Look at those ratios down into Darlington and Florence! Impressive look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, shaggy said: If the gfs is right and we see a more suppressed storm then December 3rd 2000 start to come to mind. The storm ended up further east than forecast by quite a ways. not too far off from some model ouputs besides western areas.. but models have rly amped their moisture up recently and I expect that trend to continue. But believe North trend may be almost done. 00z set may see gfs tick a tad more N but Euro should come South and line up nicely! Its game time boys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 low temps afterwards may break records. -2 near rdu! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 18z GFS bufkit for CAE says 6.7" falls in the form of snow The Nam says enjoy your 32.7 deg rain Dr No says I'll get a dusting Priceless....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 GFS 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, buckeyefan1 said: 18z GFS bufkit for CAE says 6.7" falls in the form of snow The Nam says enjoy your 32.7 deg rain Dr No says I'll get a dusting Priceless....lol Are the models really that bad in the year 2017 ? I can understand it if the storm was a week away, but 2 days before the event ? I don't get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 18z gfs for rdu, qpf ticking up with every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: Are the models really that bad in the year 2017 ? I can understand it if the storm was a week away, but 2 days before the event ? I don't get it. A degree or two makes all the difference and that won't get settled until you can see the whites of its eyes here between the portals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Where is burrell with the 18z navgem and jma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 8 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: not too far off from some model ouputs besides western areas.. but models have rly amped their moisture up recently and I expect that trend to continue. But believe North trend may be almost done. 00z set may see gfs tick a tad more N but Euro should come South and line up nicely! Its game time boys Jan 02 comes to mind, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Welcome to the party gfs! I wonder what us causing the lower amounts in the piedmont, in between the higher amounts east and west. I understand the east, but with the West getting good precip, you'd think the piedmont would too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justanobody Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 This is from KBHM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Where is burrell with the 18z navgem and jma? NAVGEM is an I-85 hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 pretty much every gefs member is a hit thru 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 NAVGEM is an I-85 hitSounds good. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 9 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Where is burrell with the 18z navgem and jma? Navgem is slightly less amped, but still gets a plenty of qpf way back west. It crushes area's east of that band in the next few panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 hows this for agreement at 66hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 So, is there a good estimate on start time yet? I know timing changes a lot, but let's say 10:30 in Raleigh or Fayetteville, will it be snowing/accumulating? I've been thinking this is mostly a Saturday event but...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 European ensemble still spread on amounts for RDU approximately 1/3 show trace-2", 1/3 show more than 6" Such a huge spread...having a hard time consolidating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 well the 18z icon is pretty ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Was that a small tick NW on the gfs ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 well the 18z icon is pretty ridiculous Wow at that increase ! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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